Orioles @ Giants Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positives for the Baltimore Orioles Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Colton Cowser has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (78% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.

The #3 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.

The shallowest right field fences among all major league parks are found in Oracle Park.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 14.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Batting from the opposite that Tristan Beck throws from, Colton Cowser will have an edge in today’s game.

The #3 field in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.

Luis Matos will hold the platoon advantage over Trevor Rogers in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Luis Matos will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Luis Matos has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 8.1% seasonal rate to 25% in the past week.

Luis Matos’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 11.8% to 22%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Coby Mayo in the 78th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Coby Mayo’s launch angle recently (40.3° over the past week) is significantly higher than his 20.2° seasonal figure.

Coby Mayo has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .188 BA is a good deal lower than his .224 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.302) provides evidence that Coby Mayo has had some very poor luck this year with his .264 actual wOBA.

Casey Schmitt has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Casey Schmitt will have an advantage in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Casey Schmitt will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Casey Schmitt has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .315 figure is a good deal lower than his .341 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Dylan Beavers will have the handedness advantage against Tristan Beck in today’s game.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Dylan Beavers has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .436.

In the past 14 days, Dylan Beavers has posted an 18.9° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Jackson Holliday is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Tristan Beck throws from, Jackson Holliday will have an advantage today.

Jackson Holliday’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (16.8° over the last two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 13.6° seasonal mark.

Jung Hoo Lee’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jung Hoo Lee will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In terms of plate discipline, Jung Hoo Lee’s ability is quite good, posting a 1.43 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 91st percentile.

Samuel Basallo will hold the platoon advantage over Tristan Beck today.

In the past week’s worth of games, Samuel Basallo’s maximum exit velocity (a strong indicator of recent form and raw power) has been 112.1-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Ryan Mountcastle is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.

Ryan Mountcastle has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Despite posting a .280 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ryan Mountcastle has suffered from bad luck given the .049 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .329.

Rafael Devers projects as the 20th-best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.

Rafael Devers will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Chapman as the majors’s 16th-best home run batter.

Matt Chapman is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Matt Chapman will have an advantage in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Matt Chapman will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Batting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Wilmer Flores will have an edge today.

Wilmer Flores will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

In the last week’s worth of games, Wilmer Flores’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.1% up to 12.5%.

Wilmer Flores has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.4-mph to 91.3-mph in the past two weeks.

Dylan Carlson has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 90.8-mph average to last year’s 88.3-mph EV.

Last season, Dylan Carlson had an average launch angle of 19.7° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 23.3°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Willy Adames is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.

Batting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Willy Adames will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Willy Adames will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Paul Clemons profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be umping in today’s game.

Trevor Rogers’s 2410-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 79th percentile among all starters.

Placing in the 82nd percentile, Trevor Rogers compiled a 12.2% Swinging Strike% this year.

It may be smart to expect improved performance for the San Francisco Giants offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 2nd-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.

Trevor Rogers has recorded 19.2 outs per game per started this year, checking in at the 99th percentile.

Jeremiah Jackson is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

In the past week, Jeremiah Jackson’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.2-mph over the course of the season to 102.3-mph recently.

Over the past week, Jeremiah Jackson has displayed impressive power, recording a a 14.3% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power).

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Heliot Ramos ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.

Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Heliot Ramos will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Heliot Ramos has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Patrick Bailey will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Patrick Bailey’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 15.4% to 19.2%.

Patrick Bailey’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, increasing from 40.6% on the season to 66.7% in the last week.

Compared to his seasonal average of 15.4°, Patrick Bailey has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 22.9° figure over the last 14 days.

Patrick Bailey has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs this year; his 3.3 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is deflated compared to his 12.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 18th-best batter in baseball.

Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Tristan Beck throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Negatives with the San Francisco Giants Game Today

Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

Colton Cowser will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Posting a .214 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Colton Cowser grades out in the 8th percentile.

By putting up a 4.8 K/BB rate this year, Colton Cowser has shown bad plate discipline, grading out in the 9th percentile.

The #2 venue in MLB for suppressing home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.

In the majors, the highest average fence height are at Oracle Park.

Colton Cowser has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 27.3 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is inflated compared to his 22.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Matos in the 11th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Luis Matos is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.

In notching a .270 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Luis Matos is positioned in the 10th percentile for offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 2nd-worst venue in baseball for righty home runs.

Coby Mayo is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.

Tristan Beck will have the handedness advantage over Coby Mayo in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Coby Mayo today.

In the past 7 days, Casey Schmitt’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.6% down to 0%.

Casey Schmitt has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph dropping to 84.4-mph over the past week.

Casey Schmitt’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, decreasing from 12.9% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.

Dylan Beavers is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Dylan Beavers in today’s matchup.

Dylan Beavers has shown some bad exit velocity metrics in recent games, averaging just 88.5-mph on his flyballs in the past week’s worth of games.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jackson Holliday in today’s game.

Over the past week, Jackson Holliday’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.6% down to 0%.

Jackson Holliday’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 94.1-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 90.2-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Jung Hoo Lee is penciled in 7th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Hitting from the same side that Trevor Rogers throws from, Jung Hoo Lee meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

Jung Hoo Lee’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 88.9-mph average last season has dropped to 86.7-mph.

As it relates to his home run talent, Jung Hoo Lee ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Samuel Basallo is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

Samuel Basallo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Samuel Basallo has been cold of late, compiling a 3.4% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power) in the last two weeks.

Tristan Beck will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Mountcastle in today’s game.

Ryan Mountcastle will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

In the last 7 days, Ryan Mountcastle’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.4% down to 0%.

Trevor Rogers will hold the platoon advantage against Rafael Devers in today’s game.

Rafael Devers has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .368 figure is quite a bit higher than his .351 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his home runs, Matt Chapman has experienced some positive variance this year. His 25.5 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 20.9.

By putting up a .233 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Matt Chapman is positioned in the 19th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilmer Flores in the 1st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Wilmer Flores is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Wilmer Flores has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .307 rate is significantly inflated relative to his .272 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Dylan Carlson is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Dylan Carlson will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Tristan Beck today.

Dylan Carlson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Willy Adames’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 19.8% to 16.4%.

By putting up a .227 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Willy Adames is ranked in the 14th percentile.

In notching a .259 BABIP this year, Willy Adames finds himself in the 12th percentile.

Oracle Park ranks as the #26 ballpark in baseball for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

With 7 hitters of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Trevor Rogers encounters a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.

Trevor Rogers will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Trevor Rogers has gone to his four-seamer 8.9% more often this season (40.6%) than he did last year (31.7%).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Trevor Rogers’s overall pitching ability is in the 75th percentile out of all SPs in Major League Baseball currently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for walks.

Tristan Beck will have the handedness advantage over Jeremiah Jackson today.

Jeremiah Jackson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Jeremiah Jackson has struggled to lift the ball of late, compiling a 5.2° launch angle over the last two weeks.

Over the last week, Heliot Ramos’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.9% down to 0%.

Heliot Ramos’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 92.8-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 83.2-mph over the past 7 days.

In the past 14 days, Heliot Ramos’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (2.7°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 8.1°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Patrick Bailey in the 19th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Patrick Bailey is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Patrick Bailey will bat from his bad side against Trevor Rogers in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gunnar Henderson today.

Gunnar Henderson’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 94.7-mph EV last season has fallen to 92-mph.

Gunnar Henderson’s launch angle lately (-1.5° in the past week) is considerably lower than his 9.4° seasonal figure.

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