Cubs vs Twins match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Thursday, July 10th

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Cubs vs Twins match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Thursday, July 10th

CHC @ MIN

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Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Chicago Cubs at Minnesota Twins
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Thursday, July 10th
10/07/25 13:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Cubs vs Twins Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The #4 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.

The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Colin Rea has used his four-seamer 25.2% more often this season (45.1%) than he did last season (19.9%).

Among all starting pitchers, Colin Rea’s fastball spin rate of 2202 rpm grades out in the 13th percentile this year.

Colin Rea has notched a 4.93 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that concentrates on the things a pitcher can most influence) this year, grading out in the 14th percentile.

Colin Rea has had some very poor luck with his strikeouts this year, putting up a 6.35 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.07 — a 0.71 K/9 disparity.

Colin Rea has displayed good control this year, putting up a 83rd percentile BB% of 5.9%.

Given the 0.17 disparity between Chris Paddack’s 4.64 ERA and his 4.47 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in MLB this year and figures to perform better in future games.

Chris Paddack has shown good control this year, putting up a 78th percentile BB% of 6.2%.

Considering the 0.76 deviation between Chris Paddack’s 6.44 K/9 and his 7.20 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in baseball this year when it comes to strikeouts and should perform better going forward.

Negative Match Player Stats with Cubs vs Twins Series Game 3

Target Field has the 10th-deepest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball.

The league’s 5th-highest average fence height can be found at Target Field.

The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest among every team today.

In his last outing, Colin Rea was on point and conceded 1 ER.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Colin Rea in the 23rd percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense.

The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 8th-weakest out of every team today.

Chris Paddack gave up a colossal 9 earned runs in his last GS.

Chris Paddack’s higher utilization rate of his fastball this season (49.1 compared to 42.9% last season) is not ideal considering they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

In his last outing, Chris Paddack wasn’t on when it came to striking hitters out and only managed to post 2 Ks.

Ranking in the 23rd percentile, Chris Paddack posted a 9.1% Swinging Strike percentage this year.

Latest Minnesota Twins Match Player Stats

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