Cardinals @ Padres Matchup Details

Positives for the St. Louis Cardinals Game Today

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums.

,Petco Park has the lowest fences among all major league parks.

,As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Victor Scott II will have an edge today.

,Victor Scott II has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.7-mph to 91.7-mph over the past two weeks.

,Nathan Church’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Nathan Church will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael King today.

,Masyn Winn has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 9.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is significantly deflated relative to his 13.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,When assessing his home run skill, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Nolan Gorman is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.

,Nolan Gorman will hold the platoon advantage against Michael King in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Manny Machado is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Manny Machado will hold the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore in today’s matchup.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 14th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore in today’s game.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,Batting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Ty France will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Ty France will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,Freddy Fermin will have the handedness advantage against Matthew Liberatore in today’s game.

,Freddy Fermin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Freddy Fermin will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,Pedro Pages’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, going from 17.9% on the season to 25% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

,Jordan Walker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.

,Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jordan Walker ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jordan Walker has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 11.2% rate last year to 20.5% this season.

,Nolan Gorman is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of San Diego (#3-worst of all teams today).

,Nolan Gorman has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 9.5% seasonal rate to 25% in the past 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,Nick Castellanos will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Liberatore in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Wetherholt in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,JJ Wetherholt is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.

,JJ Wetherholt will have the handedness advantage against Michael King in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Based on Statcast data, Ivan Herrera is in the 92nd percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .367.

,Nathan Church has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 13% seasonal rate to 20% in the past week.

,Tallying 92.8 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Matthew Liberatore places him the 77th percentile.

,Projected catcher Pedro Pages grades out as a good pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

,Alec Burleson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

,Alec Burleson will have the handedness advantage against Michael King in today’s matchup.

,Petco Park grades out as the #25 park in the majors for batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,San Diego’s 10° launch angle (an advanced standard to study the ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most groundball-inducing in the league this year: #29 overall.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Ramon Laureano is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

,Ty France has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, improving his 7.7% rate last season to 14.9% this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Nick Castellanos will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,Miguel Andujar has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (70% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Miguel Andujar will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Liberatore today.

,Miguel Andujar hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Andujar in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

,In terms of his batting average, Victor Scott II has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .210 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .243.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Alec Burleson ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,When it comes to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Michael King in the 82nd percentile among all SPs in MLB.

,Recording 93 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Michael King checks in at the 78th percentile.

,The St. Louis Cardinals have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Pedro Pages, Nolan Gorman, Jordan Walker).

,Michael King will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his metrics in all categories.

,Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Using Statcast data, Ivan Herrera grades out in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .288.

,St. Louis Cardinals batters jointly rank 8th- in Major League Baseball for power this year when assessing with their 93.1-mph exit velocity on flyballs.

,Ramon Laureano will hold the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore today.

,JJ Wetherholt hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

,Alec Burleson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Negatives with the San Diego Padres Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Scott II in the 11th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,Victor Scott II is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,19% of the time that Victor Scott II has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 7th-worst stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.

,Among every team today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the the San Diego Padres.

,Nathan Church is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.

,Nathan Church is an extreme groundball batter and squares off against the strong infield defense of San Diego (#3-best of all teams on the slate today).

,Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nathan Church in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 23rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.

,Masyn Winn is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Batting from the same side that Michael King throws from, Masyn Winn will not have the upper hand today.

,Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.

,In today’s matchup, Nolan Gorman is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.3% rate (84th percentile).

,Nolan Gorman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the 4th-best out of every team playing today.

,Manny Machado’s launch angle of late (0.3° over the last week) is considerably lower than his 7.9° seasonal figure.

,From last year to this one, Manny Machado’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 46.6% to 36.8%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 6th-worst stadium in the majors for RHB base hits.

,There has been a significant decline in Fernando Tatis Jr.’s launch angle from last season’s 9.6° to 3.3° this year.

,Fernando Tatis Jr.’s launch angle recently (-1.9° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit lower than his 3.3° seasonal angle.

,Ty France is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Ty France has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Ty France’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, decreasing from 14.6% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.

,In terms of power, Ty France grades out in the 19th percentile, having averaged 11.2 home runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Freddy Fermin ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Freddy Fermin is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.

,Freddy Fermin’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 89.1-mph EV last season has dropped off to 87.1-mph.

,Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.262) may lead us to conclude that Freddy Fermin has been lucky since the start of last season with his .274 actual wOBA.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pedro Pages in the 13th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

,Pedro Pages is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Hitting from the same side that Michael King throws from, Pedro Pages will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,In today’s matchup, Pedro Pages is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.8% rate (81st percentile).

,Batting from the same side that Michael King throws from, Jordan Walker will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jordan Walker today.

,Despite posting a .407 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jordan Walker has been very fortunate given the .075 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .332.

,Jordan Walker has posted a .273 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 8th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 6th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

,Petco Park ranks as the #23 venue in the game for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Nick Castellanos’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, going from 49.8% to 43.2%.

,Placing in the 24th percentile, Nick Castellanos has posted a .293 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

,JJ Wetherholt will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,Xander Bogaerts has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 6.9% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past 7 days.

,Xander Bogaerts’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 88.4-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 79.4-mph over the last 7 days.

,Xander Bogaerts’s launch angle in recent games (7° in the past week’s worth of games) is significantly worse than his 10.8° seasonal mark.

,Michael King will hold the platoon advantage over Ivan Herrera today.

,Ivan Herrera has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,With 9 hitters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Matthew Liberatore meets a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Matthew Liberatore in today’s matchup.

,Matthew Liberatore has notched a 7.9% Swinging Strike percentage this year, placing in the 15th percentile.

,Placing in the 14th percentile, Matthew Liberatore has recorded a 15.7% K% this year.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alec Burleson today.

,Alec Burleson’s launch angle in recent games (0.4° in the last two weeks) is considerably worse than his 7.2° seasonal figure.

,The San Diego Padres have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season,Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Masyn Winn in today’s game.

,Masyn Winn’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 89.6-mph mark last year has dropped off to 84.1-mph.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Victor Scott II in today’s game.

,There has been a significant decline in Victor Scott II’s launch angle from last year’s 14.8° to 6° this year.

,Manny Machado’s launch angle this season (7.9°) is considerably worse than his 14.4° figure last season.

,Miguel Andujar’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, going from 10.4% on the season to 6.3% over the past 7 days.

,Despite posting a .371 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Miguel Andujar has had some very good luck given the .069 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .302.

,With a .286 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Miguel Andujar finds himself in the 14th percentile for hitting ability.

,Xander Bogaerts’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased in recent games, decreasing from 42.6% on the season to 25% in the last week.

,Ivan Herrera will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,In the last 7 days, Ivan Herrera’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.1% down to 0%.

,Miguel Andujar has been lucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .319 BA is significantly inflated relative to his .257 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Sporting a .101 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Fernando Tatis Jr. finds himself in the 10th percentile.

,Among all starters, Michael King’s fastball velocity of 92 mph is in the 22nd percentile this year.

,Nathan Church has been lucky in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 20.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly inflated relative to his 0.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Using Statcast data, Nathan Church is in the 25th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .262.

,Nathan Church and his 3.9° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 7th percentile, among the lowest in the league since the start of last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Michael King in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching talent.

,The 5th-weakest projected lineup on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the St. Louis Cardinals.

,The St. Louis Cardinals have been the 5th-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in the future,Nick Castellanos has exhibited bad plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 15th percentile with a 4.27 K/BB rate.

,Michael King has displayed poor control this year, posting a 19th percentile BB% of 11.1%.

,Nolan Gorman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 18.9% to 14.3%.

,Based on Statcast metrics, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 16th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .288.

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