
ARI @ LAD



Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Monday, May 19th
19/05/25 22:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for D-Backs vs Dodgers Matchup Today
Throwing 93.9 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Brandon Pfaadt places in the 83rd percentile.
Given that flyball batters struggle against flyball pitchers, Brandon Pfaadt (36.4% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in today’s game with 5 FB hitters in the opposing team’s projected offense.
Brandon Pfaadt’s change-up rate has spiked by 6.2% from last year to this one (11.8% to 18%) .
Among all starters, Brandon Pfaadt’s fastball spin rate of 2567 rpm ranks in the 99th percentile this year.
Landon Knack will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats in all categories.
Landon Knack’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 games started (2477 rpm) has been quite a bit higher than than his seasonal rate (2408 rpm).
Landon Knack’s change-up utilization has jumped by 8.7% from last year to this one (15.4% to 24.1%) .
Among all starting pitchers, Landon Knack’s fastball spin rate of 2408 rpm grades out in the 81st percentile this year.
Landon Knack has notched a 25.2% Strikeout% since the start of last season, placing in the 80th percentile.
Negative Match Player Stats with D-Backs vs Dodgers
This contest is forecasted to have the 9th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
The Los Angeles Dodgers have 6 hitters in the projected batting order that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in this game.
Brandon Pfaadt will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Brandon Pfaadt’s 92.7-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a significant 1.2-mph drop off from last year’s 93.9-mph figure.
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Landon Knack is projected to throw 80 pitches in today’s outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least on the slate today.
Given that flyball pitchers struggle the most against groundball hitters, Landon Knack (39.3% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 GB hitters in Arizona’s projected batting order.
In his last GS, Landon Knack struggled when it came to striking hitters out and only managed to tally 2 Ks.
Given the 0.6 disparity between Landon Knack’s 9.17 K/9 and his 8.57 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the league since the start of last season as it relates to strikeouts and should see worse results going forward.
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