Braves vs Red Sox match player stats | 2025 Friday, May 16th

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Braves vs Red Sox match player stats | 2025 Friday, May 16th

ATL @ BOS

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Matchup Details

Atlanta Braves at Boston Red Sox

Todays Game is on Friday, May 16th
16/05/25 19:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Braves vs Red Sox Matchup Today

Ceddanne Rafaela’s BABIP talent is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best stadium in the game for run-scoring.

Because of Chris Sale’s huge platoon split, Ceddanne Rafaela will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

Ceddanne Rafaela hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best park in baseball for right-handed batting average.

The switch-hitting Nick Sogard will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Chris Sale… and even better, Sale has a huge platoon split.

Nick Sogard pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Nick Sogard will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell as the 13th-best batter in baseball when assessing his BABIP ability.

Kristian Campbell is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

In MLB, Fenway Park’s left field dimensions are the shallowest.

Because of Chris Sale’s huge platoon split, Kristian Campbell will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Kristian Campbell will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Rafael Devers projects as the 20th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Fenway Park grades out as the #5 stadium in MLB for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Rafael Devers has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Rafael Devers will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Rafael Devers has been hot of late, notching 2 long-balls in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Trevor Story will have the handedness advantage over Chris Sale today… and the cherry on top, Sale has a huge platoon split.

Trevor Story hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Trevor Story will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his home run skill, Trevor Story ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Alex Bregman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Alex Bregman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today’s matchup… and even better, Sale has a huge platoon split.

Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s shallowest LF fences today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Alex Bregman will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Olson as Major League Baseball’s 16th-best home run hitter.

Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest RF fences among all major league stadiums.

Matt Olson has been hot recently, hitting 3 long-balls in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Matt Olson has shown impressive plate discipline this year, grading out in the 87th percentile with a 1.39 K/BB rate.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Sean Murphy is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Sean Murphy will have the handedness advantage against Garrett Crochet in today’s game.

Sean Murphy pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Sean Murphy has been hot in recent games, tallying a .361 wOBA over the last two weeks.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Sean Murphy ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.

Rob Refsnyder will have the handedness advantage against Chris Sale in today’s game… and even better, Sale has a huge platoon split.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Rob Refsnyder ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Rob Refsnyder will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Eli White’s BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Eli White has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (92% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Eli White will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet today.

Over the past 14 days, Eli White has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .357.

Placing in the 83rd percentile, Eli White has put up a .439 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Marcell Ozuna will have the handedness advantage against Garrett Crochet in today’s matchup.

Marcell Ozuna pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

In the past 14 days, Marcell Ozuna has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .383.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Ozzie Albies will get to bat from his strong side against Garrett Crochet in today’s game.

Ozzie Albies pulls many of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball hitters like Ozzie Albies tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Garrett Crochet.

Ozzie Albies has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 16.9° mark is among the highest in Major League Baseball this year (82nd percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Austin Riley projects as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Austin Riley is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Austin Riley will have an edge today.

Austin Riley projects as the 15th-best home run hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Last year, Austin Riley had an average launch angle of 13° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 16.4°.

Garrett Crochet projects as the 9th-best pitcher in MLB currently, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Garrett Crochet has been given a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying 8.2 more adjusted pitches-per-start than the average pitcher.

Garrett Crochet will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats across the board.

Garrett Crochet projects as the 6th-best starter in the majors right now as it relates to his strikeout talent, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Garrett Crochet has used his four-seam fastball 10.2% less often this year (43.5%) than he did last year (53.7%).

The Boston Red Sox have 7 batters in the projected lineup that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in this matchup, which is especially precarious given his huge platoon split.

Chris Sale will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Among all SPs, Chris Sale’s fastball spin rate of 2215 rpm grades out in the 25th percentile this year.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Chris Sale is projected to throw 98 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 2nd-most of all pitchers on the slate.

Chris Sale projects as the 5th-best pitcher in baseball currently when it comes to his strikeout skill, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Chris Sale was in good form in his previous game started and accumulated 7 strikeouts.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran as the 19th-best hitter in the game as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Jarren Duran has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jarren Duran will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Nick Allen will have an advantage in today’s game.

Nick Allen hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Michael Harris II’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Michael Harris II has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Michael Harris II ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Negative Match Player Stats with Braves vs Red Sox

Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.

Among all major league stadiums, the 2nd-tallest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.

The Atlanta Braves outfield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest out of every team playing today.

Ceddanne Rafaela’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (14°) is quite a bit worse than his 17.6° figure last season.

Ranking in the 18th percentile, Ceddanne Rafaela has posted a .281 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Sogard in the 10th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Nick Sogard is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.

With a .247 wOBA in the past week, Nick Sogard has been struggling at the plate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Sogard in the 17th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Chris Sale will hold the platoon advantage over Rafael Devers in today’s matchup… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Sale’s huge platoon split.

Trevor Story has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (85% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.

In terms of plate discipline, Trevor Story’s talent is quite weak, sporting a 7.3 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 4th percentile.

Extreme groundball hitters like Alex Bregman are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Chris Sale.

Garrett Crochet will hold the platoon advantage against Matt Olson in today’s game.

Out of every team today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Matt Olson in today’s matchup.

Matt Olson’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (9.9°) is significantly worse than his 13.7° angle last season.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Sean Murphy in today’s matchup.

Grading out in the 5th percentile, Sean Murphy has posted a .196 batting average since the start of last season.

Eli White will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Marcell Ozuna in today’s game.

Last season, Marcell Ozuna had a launch angle of 19.4° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 16.4°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 14th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Ozzie Albies has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (79% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

With a .264 wOBA in the past two weeks’ worth of games, Ozzie Albies has been struggling at the plate.

Austin Riley will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

As it relates to plate discipline, Austin Riley’s talent is quite bad, putting up a 5 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 11th percentile.

It may be sensible to expect better numbers for the Atlanta Braves offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 8th-unluckiest offense in the league this year.

Connor Wong, the Red Sox’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Fenway Park projects as the #2 field in the league for batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

With 7 hitters who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Garrett Crochet will be in a tough position while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.

In his last outing, Garrett Crochet turned in a great performance and conceded 2 ER.

Fenway Park ranks as the #25 venue in the league for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Garrett Crochet’s 95.3-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a significant 1.8-mph decline from last year’s 97.1-mph figure.

Chris Sale projects as the 11th-best SP in baseball right now, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Chris Sale’s slider percentage has jumped by 6.2% from last year to this one (40.3% to 46.5%) .

Chris Sale has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his ERA this year; his 3.97 rate is a fair amount higher than his 3.01 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Considering the 0.62 disparity between Chris Sale’s 12.08 K/9 and his 11.46 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the game this year when it comes to strikeouts and figures to see negative regression in future games.

Chris Sale will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jarren Duran in today’s matchup… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Sale’s huge platoon split.

Jarren Duran’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (4.1°) is significantly lower than his 8.4° mark last year.

Jarren Duran has exhibited bad plate discipline this year, placing in the 14th percentile with a 4.49 K/BB rate.

Ranking in the 13th percentile for power, Jarren Duran has averaged 4 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Allen in the 4th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Nick Allen is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Typically, batters like Nick Allen who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Garrett Crochet.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Nick Allen ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Michael Harris II is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Garrett Crochet will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Harris II in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Michael Harris II in today’s game.

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