Brewers @ Pirates Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positives for the Milwaukee Brewers Series Game 2 Game Today

When estimating his home run skill, Henry Davis ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

,Henry Davis will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Drohan today.

,Henry Davis will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 19.8°, Henry Davis has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 44° angle in the last week.

,Jake Mangum’s BABIP ability is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The #3 park in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.

,The switch-hitting Jake Mangum will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Shane Drohan.

,Jake Mangum will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Brice Turang ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Brice Turang is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.

,Brice Turang will hold the platoon advantage over Bubba Chandler in today’s matchup.

,Brice Turang’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, going from 14% on the season to 20.5% in the last two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Ryan O’Hearn is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Ryan O’Hearn will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Ryan O’Hearn’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.2% up to 21.4%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

,Bryan Reynolds will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

,In the past week, Bryan Reynolds’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.1% up to 15.4%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Esmerlyn Valdez in the 88th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

,Esmerlyn Valdez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

,Esmerlyn Valdez will have the handedness advantage over Shane Drohan in today’s matchup.

,Esmerlyn Valdez will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

,Hitting from the opposite that Shane Drohan throws from, Nick Gonzales will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Nick Gonzales will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,When estimating his BABIP talent, Garrett Mitchell is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Garrett Mitchell is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

,The #3 park in the game for boosting base hits to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.

,Batting from the opposite that Bubba Chandler throws from, Garrett Mitchell will have the upper hand today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,Jared Triolo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Drohan in today’s game.

,Jared Triolo will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,William Contreras’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,William Contreras is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,William Contreras’s launch angle this year (11.6°) is considerably higher than his 7° angle last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

,Brandon Lowe will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

,Joey Ortiz has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 90.1-mph average to last year’s 86.2-mph figure.

,In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Joey Ortiz’s 63% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.7%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Joey Ortiz’s true offensive talent to be a .298, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .030 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .268 wOBA.

,When estimating his home run talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Brandon Lowe has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.4-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 91.1-mph mark.

,Sporting a 1.56 K/BB rate this year, William Contreras has displayed strong plate discipline, grading out in the 85th percentile.

,Nick Gonzales’s BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,Jake Bauers is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Jake Bauers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bubba Chandler in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Bubba Chandler throws from, Sal Frelick will have the upper hand today.

,Sal Frelick’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, going from 14.1% on the season to 25.8% in the past two weeks.

,Sal Frelick has displayed strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 96th percentile with a 1.17 K/BB rate.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 86th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,Jake Bauers’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, increasing from 44.9% on the season to 75% over the last week.

,Cooper Pratt has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 6.5% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the last week.

,Over the past week, Cooper Pratt’s 21.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 6.3%.

,Cooper Pratt has shown some good exit velocity indicators recently, averaging 98.7-mph on his flyballs over the last week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,Over the last two weeks, Jake Bauers’s 22.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.2%.

,Using Statcast metrics, Jake Bauers ranks in the 84th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .338.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, William Contreras ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,By putting up a 29.300 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Brandon Lowe grades out in the 87th percentile for power.

,Garrett Mitchell has made significant gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 15.5% seasonal rate to 28% in the last two weeks.

,Garrett Mitchell has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96.6-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 93-mph figure.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 15.4°, Esmerlyn Valdez has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 21.3° figure over the past week.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Cooper Pratt’s 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 52.1%.

,In the past 14 days, Joey Ortiz’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.1-mph over the course of the season to 94.9-mph in recent games.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Over the last 7 days, Bryan Reynolds’s 23.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.2%.

,Jake Mangum has compiled a .353 BABIP this year, grading out in the 94th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Negatives with the Pittsburgh Pirates Series Game 2 Game Today

Henry Davis is penciled in 8th in the lineup today.

,PNC Park projects as the #28 field in the majors for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,PNC Park has the 6th-highest average fence height among all major league stadiums.

,Henry Davis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.6% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences today.

,Henry Davis has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 11.2% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past two weeks.

,Jake Mangum is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Long-balls are generally less common at ballparks with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in Major League Baseball.

,The Milwaukee Brewers infield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams today.

,Jake Mangum’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 87.4-mph figure last year has lowered to 84-mph.

,Compared to his seasonal mark of 2.8°, Jake Mangum has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-2.4°) over the last two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 3rd-worst park in Major League Baseball for LHB home runs.

,Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.5%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 10th-deepest LF fences today.

,Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brice Turang in today’s matchup.

,Brice Turang has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.9% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past 7 days.

,Batting from the same side that Shane Drohan throws from, Ryan O’Hearn will be in a tough position today.

,Ryan O’Hearn has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 10th-deepest LF fences today.

,Despite posting a .363 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ryan O’Hearn has experienced some positive variance given the .030 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .333.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Henry Davis in the 4th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Bryan Reynolds will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Shane Drohan today.

,Bryan Reynolds’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 90.9-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 80.3-mph in the last 7 days.

,In the past week, Esmerlyn Valdez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 26.1% down to 11.1%.

,Esmerlyn Valdez has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph dropping to 81-mph in the last 7 days.

,Over the past week, Bryan Reynolds’s 30.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 44.9%.

,When assessing his home run talent, Nick Gonzales ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Nick Gonzales is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

,17% of the time that Garrett Mitchell has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

,Today, Garrett Mitchell is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.6% rate (91st percentile).

,Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Garrett Mitchell in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Garrett Mitchell’s true offensive skill to be a .319, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .041 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .360 wOBA.

,Jared Triolo is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Jared Triolo’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 91.5-mph EV last year has decreased to 86.7-mph.

,There has been a significant decline in Jared Triolo’s launch angle from last season’s 14.2° to 4.4° this year.

,Esmerlyn Valdez has been lucky this year, posting a .406 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .321 — a .085 difference.

,Bubba Chandler will have the handedness advantage against William Contreras in today’s game.

,William Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,William Contreras has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week.

,In the last 7 days, William Contreras’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.2%.

,Shane Drohan will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Lowe in today’s matchup.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Brandon Lowe’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.8% down to 7.1%.

,Brandon Lowe’s launch angle of late (0.6° over the past 7 days) is a significant dropoff from his 16.2° seasonal mark.

,When it comes to his home run skill, Jake Mangum ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Joey Ortiz is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

,When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Joey Ortiz has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 12% of the time.

,Bubba Chandler will have the handedness advantage over Joey Ortiz in today’s game.

,Joey Ortiz will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Nick Gonzales’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 88.9-mph average last year has dropped off to 86-mph.

,Nick Gonzales’s launch angle this season (5.4°) is a considerable dropoff from his 9.3° figure last year.

,11% of the time that Jake Bauers has started against a northpaw this year, he has been pinch hit for.

,Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake Bauers in today’s matchup.

,In the last 7 days, Jake Bauers’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 95.6 mph to 88.3 mph.

,There has been a significant decline in Jake Bauers’s launch angle from last year’s 16.6° to 10.7° this year.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Sal Frelick ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Sal Frelick is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Sal Frelick will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cooper Pratt in the 11th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

,Cooper Pratt is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Joey Ortiz ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Brice Turang’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 94.1-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 89.6-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Jared Triolo ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Hitting from the same side that Bubba Chandler throws from, Cooper Pratt will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

,Cooper Pratt will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,Sal Frelick’s average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 85.7-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 82.9-mph in the last 7 days.

,Sal Frelick’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 88.2-mph EV last season has fallen to 84.9-mph.

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