
DET @ TOR


Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Friday, May 16th
16/05/25 19:07:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Tigers vs Blue Jays Matchup Today
Rogers Centre profiles as the #2 stadium in the game for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
In the majors, Rogers Centre’s centerfield fences are the 9th-shallowest.
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today.
Addison Barger will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today’s game.
Addison Barger will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Hitting from the opposite that Bowden Francis throws from, Trey Sweeney will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Trey Sweeney hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.
Trey Sweeney has been hot in recent games, bashing 3 homers over the last 14 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
Colt Keith is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.
Colt Keith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bowden Francis today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Anthony Santander will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 2nd-best venue in the game for right-handed home runs.
Extreme flyball hitters like Javier Baez tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Bowden Francis.
Javier Baez has been hot in recent games, notching 5 home runs over the last two weeks.
Javier Baez has been hot in recent games, cruising to a .375 wOBA in the past 14 days.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
George Springer is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.
George Springer will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Hitting from the opposite that Bowden Francis throws from, Zach McKinstry will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Zach McKinstry hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Zach McKinstry has recorded a .291 batting average this year, grading out in the 83rd percentile.
The #3 park in MLB for boosting home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.
Jack Flaherty is an extreme flyball pitcher (33% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #3 HR venue among all stadiums in this game.
Jack Flaherty will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Jack Flaherty projects as the 20th-best pitcher in baseball right now when assessing his strikeout talent, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Jack Flaherty has averaged 93.7 adjusted pitches per start this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile.
The #10 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.
Jack Flaherty has recorded a 12.7% Swinging Strike percentage this year, grading out in the 83rd percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 2nd-best batter in the game when assessing his batting average ability.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. projects as the 6th-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 9th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Bo Bichette is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.
Bo Bichette will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Bo Bichette ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.
Alejandro Kirk is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage in today’s game.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Alejandro Kirk ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
Gleyber Torres’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (19.5°) is quite a bit higher than his 14° figure last year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
Ernie Clement will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Ernie Clement has compiled a .273 batting average since the start of last season, placing in the 85th percentile.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Riley Greene ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Riley Greene is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.
When estimating his BABIP skill, Riley Greene is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Batting from the opposite that Bowden Francis throws from, Riley Greene will have the upper hand today.
Dillon Dingler is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
Nathan Lukes will hold the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today’s matchup.
Extreme flyball bats like Nathan Lukes are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jack Flaherty.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
With 6 bats who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Bowden Francis faces a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.
Bowden Francis is an extreme flyball pitcher (40.5% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #3 HR venue in the majors in this game.
The Detroit Tigers (24.6% K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 4th-most strikeout-prone set of batters on the slate today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Kerry Carpenter is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.
Kerry Carpenter will hold the platoon advantage over Bowden Francis in today’s matchup.
Negative Match Player Stats with Tigers vs Blue Jays
Addison Barger is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.
The league’s 8th-highest fences can be found at Rogers Centre.
Addison Barger’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (5°) is a significant dropoff from his 11° mark last year.
Posting a .351 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, Addison Barger is ranked in the 19th percentile.
Ranking in the 8th percentile, Addison Barger has put up a .201 batting average since the start of last season.
The #1 park in baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.
Trey Sweeney is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.
Trey Sweeney will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
Colt Keith will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Colt Keith has compiled a .185 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season, grading out in the 21st percentile.
The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will bat from his weak side (0) today against Jack Flaherty,Extreme groundball bats like Anthony Santander are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jack Flaherty.
Anthony Santander’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (4.8°) is a considerable dropoff from his 15° figure last season.
With a .267 wOBA in the past two weeks’ worth of games, Anthony Santander has been struggling at the plate.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 1st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Javier Baez is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in today’s game.
Bowden Francis will have the handedness advantage against Javier Baez in today’s game.
Javier Baez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
Javier Baez has posted a .275 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 12th percentile.
Rogers Centre grades out as the #27 park in the majors for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Batting from the same side that Jack Flaherty throws from, George Springer will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.
By putting up a .273 BABIP since the start of last season, George Springer is ranked in the 22nd percentile.
Zach McKinstry is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game.
Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Zach McKinstry today.
Zach McKinstry’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (12.9°) is significantly lower than his 23.4° mark last season.
Checking in at the 10th percentile for power, Zach McKinstry has averaged 2.8 homers per 600 plate appearances this year.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Jack Flaherty’s overall pitching talent grades out in the 80th percentile out of all starting pitchers in the majors right now.
Jack Flaherty will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against 6 opposing bats in this matchup.
Jack Flaherty performed well in his last start and gave up 2 ER.
Given the 0.47 disparity between Jack Flaherty’s 4.61 ERA and his 4.14 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and figures to see better results going forward.
The Toronto Blue Jays (17.9 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the least strikeout-heavy batting order on the slate.
Jack Flaherty’s 92.2-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a substantial 1.1-mph decrease from last season’s 93.3-mph figure.
Among all starters, Jack Flaherty’s fastball spin rate of 2195 rpm grades out in the 18th percentile this year.
Batting from the same side that Jack Flaherty throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will not have the upper hand in today’s game.
Jack Flaherty will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bo Bichette today.
Batting from the same side that Jack Flaherty throws from, Alejandro Kirk will have a tough challenge in today’s game.
Alejandro Kirk’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (6.8°) is considerably worse than his 9.9° figure last season.
Grading out in the 9th percentile for power, Alejandro Kirk has averaged 7.7 homers per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.
Batting from the same side that Bowden Francis throws from, Gleyber Torres will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gleyber Torres in today’s matchup.
Ernie Clement is penciled in 7th in the batting order today.
Hitting from the same side that Jack Flaherty throws from, Ernie Clement will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
In terms of plate discipline, Ernie Clement’s skill is quite poor, putting up a 3.61 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 25th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 17th percentile when estimating his home run skill.
Riley Greene will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
In terms of plate discipline, Riley Greene’s talent is quite weak, sporting a 3.93 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 23rd percentile.
Bowden Francis will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dillon Dingler in today’s game.
Dillon Dingler will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Dillon Dingler has shown bad plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 3rd percentile with a 15.37 K/BB rate.
As it relates to his home run talent, Nathan Lukes ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Nathan Lukes is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the Detroit Tigers in this game holds an estimated true talent wOBA of .314, which is a fair amount worse than their actual wOBA of .330 this year.
The Detroit Tigers have been the 2nd-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in the future,Alejandro Kirk, the Blue Jays’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, projects as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Bowden Francis will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats in all categories.
Bowden Francis’s fastball velocity has fallen 1.1 mph this year (91.7 mph) below where it was last season (92.8 mph).
Bowden Francis’s 2233-rpm spin rate on his fastball this year is a notable 131-rpm decline from last season’s 2364-rpm figure.
Bowden Francis’s four-seamer usage has jumped by 6.8% from last season to this one (49.2% to 56%) .
Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kerry Carpenter in today’s game.
As it relates to plate discipline, Kerry Carpenter’s ability is quite poor, putting up a 5.12 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 10th percentile.
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