
ARI @ ATH



Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Friday, August 1st
01/08/25 22:05:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for D-Backs vs Athletics Matchup Today
The underlying talent of the Arizona Diamondbacks projected offense today (.306 projected wOBA via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be quite a bit weaker than their .328 wOBA this year.
The Arizona Diamondbacks have been the luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in future games,Sutter Health Park has the 6th-deepest LF fences among all stadiums.
Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and Jacob Lopez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Jacob Lopez’s high utilization rate of his secondary pitches (60.9% this year) figures to work in his favor consider they are typically much more effective than fastballs.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jacob Lopez in the 90th percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.
Grading out in the 92nd percentile, Jacob Lopez has put up a 28.6% strikeout rate this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nicholas Kurtz in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Nicholas Kurtz is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.
Nicholas Kurtz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nicholas Kurtz as baseball’s 7th-best home run batter.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Sutter Health Park as the 10th-best field in the majors for run-scoring.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 10th-best hitter in baseball.
Ketel Marte is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.
As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Ketel Marte will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Jacob Lopez today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Jacob Lopez in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Brent Rooker projects as the 14th-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Brent Rooker is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.
Brent Rooker will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
James McCann will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob Lopez in today’s game.
Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Athletics.
James McCann’s average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 91.4-mph now compared to just 86.9-mph then.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Gio Urshela will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Over the last two weeks, Gio Urshela’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.7-mph over the course of the season to 96.3-mph of late.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gio Urshela in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.
When assessing his home run skill, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Tyler Soderstrom is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Soderstrom in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Tyler Soderstrom will hold the platoon advantage over Merrill Kelly in today’s matchup.
When estimating his home run skill, Shea Langeliers ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Shea Langeliers is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Shea Langeliers ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Shea Langeliers will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Alexander in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
Blaze Alexander will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob Lopez in today’s matchup.
Batters such as Blaze Alexander with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jacob Lopez who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.
Tristin English will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob Lopez today.
Tristin English has been hot lately, compiling a 92.7-mph average exit velocity in the past week’s worth of games.
Carlos Cortes will hold the platoon advantage over Merrill Kelly in today’s matchup.
Carlos Cortes will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.
Carlos Cortes has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits recently, lifting balls between -4° and 26° 53.3% of the time over the past 14 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lawrence Butler in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Lawrence Butler is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.
Lawrence Butler will have the handedness advantage over Merrill Kelly in today’s matchup.
When it comes to his home run skill, Lawrence Butler ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Negative Match Player Stats with D-Backs vs Athletics
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Lopez to throw 85 pitches in this matchup (8th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Shea Langeliers, the Athletics’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Sutter Health Park as the 8th-best venue in Major League Baseball for walks.
Sutter Health Park has the 6th-shortest fences in the majors.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 86°.
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.
The Arizona Diamondbacks have 8 hitters in the projected lineup that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob Lopez in today’s game.
Nicholas Kurtz has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.
The Arizona Diamondbacks infield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams playing today.
Nicholas Kurtz has been lucky this year, notching a .431 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .347 — a .084 deviation.
Ketel Marte pulls many of his flyballs (36.2% — 93rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
Ketel Marte has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 15.9% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last 7 days.
Over the last 7 days, Ketel Marte’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.5%.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.266) may lead us to conclude that Ketel Marte has had some very good luck this year with his .287 actual batting average.
Despite posting a .398 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ketel Marte has had some very good luck given the .025 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .373.
Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in today’s matchup.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s launch angle in recent games (-17.7° in the past week’s worth of games) is a significant dropoff from his 15.9° seasonal figure.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s maximum exit velocity (an advanced metric to measure power) has been 109.1 mph this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has posted a .292 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile.
Batting from the same side that Merrill Kelly throws from, Brent Rooker faces a tough challenge today.
Brent Rooker pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 79th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Brent Rooker’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 91-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 82.6-mph over the past week.
Brent Rooker’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 20.6% to 17.5%.
James McCann is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.
Since the start of last season, James McCann has been pinch hit for in 15% of his appearances when starting against southpaw.
James McCann hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.
James McCann will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Over the last two weeks, James McCann’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 92.8 mph to 83.6 mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gio Urshela in the 10th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
Gio Urshela is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.
When starting against a righty hurler this year, Gio Urshela has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 10% of the time.
Merrill Kelly will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gio Urshela in today’s matchup.
Gio Urshela hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Tyler Soderstrom has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Tyler Soderstrom’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 98.2-mph mark last season has fallen to 94.7-mph.
Over the last two weeks, Tyler Soderstrom’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 44%.
Over the last week, Tyler Soderstrom’s 5.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.1%.
Merrill Kelly will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shea Langeliers in today’s game.
Shea Langeliers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 89th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.
Shea Langeliers’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 95.3-mph mark last year has lowered to 92.4-mph.
In the last 14 days, Shea Langeliers’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal EV of 92.4 mph to 90.2 mph.
In terms of his home runs, Shea Langeliers has experienced some positive variance this year. His 33.6 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 25.3.
Blaze Alexander is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.
Since the start of last season, Blaze Alexander has been pinch hit for in 28% of his appearances when starting against lefty hurler.
Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Blaze Alexander in today’s game.
Blaze Alexander’s launch angle this year (1.5°) is a significant dropoff from his 8.4° mark last season.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Blaze Alexander ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Sutter Health Park has the 9th-most fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally bad for HRs.
Jacob Lopez will hold the platoon advantage against Corbin Carroll in today’s matchup.
Corbin Carroll will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
Corbin Carroll has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 14.3% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past 7 days.
Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, falling from 14.2% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Tristin English ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Tristin English is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.
Tristin English will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Tristin English has been cold of late, compiling a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) over the past 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Cortes in the 8th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Carlos Cortes is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.
Carlos Cortes has been cold recently, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) in the past 14 days.
Putting up a lowly an 86-mph average exit velocity in the past two weeks’ worth of games, Carlos Cortes has been in a slump lately.
Carlos Cortes has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs lately, hitting balls between 23° and 34° just 7.1% of the time in the last week’s worth of games.
Lawrence Butler has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Lawrence Butler’s launch angle this season (7.3°) is considerably worse than his 11.1° angle last year.
Over the last week, Lawrence Butler’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.9%.
Based on Statcast data, Lawrence Butler grades out in the 24th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .298.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (14.4) suggests that Lawrence Butler has had positive variance on his side this year with his 19.7 actual HR/600.
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