ATL @ LAD





Braves @ Dodgers Matchup Details
Date : Todays Game is on Friday, May 8th
Time : 08/05/26 22:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the Atlanta Braves Game Today
Teoscar Hernandez’s BABIP talent is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best field in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs.
,Dodger Stadium has the shortest average fence height in the majors.
,Teoscar Hernandez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today’s game… and the cherry on top, Sale has a huge platoon split.
,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Will Smith ranks as the 20th-best batter in MLB.
,Will Smith is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
,Will Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Sale today… and moreover, Sale has a huge platoon split.
,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Emmet Sheehan’s overall pitching ability grades out in the 88th percentile out of all starters in Major League Baseball right now.
,Emmet Sheehan has averaged 92.3 adjusted pitches per outing this year, ranking in the 75th percentile.
,The underlying talent of the Atlanta Braves projected batting order today (.321 projected wOBA per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be significantly worse than their .341 wOBA this year.
,The Atlanta Braves have been the 2nd-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse the rest of the season,Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics across the board, and Emmet Sheehan will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.
,The #2 field in the majors for boosting home runs to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.
,Ozzie Albies has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.1-mph to 90.6-mph over the last two weeks.
,In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Ozzie Albies’s 53.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.5%.
,Mauricio Dubon has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (86% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.
,Mauricio Dubon has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 87.3-mph average to last season’s 84.8-mph figure.
,Mauricio Dubon’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 46.7% on the season to 57.9% in the last week.
,When it comes to his strikeout talent, Emmet Sheehan projects as the 18th-best SP in the game currently, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 10th-best venue in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.
,Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Emmet Sheehan has utilized his secondary offerings 5% more often this year (60.2%) than he did last season (55.2%).
,Miguel Rojas will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Sale today… and even more favorably, Sale has a huge platoon split.
,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Miguel Rojas will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 96th percentile when estimating his home run skill.
,Max Muncy will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.
,Max Muncy has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.6-mph to 96.5-mph over the past week.
,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best batter in the league.
,Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
,Matt Olson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.
,When assessing his home run skill, Sean Murphy ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Sean Murphy’s 13% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) ranks in the 86th percentile since the start of last season.
,Hitting from the opposite that Emmet Sheehan throws from, Matt Olson will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
,The Barrel% of Matt Olson has significantly improved, with an increase from 14.1% last year to 19.4% this season.
,As it relates to his home run talent, Austin Riley ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Austin Riley has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 97.7-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 91-mph mark.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Tucker in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
,Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.
,Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Tucker will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,Kyle Tucker has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph to 91.5-mph over the last 14 days.
,Compared to his seasonal average of 17.5°, Kyle Tucker has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 23.9° angle over the past two weeks.
,Batting from the opposite that Emmet Sheehan throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have an edge in today’s game.
,Despite posting a .241 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mike Yastrzemski has suffered from bad luck given the .077 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .318.
,With a 1.71 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Mike Yastrzemski has displayed good plate discipline, placing in the 82nd percentile.
,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (22.6) provides evidence that Mike Yastrzemski has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his 15.1 actual HR/600.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 15th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his batting average talent.
,Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
,Because of Chris Sale’s huge platoon split, Andy Pages will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.
,Batting from the opposite that Emmet Sheehan throws from, Jim Jarvis will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Drake Baldwin ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Drake Baldwin is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
,Michael Harris II is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
,Michael Harris II will hold the platoon advantage over Emmet Sheehan in today’s matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
,Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage today.
,Teoscar Hernandez has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph to 93.5-mph over the past 14 days.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 89th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
,Freddie Freeman will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
,Freddie Freeman has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.5-mph to 95.8-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
,Considering Chris Sale’s huge platoon split, Santiago Espinal will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.
,Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Santiago Espinal will hold that advantage today.
,Ozzie Albies’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, rising from 14.2% on the season to 18.6% over the last 14 days.
,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Austin Riley ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Austin Riley has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.9-mph average to last season’s 94.7-mph average.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Austin Riley’s true offensive skill to be a .339, suggesting that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .062 difference between that figure and his actual .277 wOBA.
,Chris Sale projects as the 18th-best starter in the majors right now, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Chris Sale is expected to throw 98 pitches in this matchup, which is the 3rd-highest number of pitches for all pitchers on the slate today. This estimate is based on his inherent tendencies and the nature of the matchup.
,The Los Angeles Dodgers have been the 9th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse the rest of the season,In his last GS, Chris Sale was rolling and allowed 0 ER.
,Placing in the 86th percentile, Chris Sale notched a 12.9% Swinging Strike% this year.
,Drake Baldwin will hold the platoon advantage over Emmet Sheehan in today’s game.
,Drake Baldwin has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 97.8-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 91.7-mph mark.
,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Andy Pages ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Ozzie Albies and his 17.4° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 90th percentile, among the highest in the league since the start of last season.
,Checking in at the 86th percentile, Ozzie Albies has posted a .377 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.
,Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Shohei Ohtani will hold that advantage today.
,Shohei Ohtani’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 18.2% to 22%.
,Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Andy Pages will hold that advantage today.
,Based on Statcast data, Andy Pages is in the 85th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .279.
,Michael Harris II hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
,Michael Harris II has made significant gains with his Barrel%, upping his 9.1% rate last season to 18.9% this year.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
,Compared to his seasonal average of 14.5°, Max Muncy has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 35° angle in the past week.
,Max Muncy’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 39.1% to 52.9%.
,Placing in the 92nd percentile, the hardest ball Sean Murphy has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.4 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power skill.
,Sean Murphy has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 16.5° mark is among the highest in the game since the start of last season (79th percentile).
,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Michael Harris II ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Will Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
,Will Smith will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
,Miguel Rojas’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 46.7% to 60.9%.
,Chris Sale projects as the 9th-best SP in Major League Baseball right now when assessing his strikeout skill, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Chris Sale has recorded a 29.8% K% this year, grading out in the 94th percentile.
Negatives with the Los Angeles Dodgers Game Today
Teoscar Hernandez has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.
,In the last week’s worth of games, Teoscar Hernandez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10% down to 0%.
,In the past 7 days, Teoscar Hernandez’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.8%.
,Teoscar Hernandez has displayed poor plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 12th percentile with a 4.43 K/BB rate.
,Will Smith’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 18.6% on the season to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.
,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Will Smith (the Dodgers’s expected catcher today) grades out as a weak pitch framer.
,Dodger Stadium profiles as the #3 stadium in the game for home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Among all parks, Dodger Stadium’s centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.
,With 6 batters of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Emmet Sheehan will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.
,Ozzie Albies’s BABIP ability is projected in the 8th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will bat from his weak side (0) today against Emmet Sheehan,Ozzie Albies pulls many of his flyballs (39.8% — 97th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
,Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ozzie Albies today.
,Despite posting a .389 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ozzie Albies has been lucky given the .070 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .319.
,When estimating his home run skill, Mauricio Dubon ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Batting from the same side that Emmet Sheehan throws from, Mauricio Dubon will have a tough matchup today.
,Mauricio Dubon has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Mauricio Dubon today.
,Mauricio Dubon has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 5.7% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last 7 days.
,Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 2nd-least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Atlanta Braves with a 20.6% underlying K%.
,Emmet Sheehan’s 93.4-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a notable 1.6-mph drop off from last season’s 95-mph figure.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 11th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
,Miguel Rojas is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.
,Miguel Rojas has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 27% of the time when starting against a southpaw since the start of last season.
,In the past 7 days, Miguel Rojas’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.5% down to 0%.
,Miguel Rojas’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 89.9-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 85.6-mph in the past 7 days.
,Max Muncy is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.
,Because of Chris Sale’s huge platoon split, Max Muncy will be at a gigantic disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in this game.
,Today, Max Muncy is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 40.3% rate (98th percentile).
,There has been a significant decline in Max Muncy’s launch angle from last year’s 19.8° to 14.5° this season.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Max Muncy’s true offensive talent to be a .350, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .051 difference between that mark and his actual .401 wOBA.
,Given Chris Sale’s huge platoon split, Shohei Ohtani will be at a tremendous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish today.
,Shohei Ohtani has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 23.7% rate last season has lowered to 18.7% this year.
,Shohei Ohtani has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 18.7% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week.
,Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Matt Olson in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Matt Olson’s true offensive ability to be a .354, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .082 deviation between that figure and his actual .436 wOBA.
,Sean Murphy is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.
,Emmet Sheehan will have the handedness advantage against Sean Murphy today.
,Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Sean Murphy in today’s game.
,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (25.0) provides evidence that Sean Murphy has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his 28.0 actual HR/600.
,Using Statcast data, Sean Murphy grades out in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .208.
,The #9 venue in the majors for suppressing base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.
,Matt Olson’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off in recent games, decreasing from 38.9% on the season to 27.8% over the last week.
,Austin Riley is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
,Hitting from the same side that Emmet Sheehan throws from, Austin Riley will be in a tough position in today’s game.
,Austin Riley will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
,In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Austin Riley’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 39%.
,Austin Riley has notched a .266 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 18th percentile.
,Chris Sale will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Tucker in today’s matchup… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Sale’s huge platoon split.
,Kyle Tucker pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37% — 91st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
,Kyle Tucker’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 92.4-mph EV last year has dropped off to 90.3-mph.
,Mike Yastrzemski’s BABIP talent is projected in the 13th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Mike Yastrzemski is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game.
,15% of the time that Mike Yastrzemski has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.
,Today, Mike Yastrzemski is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.7% rate (85th percentile).
,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Mike Yastrzemski in today’s matchup.
,Chris Sale will have the handedness advantage against Freddie Freeman in today’s game… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Sale’s huge platoon split.
,In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Freddie Freeman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.8% down to 5%.
,Compared to his seasonal figure of 11.6°, Freddie Freeman has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.6°) in the past two weeks.
,Andy Pages is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.
,Compared to his seasonal figure of 13.7°, Andy Pages has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3°) in the past 14 days.
,Andy Pages’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 19.4% to 13.7%.
,Andy Pages has been cold recently, notching a 2.5% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) in the past 14 days.
,Despite posting a .401 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Andy Pages has had positive variance on his side given the .072 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .329.
,When assessing his home run talent, Jim Jarvis ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Jim Jarvis is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.
,Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jim Jarvis in today’s matchup.
,Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Drake Baldwin in today’s matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Drake Baldwin’s true offensive ability to be a .340, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .043 gap between that figure and his actual .383 wOBA.
,Michael Harris II will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
,In terms of plate discipline, Michael Harris II’s talent is quite bad, putting up a 6.96 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 1st percentile.
,The #9 field in baseball for suppressing BABIP to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.
,When it comes to his home run ability, Santiago Espinal ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Santiago Espinal is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.
,Santiago Espinal has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 16% of the time when starting against a left-handed starter since the start of last season.
,Santiago Espinal has put up a .248 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 2nd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,Santiago Espinal has paced 0.0 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 0th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,In notching a .283 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Ozzie Albies finds himself in the 12th percentile for offensive ability.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 21st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
,In the last 14 days, Drake Baldwin’s 8.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.4%.
,The Los Angeles Dodgers projected lineup grades out as the strongest of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.
,Chris Sale will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
,Grading out in the 78th percentile, Chris Sale has put up a 3.35 K/BB rate this year.
,Posting a .326 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Austin Riley finds himself in the 24th percentile.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 16th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jim Jarvis ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 16th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
,Michael Harris II has been lucky this year, posting a .358 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .328 — a .030 deviation.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 19th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
,This year, Mike Yastrzemski’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 9.1% last year to just 2.6% this year.
,Chris Sale’s slider usage has fallen by 6.8% from last season to this one (47.3% to 40.5%) .
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