Cardinals vs Padres match player stats | 2025 Series Game 2 Saturday, August 2nd

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Cardinals vs Padres match player stats | 2025 Series Game 2 Saturday, August 2nd

STL @ SD

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Series Game 2 Matchup Details

St. Louis Cardinals at San Diego Padres
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Saturday, August 2nd
02/08/25 22:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Cardinals vs Padres Series Game 2 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Randy Vasquez in the 5th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent.

It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Manny Gonzalez) calling pitches in today’s game.

The 2nd-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Petco Park.

In the league, Petco Park has the 6th-lowest average fence height.

Randy Vasquez’s 92.4-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a notable 1.9-mph fall off from last year’s 94.3-mph figure.

The St. Louis Cardinals have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jordan Walker, Nolan Gorman, Pedro Pages).

The #5 ballpark in the game for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Petco Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to less offense.

Jackson Merrill’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.

The #7 field in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Jackson Merrill will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael McGreevy in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Victor Scott II will have an edge today.

Michael McGreevy has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 5.18 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 6.64 — a 1.46 K/9 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 7th-best field in the majors for righty home runs.

Xander Bogaerts hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Batting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 9th-best batter in the league.

Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.

Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Luis Arraez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Luis Arraez will have an edge today.

Ivan Herrera’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.

By putting up a .372 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ivan Herrera grades out in the 92nd percentile.

Hitting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Gavin Sheets will have the upper hand in today’s game.

The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gavin Sheets stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.

Freddy Fermin hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Freddy Fermin will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nolan Gorman as MLB’s 19th-best home run batter.

Nolan Gorman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randy Vasquez in today’s matchup.

Nolan Gorman has strong power (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (31.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Randy Vasquez doesn’t generate many whiffs (6th percentile K%) — great news for Gorman.

Pedro Pages’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, going from 14.6% on the season to 25% over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Pedro Pages’s true offensive skill to be a .278, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .034 difference between that mark and his actual .244 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Alec Burleson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Alec Burleson will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (41% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Jordan Walker has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.1-mph to 95-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Masyn Winn is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Negative Match Player Stats with Cardinals vs Padres Series Game 2

It may be sensible to expect worse numbers for the St. Louis Cardinals offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 7th-luckiest offense in the game this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 4th-worst park in baseball for BABIP.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Randy Vasquez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In his previous game started, Randy Vasquez performed well and allowed 0 ER.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Vasquez to throw 83 pitches today (7th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Randy Vasquez in the 1st percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.

Randy Vasquez has posted a 6.5% Swinging Strike% this year, checking in at the 1st percentile.

When estimating his home run ability, Victor Scott II ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Victor Scott II is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

Victor Scott II will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Victor Scott II’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 91-mph average last season has dropped off to 88.9-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Michael McGreevy in the 13th percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Michael McGreevy is projected to throw 85 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 12th-least of all pitchers on the slate today.

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the least strikeout-heavy lineup today is the San Diego Padres with a 17.2% underlying K%.

Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Michael McGreevy in today’s game.

Michael McGreevy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Xander Bogaerts in today’s matchup.

Xander Bogaerts has paced 9.1 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 17th percentile for power.

Hitting from the same side that Randy Vasquez throws from, Willson Contreras encounters a tough challenge today.

Willson Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Willson Contreras has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 14.6% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week.

Over the past week, Willson Contreras’s 26.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 47.1%.

Hitting from the same side that Michael McGreevy throws from, Manny Machado will be in a tough position in today’s game.

Manny Machado has been lucky this year, compiling a .372 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .351 — a .021 disparity.

Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

From last season to this one, Jake Cronenworth’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 91.9 mph to 89.8 mph.

Jake Cronenworth’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 47.2% to 41.2%.

In notching a .236 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Jake Cronenworth grades out in the 25th percentile.

Michael McGreevy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. in today’s game.

In the past 7 days, Fernando Tatis Jr.’s 5.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.7%.

Fernando Tatis Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 48.8% to 41.4%.

As it relates to his home run skill, Luis Arraez ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 87.9-mph mark last season has fallen to 85.7-mph.

When it comes to his home runs, Luis Arraez has had positive variance on his side this year. His 8.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 0.0.

Luis Arraez’s 1% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) is in the 3rd percentile this year.

Batting from the same side that Randy Vasquez throws from, Ivan Herrera faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Ivan Herrera has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Ivan Herrera will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Gavin Sheets is penciled in 8th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Gavin Sheets pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 88th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Freddy Fermin is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Michael McGreevy will hold the platoon advantage against Freddy Fermin today.

Freddy Fermin’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 12.3% to 9%.

Nolan Gorman is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.

Nolan Gorman pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 86th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nolan Gorman in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Pedro Pages ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Pedro Pages is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Pedro Pages has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 13% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

Alec Burleson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.271) implies that Alec Burleson has been very fortunate this year with his .287 actual batting average.

Brendan Donovan will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Brendan Donovan’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 91.8-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 78-mph over the past week.

Brendan Donovan’s launch angle in recent games (-0.4° over the past week) is considerably worse than his 11.1° seasonal angle.

Jordan Walker is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.

Hitting from the same side that Randy Vasquez throws from, Jordan Walker will not have the upper hand today.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jordan Walker in today’s game.

Randy Vasquez will have the handedness advantage against Masyn Winn in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Masyn Winn in today’s matchup.

Masyn Winn’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 89-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 86-mph over the past 14 days.

Masyn Winn’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, decreasing from 13.3% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

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