Cardinals @ Brewers Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positives for the St. Louis Cardinals Series Game 2 Game Today

American Family Field grades out as the #4 venue in the league for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 6th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.

,American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

,The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

,Pedro Pages will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Harrison in today’s game.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

,Batting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, Ivan Herrera will have the upper hand today.

,Masyn Winn is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

,The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in American Family Field.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thomas Saggese in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 85th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for left-handed home runs.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Brice Turang is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Nick Mahrley) behind the plate in today’s game.

,The #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

,Michael McGreevy’s higher usage rate of his secondary pitches this year (58.8% vs. 53.1% last season) figures to work in his favor considering they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

,David Hamilton will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael McGreevy today.

,Joey Ortiz will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

,When it comes to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Kyle Harrison in the 93rd percentile among all starting pitchers in the majors.

,The St. Louis Cardinals have 4 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Victor Scott II, Thomas Saggese, Jordan Walker, Pedro Pages).

,When estimating his home run talent, Jordan Walker ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jordan Walker is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

,Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and David Hamilton will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Extreme flyball batters like Victor Scott II usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kyle Harrison.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 18th-best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Christian Yelich is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.

,Jose Fermin is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

,Joey Ortiz has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 88.4-mph average to last season’s 86.2-mph figure.

,Despite posting a .248 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Joey Ortiz has suffered from bad luck given the .047 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .295.

,Jose Fermin will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Harrison in today’s matchup.

,Brice Turang will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael McGreevy in today’s matchup.

,Masyn Winn will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Harrison today.

,Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, William Contreras ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,William Contreras is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.

,Batting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Sal Frelick will have the upper hand today.

,Victor Scott II has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 90.5-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 87.7-mph EV.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

,Alec Burleson is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

,William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Alec Burleson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Thomas Saggese will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Harrison in today’s matchup.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jordan Walker ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jordan Walker will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Harrison in today’s matchup.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Christian Yelich ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

,Sal Frelick hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Alec Burleson ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kyle Harrison in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching talent.

,The 3rd-weakest projected lineup of all teams today in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the St. Louis Cardinals.

,It may be best to expect weaker performance for the St. Louis Cardinals offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 6th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jake Bauers ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jake Bauers will have the handedness advantage against Michael McGreevy in today’s game.

,Michael McGreevy’s 92nd percentile BB% (5.7% this year) shows his favorable control skills.

,The 7.1% Barrel% of the Milwaukee Brewers ranks them as the #24 group of hitters in the league this year by this stat.

Negatives with the Milwaukee Brewers Series Game 2 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pedro Pages in the 11th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,Pedro Pages is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.

,The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

,Pedro Pages has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will be challenged by the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Pedro Pages today.

,Ivan Herrera has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Ivan Herrera will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,Ivan Herrera’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 97.3-mph EV last season has decreased to 90.9-mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 20th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

,Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Masyn Winn in today’s game.

,Masyn Winn’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 89.6-mph EV last year has fallen off to 84.2-mph.

,In the past 7 days, Masyn Winn’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 84.2 mph to 77.6 mph.

,Thomas Saggese is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.

,Thomas Saggese has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Thomas Saggese in today’s game.

,Thomas Saggese’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 49.5% to 44.4%.

,Jake Bauers has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (83% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the batting order today.

,Jake Bauers’s launch angle this season (8.5°) is significantly worse than his 16.6° mark last season.

,Compared to his seasonal angle of 8.5°, Jake Bauers has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.9°) over the last two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jake Bauers’s true offensive skill to be a .321, implying that he has been very fortunate this year given the .035 disparity between that figure and his actual .356 wOBA.

,Over the last 14 days, Brice Turang’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.8% down to 0%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brice Turang’s true offensive talent to be a .329, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .060 gap between that figure and his actual .389 wOBA.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Michael McGreevy in the 10th percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 5th-least strikeout-prone lineup in today’s games is the Milwaukee Brewers with a 20.2% underlying K%.

,Michael McGreevy will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, David Hamilton ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,David Hamilton is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

,There has been a decrease in David Hamilton’s average exit velocity this year, from 87 mph last year to 84.7 mph now,In the last two weeks, David Hamilton’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 8%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Ortiz in the 22nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,Joey Ortiz is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.

,Batting from the same side that Michael McGreevy throws from, Joey Ortiz encounters a tough challenge today.

,Joey Ortiz has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,The St. Louis Cardinals have 6 bats in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Harrison in today’s game.

,Given that flyball hitters have a notable advantage over groundball pitchers, Kyle Harrison and his 37.4% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a difficult position today matching up with 3 opposing GB bats.

,Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Kyle Harrison has utilized his fastball a lot this year, though: 61.3% of the time, placing in the 100th percentile.

,Jordan Walker will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,Despite posting a .408 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jordan Walker has been lucky given the .071 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .337.

,Jordan Walker has posted a .208 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Batting from the same side that Michael McGreevy throws from, Jackson Chourio faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Jackson Chourio has shown poor plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 17th percentile with a 4.01 K/BB rate.

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Victor Scott II ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Victor Scott II is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Kyle Harrison will have the handedness advantage over Victor Scott II in today’s game.

,Victor Scott II will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,Brice Turang has paced 11.3 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 18th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Christian Yelich has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph dropping to 83.7-mph in the last week.

,Christian Yelich has been lucky in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 26.2 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is considerably higher than his 18.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Jose Fermin’s BABIP skill is projected in the 7th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jose Fermin will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Jose Fermin has paced 0.0 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 0th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Jose Fermin’s 88.1-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to measure power) grades out in the 16th percentile since the start of last season.

,Masyn Winn’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, falling from 10.7% on the season to 0% over the past week.

,Hitting from the same side that Michael McGreevy throws from, William Contreras will have a disadvantage today.

,William Contreras’s launch angle in recent games (7.7° over the past 14 days) is considerably worse than his 10.8° seasonal angle.

,With a 12.600 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , William Contreras grades out in the 23rd percentile for power.

,Posting a .164 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, William Contreras grades out in the 25th percentile.

,When it comes to his home run ability, Sal Frelick ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Sal Frelick is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.

,Sal Frelick’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 86.6-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 82.7-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Sal Frelick’s launch angle this year (8.7°) is significantly lower than his 12.1° figure last season.

,Kyle Harrison will have the handedness advantage over Alec Burleson today.

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alec Burleson today.

,Alec Burleson’s launch angle this year (10.6°) is a considerable dropoff from his 15.2° angle last season.

,Alec Burleson has been lucky this year, posting a .358 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .335 — a .023 deviation.

,Thomas Saggese’s 5.8% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) is in the 25th percentile since the start of last season.

,Joey Ortiz’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 88.4-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 81.9-mph over the last week.

,In notching a .273 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jordan Walker is positioned in the 8th percentile for offensive skills.

,Sal Frelick’s launch angle lately (-1.3° in the past 7 days) is quite a bit worse than his 8.7° seasonal mark.

,American Family Field grades out as the #3 field in the league for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Placing lowest in the league this year, Milwaukee Brewers hitters collectively have recorded a 8.9° launch angle (an advanced standard to assess the ability to lift the ball for power).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Fermin in the 25th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

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