
ATL @ PHI



Braves @ Phillies Series Game 4 Matchup Details
Series : Series Game 4
Date : Todays Game is on Sunday, August 31st
Time : 31/08/25 19:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the Atlanta Braves Game Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 7th-best park in MLB for home runs.
Citizens Bank Park has the 9th-shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball.
The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the worst among every team today.
Jesus Luzardo’s 2236-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 18th percentile among all SPs.
Compared to the average hurler, Jesus Luzardo has been granted a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing an extra 5.2 adjusted pitches each game.
When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Jesus Luzardo in the 93rd percentile among all SPs in Major League Baseball.
In his previous game started, Jesus Luzardo turned in a great performance and accumulated 11 strikeouts.
Considering the 3.83 deviation between Hurston Waldrep’s 0.90 ERA and his 4.73 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in baseball this year and figures to negatively regress in future games.
Hurston Waldrep has recorded a .254 BABIP this year, a sign that he has been one of the luckiest pitchers in MLB on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.
Generating 18 outs per GS this year on average, Hurston Waldrep ranks in the 94th percentile.
Negatives with the Philadelphia Phillies Game Today
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Jesus Luzardo’s overall pitching ability grades out in the 88th percentile among all SPs in the majors right now.
Citizens Bank Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.
In his previous outing, Jesus Luzardo turned in a great performance and conceded 2 ER.
Jesus Luzardo’s slider percentage has spiked by 8.9% from last year to this one (29.2% to 38.1%) .
Jesus Luzardo’s 95.8-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 88th percentile among all starters.
Jesus Luzardo has experienced some positive variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, compiling a 10.57 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 10.23 — a 0.34 K/9 difference.
In his previous game started, Hurston Waldrep turned in a great performance and allowed 1 ER.
It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Hurston Waldrep must realize this, because he has relied on his non-fastballs a lot this year: 81% of the time, ranking in the 99th percentile.
With a 2.40 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that is concerned with the things a pitcher has the most control over), Hurston Waldrep checks in at the 99th percentile.
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