D-Backs vs Padres match player stats | 2025 Series Game 4 Thursday, July 10th

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D-Backs vs Padres match player stats | 2025 Series Game 4 Thursday, July 10th

ARI @ SD

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres Series Game 4D-Backs vs PadresD-Backs vs PadresD-Backs vs PadresD-Backs vs PadresD-Backs vs PadresD-Backs vs Padres

Series Game 4 Matchup Details

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres
Series Game 4
Todays Game is on Thursday, July 10th
10/07/25 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for D-Backs vs Padres Series Game 4 Matchup Today

Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate.

Randy Vasquez’s cut-fastball rate has increased by 13.6% from last season to this one (13.7% to 27.3%) .

Considering the 0.86 difference between Randy Vasquez’s 4.88 K/9 and his 5.74 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball this year as it relates to strikeouts and figures to positively regress the rest of the season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Eduardo Rodriguez in the 85th percentile when assessing his strikeout skill.

Tallying 91.9 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Eduardo Rodriguez falls in the 78th percentile.

Eduardo Rodriguez has recorded a 26.3% strikeout rate this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile.

Negative Match Player Stats with D-Backs vs Padres Series Game 4

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Randy Vasquez in the 1st percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.

Compared to the average starting pitcher, Randy Vasquez has been given a below-average leash this year, recording an -9.2 fewer adjusted pitches each start.

Randy Vasquez’s 92.4-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a substantial 1.9-mph decline from last year’s 94.3-mph mark.

Checking in at the 1st percentile, Randy Vasquez posted a 6.6% Swinging Strike rate this year.

Grading out in the 1st percentile, Randy Vasquez has compiled a 12.6% strikeout rate this year.

Out of all starting pitchers, Eduardo Rodriguez’s fastball velocity of 91.2 mph ranks in the 15th percentile this year.

Eduardo Rodriguez’s high utilization rate of his fastball (55.6% this year) is likely weakening his results, considering they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Given the 0.85 discrepancy between Eduardo Rodriguez’s 10.26 K/9 and his 9.41 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game this year as it relates to strikeouts and figures to see negative regression in the future.

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