Braves @ Mariners Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positives for the Atlanta Braves Series Game 2 Game Today

T-Mobile Park has the 9th-shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.

,As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

,Hitting from the opposite that Bryce Elder throws from, Cole Young will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Cole Young pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.3% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Cole Young will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects T-Mobile Park as the 9th-best field in the game for LHB home runs.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

,J.P. Crawford will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Elder today.

,When assessing his home run talent, Luke Raley ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks.

,Leo Rivas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Leo Rivas will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

,In terms of plate discipline, Leo Rivas’s ability is quite impressive, posting a 1.59 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 88th percentile.

,Among every team today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.

,Over the last 7 days, Jorge Mateo’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.3% up to 20%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eli White in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,Eli White has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,As it relates to his batting average, Eli White has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .232 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .263.

,Josh Naylor is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.

,Batting from the opposite that Bryce Elder throws from, Josh Naylor will have an edge today.

,When assessing his BABIP talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.

,Julio Rodriguez will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Matt Olson ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Matt Olson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.

,Matt Olson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Kirby in today’s game.

,As it relates to his home run skill, Austin Riley ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Austin Riley is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

,T-Mobile Park grades out as the #9 ballpark in the game for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Eli White has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .287 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .315.

,Cal Raleigh, the Mariners’s expected catcher in today’s game, grades out as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The #3 venue in the majors for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

,Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and George Kirby will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,George Kirby’s sinker percentage has fallen by 8.2% from last year to this one (26.9% to 18.7%) .

,Batting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Mike Yastrzemski pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Extreme flyball hitters like Mike Yastrzemski generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like George Kirby.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Dominic Canzone ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Dominic Canzone has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Dominic Canzone will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Elder in today’s matchup.

,Over the past week, Jorge Mateo’s 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Randy Arozarena is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.

,Randy Arozarena will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Austin Riley ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Josh Naylor pulls many of his flyballs (36.3% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Mauricio Dubon is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 94% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

,Mauricio Dubon has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,Drake Baldwin is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

,J.P. Crawford has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league’s 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Bryce Elder has recorded 18.4 outs per start this year, checking in at the 92nd percentile.

,T-Mobile Park projects as the #28 ballpark in the majors for batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,In his last start, Bryce Elder turned in a great performance and allowed 0 ER.

,Bryce Elder’s sinker rate has fallen by 19.5% from last year to this one (42.2% to 22.7%) .

,Bryce Elder has posted a 3.18 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that concentrates on the variables most within a pitcher’s control) this year, ranking in the 79th percentile.

,Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

,Ozzie Albies pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Bats such as Ozzie Albies with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like George Kirby who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Josh Naylor will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Mauricio Dubon has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 87.2-mph average to last season’s 84.8-mph average.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 82nd percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts George Kirby in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching abilities.

,Tallying 19.3 outs per GS this year on average, George Kirby places him the 98th percentile.

,The underlying talent of the Atlanta Braves projected batting order today (.318 projected wOBA according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be a good deal worse than their .347 wOBA this year.

,It may be sensible to expect worse results for the Atlanta Braves offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 2nd-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

,Cole Young has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 87.9-mph figure.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Julio Rodriguez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Hitting from the opposite that Bryce Elder throws from, Luke Raley will have an advantage in today’s game.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Luke Raley ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Luke Raley will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Drake Baldwin will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Negatives with the Seattle Mariners Series Game 2 Game Today

Cole Young is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.

,T-Mobile Park ranks as the #28 stadium in the game for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,T-Mobile Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense.

,Placing in the 10th percentile, Cole Young has posted a .164 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season.

,Compared to his seasonal angle of 13.5°, J.P. Crawford has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (6.2°) in the last 14 days.

,Using Statcast metrics, J.P. Crawford grades out in the 15th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 9.500.

,In notching a .168 Isolated Power (ISO) since the start of last season, J.P. Crawford has performed in the 12th percentile.

,Luke Raley is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

,29% of the time that Luke Raley has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

,Luke Raley has exhibited bad plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 18th percentile with a 3.98 K/BB rate.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leo Rivas in the 14th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

,Leo Rivas is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

,As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Leo Rivas will bat from his worse side against Bryce Elder in today’s matchup.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jorge Mateo ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jorge Mateo is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Since the start of last season, Jorge Mateo has been pinch hit for in 15% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

,Hitting from the same side that George Kirby throws from, Jorge Mateo will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Eli White is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

,The #1 park in the league for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

,George Kirby will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eli White today.

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Eli White in today’s matchup.

,Josh Naylor’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 93.3-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 89-mph in the last week.

,Grading out in the 24th percentile, Josh Naylor sports a .158 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

,Bryce Elder will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Julio Rodriguez in today’s game.

,T-Mobile Park profiles as the #29 park in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Matt Olson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,In the last two weeks, Matt Olson’s 31% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 37.6%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Matt Olson’s true offensive skill to be a .351, implying that he has been very fortunate this year given the .073 gap between that mark and his actual .424 wOBA.

,Batting from the same side that George Kirby throws from, Austin Riley will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

,Austin Riley will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Austin Riley’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, falling from 43.4% to 37%.

,Austin Riley’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off recently, going from 37% on the season to 18.5% in the past two weeks.

,Eli White has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 8.3% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past 7 days.

,Given that groundball pitchers struggle the most against flyball hitters, George Kirby (46.5% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today’s game with 2 FB hitters in Atlanta’s projected offense.

,Out of all starting pitchers, George Kirby’s fastball spin rate of 2220 rpm grades out in the 22nd percentile this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 12th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Mike Yastrzemski is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

,This year, Mike Yastrzemski has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 16% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

,When starting against a righty hurler this year, Dominic Canzone has been pulled from the game early 37% of the time.

,Dominic Canzone’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, decreasing from 18.2% on the season to 0% in the past week.

,Batting from the same side that Bryce Elder throws from, Randy Arozarena will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Over the past 14 days, Randy Arozarena’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.7% down to 0%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 10th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Jorge Mateo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Mauricio Dubon ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,George Kirby will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mauricio Dubon today.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Mauricio Dubon in today’s matchup.

,Drake Baldwin will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Despite posting a .391 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Drake Baldwin has been very fortunate given the .052 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .339.

,It may be best to expect stronger performance for the Seattle Mariners offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 8th-unluckiest offense in the league this year.

,The 3rd-shallowest right field fences in the majors are found in T-Mobile Park.

,With 7 hitters who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Bryce Elder will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 8th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against George Kirby,Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 14th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leo Rivas in the 14th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

,This season, Austin Riley’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 15.6% last year to just 8.7% this year.

,Austin Riley’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, decreasing from 14.1% on the season to 7.4% over the past two weeks.

,Checking in at the 23rd percentile, Austin Riley sits with a .316 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

,In the last 7 days, Leo Rivas’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 90.2 mph to 77.9 mph.

,Ozzie Albies has been lucky this year, compiling a .396 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .319 — a .077 disparity.

,Based on Statcast metrics, Ozzie Albies is in the 12th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .283.

,Ranking in the 23rd percentile, Luke Raley has posted a .228 batting average since the start of last season.

,Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryce Elder in today’s matchup.

,Among all SPs, Bryce Elder’s fastball velocity of 90.9 mph is in the 12th percentile since the start of last season.

,Ranking in the 24th percentile, Bryce Elder compiled an 8.7% Swinging Strike percentage this year.

,Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Mike Yastrzemski today.

,Mike Yastrzemski has struggled with his Barrel%; his 9.1% rate last season has decreased to 2.9% this year.

,Mauricio Dubon has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 6.2% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last week.

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