Brewers @ Pirates Matchup Details

Positives for the Milwaukee Brewers Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell as the 4th-best hitter in baseball when assessing his BABIP skill.

,The #3 stadium in MLB for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.

,PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense.

,Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 75%.

,Garrett Mitchell will hold the platoon advantage against Braxton Ashcraft in today’s matchup.

,Nick Gonzales’s BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 3rd-best stadium in the league for righty BABIP.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Nick Gonzales will hold that advantage today.

,Nick Gonzales has recorded a .300 batting average this year, placing in the 97th percentile.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Henry Davis will hold that advantage today.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 19.8°, Henry Davis has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 44° figure in the past week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

,Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

,In comparison to his 89.3-mph average last year, Jackson Chourio’s exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 92.5 mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Cooper Pratt has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 6.5% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last week’s worth of games.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Cooper Pratt’s 21.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 6.3%.

,Over the last week, Cooper Pratt has averaged an impressive 98.7-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced indicator of home run potential.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,Christian Yelich is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Brandon Sproat throws from, Brandon Lowe will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Jake Mangum is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

,Jake Mangum will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jake Bauers ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jake Bauers is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Henry Davis in the 89th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Esmerlyn Valdez in the 88th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

,Esmerlyn Valdez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

,Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Esmerlyn Valdez will hold that advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Brice Turang ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Brice Turang is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Brice Turang will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 15.4°, Esmerlyn Valdez has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 21.3° figure in the last 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

,William Contreras is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Joey Ortiz has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.1-mph average to last year’s 86.2-mph EV.

,Joey Ortiz’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 41.7% on the season to 63% in the last 14 days.

,Despite posting a .268 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Joey Ortiz has had bad variance on his side given the .030 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .298.

,William Contreras’s launch angle this year (11.6°) is quite a bit better than his 7° figure last season.

,Ryan O’Hearn’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Ryan O’Hearn is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Over the past week, Cooper Pratt’s 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 52.1%.

,Garrett Mitchell has made notable strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 15.5% seasonal rate to 28% in the last two weeks.

,Garrett Mitchell has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.6-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 93-mph EV.

,Sal Frelick will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Braxton Ashcraft today.

,In the last two weeks, Sal Frelick’s 25.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.1%.

,With a 1.17 K/BB rate this year, Sal Frelick has shown favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 96th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 86th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

,Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage against Braxton Ashcraft in today’s matchup.

,In the last two weeks, Jake Bauers’s 22.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.2%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,In terms of plate discipline, William Contreras’s talent is quite good, putting up a 1.56 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 85th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

,Jared Triolo’s BABIP ability is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jared Triolo will hold that advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,Ryan O’Hearn will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Sproat in today’s matchup.

,In the past two weeks, Joey Ortiz’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.1-mph over the course of the season to 94.9-mph recently.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Christian Yelich ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Christian Yelich will have the handedness advantage over Braxton Ashcraft today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,In the past week, Jackson Chourio’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.9-mph over the course of the season to 101-mph in recent games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Brandon Sproat.

,Brandon Lowe will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Negatives with the Pittsburgh Pirates Game Today

Garrett Mitchell is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,17% of the time that Garrett Mitchell has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been pinch hit for.

,PNC Park has the 6th-highest fences in MLB.

,In today’s game, Garrett Mitchell is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.6% rate (91st percentile).

,Garrett Mitchell will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,Nick Gonzales has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (66% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Home runs are generally less common at venues with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest among all stadiums.

,Batting from the same side that Brandon Sproat throws from, Nick Gonzales meets a tough challenge today.

,Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the Milwaukee Brewers.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Henry Davis in the 4th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,Henry Davis is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.

,Hitting from the same side that Brandon Sproat throws from, Henry Davis will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

,Henry Davis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.6% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 10th-deepest LF fences today.

,Braxton Ashcraft will hold the platoon advantage against Jackson Chourio in today’s game.

,Jackson Chourio will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,Bryan Reynolds has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Bryan Reynolds’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 90.9-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 80.3-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

,Over the past week, Bryan Reynolds’s 30.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 44.9%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cooper Pratt in the 11th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

,Cooper Pratt is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 3rd-worst venue in baseball for RHB home runs.

,In today’s matchup, Christian Yelich is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 41.2% rate (100th percentile).

,Christian Yelich will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Christian Yelich’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 92.6-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 86.7-mph in the past week.

,Brandon Lowe has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 12.8% seasonal rate has dropped to 7.1% in the past week.

,Compared to his seasonal figure of 16.2°, Brandon Lowe has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.6°) over the last 14 days.

,When estimating his home run talent, Jake Mangum ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The switch-hitting Jake Mangum will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Brandon Sproat,In today’s matchup, Jake Mangum is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 39% rate (98th percentile).

,This year, Jake Bauers has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 11% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

,Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jake Bauers today.

,In the past week, Jake Bauers’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal mark of 95.6 mph to 88.3 mph.

,There has been a significant decline in Jake Bauers’s launch angle from last season’s 16.6° to 10.7° this season.

,Brandon Sproat will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Esmerlyn Valdez today.

,Esmerlyn Valdez has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 26.1% seasonal rate has lowered to 11.1% over the past week.

,Jake Mangum is an extreme groundball batter and faces the weak infield defense of Milwaukee (#28-worst of all teams on the slate).

,Jake Mangum’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 87.4-mph mark last season has decreased to 84-mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Sproat to throw 85 pitches in this matchup (8th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,Brandon Sproat will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,PNC Park profiles as the #28 park in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.5%) and will be challenged by the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brice Turang today.

,Over the last week, Brice Turang’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.9% down to 0%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales in the 10th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

,Braxton Ashcraft will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against William Contreras today.

,William Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,In the last 7 days, William Contreras’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7% down to 0%.

,Over the past week, William Contreras’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.2%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Ortiz in the 25th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

,Joey Ortiz is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.

,12% of the time that Joey Ortiz has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

,Ryan O’Hearn has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Despite posting a .363 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ryan O’Hearn has been very fortunate given the .030 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .333.

,Utilizing Statcast metrics, Ryan O’Hearn ranks in the 25th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 13.600.

,Braxton Ashcraft will hold the platoon advantage against Cooper Pratt today.

,Cooper Pratt will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,When assessing his home run ability, Sal Frelick ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Sal Frelick is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Sal Frelick today.

,In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Brice Turang’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal EV of 94.1 mph to 89.6 mph.

,Sal Frelick’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 85.7-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 82.9-mph in the past week.

,Sal Frelick’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 88.2-mph average last season has lowered to 84.9-mph.

,Esmerlyn Valdez’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 90.3-mph seasonal average has lowered to 81-mph in the past week.

,Jared Triolo is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.

,Hitting from the same side that Brandon Sproat throws from, Jared Triolo will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

,Jared Triolo’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 91.5-mph EV last season has fallen off to 86.7-mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 14th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Braxton Ashcraft will have the handedness advantage against Joey Ortiz in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Joey Ortiz in today’s game.

,There has been a decrease in Nick Gonzales’s average exit velocity this season, from 88.9 mph last year to 86 mph now,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Bryan Reynolds’s true offensive ability to be a .343, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .033 deviation between that figure and his actual .376 wOBA.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Garrett Mitchell’s true offensive talent to be a .319, indicating that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .041 gap between that mark and his actual .360 wOBA.

,Brice Turang has been lucky this year, posting a .352 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .022 disparity.

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