Cardinals vs Cubs match player stats | 2025 Friday, July 4th

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Cardinals vs Cubs match player stats | 2025 Friday, July 4th

STL @ CHC

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Matchup Details

St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs

Todays Game is on Friday, July 4th
04/07/25 14:20:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Cardinals vs Cubs Matchup Today

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 85,°.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Matt Shaw will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Carson Kelly will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner as the 19th-best hitter in baseball when assessing his batting average talent.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Ian Happ ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ian Happ is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Miles Mikolas in today’s game.

Ian Happ has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

Kyle Tucker projects as the 7th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Kyle Tucker will have an advantage today.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Tucker will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Dansby Swanson is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage today.

Projected catcher Pedro Pages projects as a good pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Considering that flyball batters struggle against flyball pitchers, Miles Mikolas (35.2% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 2 FB hitters in the opposing team’s projected offense.

The Chicago Cubs projected offense grades out as the 4th-strongest on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Michael Busch ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Michael Busch will have an edge in today’s game.

Michael Busch will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 84th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have an edge today.

Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 15th-best hitter in MLB.

Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Seiya Suzuki will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Negative Match Player Stats with Cardinals vs Cubs

When estimating his home run talent, Matt Shaw ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Matt Shaw is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.

Miles Mikolas will hold the platoon advantage over Matt Shaw in today’s game.

Today, Matt Shaw is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.9% rate (93rd percentile).

The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest among all the teams today.

Carson Kelly’s BABIP skill is projected in the 13th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Carson Kelly is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Miles Mikolas throws from, Carson Kelly will be in a tough position today.

Nico Hoerner is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.

Miles Mikolas will have the handedness advantage over Nico Hoerner in today’s game.

Nico Hoerner has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 4th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

In today’s matchup, Kyle Tucker is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35% rate (89th percentile).

Extreme groundball bats like Kyle Tucker tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Miles Mikolas.

St. Louis’s #3-ranked outfield defense on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Kyle Tucker, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

Miles Mikolas will have the handedness advantage against Dansby Swanson in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Miles Mikolas in the 8th percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miles Mikolas to throw 82 pitches in today’s game (5th-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Miles Mikolas in today’s matchup.

Miles Mikolas is an extreme flyball pitcher (35.2% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be aided by pitching in the #22 HR venue in the majors in this game.

Michael Busch has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (66% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today.

Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Miles Mikolas throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball hitters like Seiya Suzuki generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Miles Mikolas.

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