SD @ SF






Padres @ Giants Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Date : Todays Game is on Tuesday, May 5th
Time : 05/05/26 21:45:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the San Diego Padres Series Game 2 Game Today
Miguel Andujar’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats.
,Miguel Andujar has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 3.2% seasonal rate to 8.7% over the last 14 days.
,Miguel Andujar has posted a .352 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, placing in the 86th percentile.
,Checking in at the 100th percentile, Miguel Andujar has notched a .315 batting average since the start of last season.
,The shallowest RF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Oracle Park.
,Drew Gilbert will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler in today’s game.
,Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Drew Gilbert will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,Oracle Park grades out as the #6 field in the majors for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,The switch-hitting Patrick Bailey will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Walker Buehler.
,Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Patrick Bailey will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,Jung Hoo Lee has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (70% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.
,Jung Hoo Lee will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler in today’s game.
,Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jung Hoo Lee will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,When estimating his home run ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Willy Adames has big-time HR ability (93rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (26.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Walker Buehler is a pitch-to-contact type (25th percentile K%) — great news for Adames.
,Willy Adames will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Willy Adames’s true offensive skill to be a .328, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .076 difference between that mark and his actual .252 wOBA.
,Hitting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an advantage in today’s game.
,Gavin Sheets pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
,In the last 14 days, Gavin Sheets’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.3-mph over the course of the season to 99.8-mph of late.
,Over the last two weeks, Gavin Sheets’s 27.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.6%.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
,Ramon Laureano is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.
,Using Statcast data, Ramon Laureano is in the 88th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .358.
,Ramon Laureano has averaged 30.4 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 89th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
,Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
,Oracle Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in the league for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Heliot Ramos has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
,Casey Schmitt is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.
,Casey Schmitt will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
,Casey Schmitt’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 15.5% to 23.8%.
,In notching a .289 Isolated Power (ISO) since the start of last season, Casey Schmitt finds himself in the 77th percentile.
,Luis Arraez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.
,Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Luis Arraez will have an edge in today’s matchup.
,Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Luis Arraez will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Manny Machado is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.
,Utilizing Statcast data, Manny Machado grades out in the 82nd percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .348.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
,Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.
,Jackson Merrill will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb today.
,In the past 7 days, Drew Gilbert’s 60% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 52.8%.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 14th-best hitter in the majors.
,Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.
,Fernando Tatis Jr. has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
,In the past 7 days, Fernando Tatis Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.2-mph over the course of the season to 102.2-mph lately.
,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
,Hitting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
,In the past two weeks, Jake Cronenworth’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.8-mph over the course of the season to 98.3-mph of late.
,Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Heliot Ramos will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
,It may be sensible to expect improved performance for the San Diego Padres offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 6th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.
,In his last outing, Logan Webb allowed a colossal 6 earned runs.
,Logan Webb has used his slider 5.8% less often this year (20.8%) than he did last year (26.6%).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the 3rd-best hitter in the league when assessing his batting average talent.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryce Eldridge in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
,Bryce Eldridge will have the handedness advantage over Walker Buehler in today’s game.
,Bryce Eldridge has strong power (91st percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (30.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Walker Buehler has a pitch-to-contact profile (8th percentile K%) — great news for Eldridge.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Patrick Bailey’s true offensive ability to be a .272, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .079 gap between that mark and his actual .193 wOBA.
,As it relates to his home runs, Manny Machado has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His 23.8 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been quite a bit lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 28.2.
,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Rafael Devers ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Rafael Devers is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
,Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.
,Xander Bogaerts’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 13.5% to 17%.
,Xander Bogaerts has put up a .272 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Logan Webb is projected to throw 98 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 2nd-most of all pitchers on the slate.
,When assessing his home run skill, Rafael Devers ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Batting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Rafael Devers will have an edge in today’s matchup.
,When it comes to his home run skill, Bryce Eldridge ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Casey Schmitt’s launch angle of late (26.4° over the past two weeks) is considerably better than his 22° seasonal mark.
,Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Walker Buehler has gone to his off-speed and breaking balls 12.7% more often this year (71.5%) than he did last season (58.8%).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
,Miguel Andujar has compiled a .468 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, ranking in the 85th percentile.
,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Xander Bogaerts ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Compared to his seasonal average of 11°, Xander Bogaerts has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 23.8° figure over the past week.
Negatives with the San Francisco Giants Series Game 2 Game Today
Miguel Andujar is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.
,Oracle Park ranks as the #27 venue in the game for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Among all stadiums, the highest average fence height are at Oracle Park.
,Oracle Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.
,In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts the 5th-best pitching conditions of all games today.
,Drew Gilbert is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.
,This year, Drew Gilbert has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 25% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 4th-worst stadium in the league for LHB home runs.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Patrick Bailey in the 7th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
,Patrick Bailey is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.
,Patrick Bailey has been pulled from the game early 10% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 6th percentile when estimating his home run skill.
,Jung Hoo Lee’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 90-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 87.9-mph in the past 7 days.
,Willy Adames has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (79% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Sheets in the 19th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
,Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup.
,10% of the time that Gavin Sheets has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.
,Hitting from the same side that Logan Webb throws from, Ramon Laureano will have a tough matchup today.
,Hitting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Heliot Ramos will have a disadvantage today.
,Heliot Ramos’s launch angle this season (8.2°) is considerably lower than his 12° mark last season.
,Walker Buehler will have the handedness advantage against Casey Schmitt today.
,As it relates to his home run talent, Luis Arraez ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Luis Arraez has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 5.9 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a good deal higher than his 0.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,Batting from the same side that Logan Webb throws from, Manny Machado meets a tough challenge today.
,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Manny Machado in today’s game.
,Over the last 7 days, Manny Machado’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 90.6 mph to 77.5 mph.
,Jackson Merrill will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
,Jackson Merrill has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 10.2% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
,Drew Gilbert’s BABIP talent is projected in the 8th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Logan Webb will have the handedness advantage over Fernando Tatis Jr. in today’s matchup.
,Walker Buehler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Willy Adames in today’s matchup.
,In the past 14 days, Willy Adames’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.2% down to 0%.
,Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.
,Jake Cronenworth will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
,Logan Webb projects as the 15th-best starter in the league currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Adam Hamari grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be behind the plate in this game.
,Projected catcher Patrick Bailey profiles as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,The #1 field in MLB for suppressing walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.
,Luis Arraez’s 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power) ranks in the 0th percentile this year.
,Bryce Eldridge is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.
,Since the start of last season, Bryce Eldridge has been pinch hit for in 17% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.
,Rafael Devers’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 15.1% to 11.4%.
,Hitting from the same side that Logan Webb throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have a tough matchup in today’s game.
,Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
,Fernando Tatis Jr.’s launch angle this year (3.2°) is quite a bit worse than his 9.6° angle last year.
,From last year to this one, Jackson Merrill’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 47.9% to 34.1%.
,The San Diego Padres (20.6 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 5th-least strikeout-heavy batting order of all teams today.
,Out of all starters, Logan Webb’s fastball spin rate of 2106.9 rpm grades out in the 13th percentile since the start of last season.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Walker Buehler in the 13th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching talent level.
,Walker Buehler has tallied 12.5 outs per start this year, placing in the 6th percentile.
,The San Francisco Giants have been the 3rd-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better the rest of the season,Compared to his seasonal angle of 12.1°, Jung Hoo Lee has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-15.2°) in the past two weeks.
,Jake Cronenworth’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 15% to 8.7%.
,Ramon Laureano will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
,In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Ramon Laureano’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 93.4 mph to 88.6 mph.
,Xander Bogaerts will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
,Xander Bogaerts’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 88.7-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 78.9-mph in the last 7 days.
,Sporting a .110 batting average since the start of last season, Bryce Eldridge is ranked in the 6th percentile.
,Casey Schmitt has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph dropping to 82.6-mph in the last 7 days.
,Casey Schmitt’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined lately, falling from 38.8% on the season to 25% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Walker Buehler in the 24th percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.
,The San Francisco Giants have 6 bats in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler in today’s game.
,Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Walker Buehler in today’s matchup.
,Checking in at the 9th percentile, Walker Buehler recorded a 7.9% Swinging Strike percentage since the start of last season.
,Hitting from the same side that Logan Webb throws from, Miguel Andujar will have a tough challenge today.
,Miguel Andujar will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
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