
TOR @ ATL






Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Friday, September 6th
06/09/24 19:20:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Blue Jays vs Braves Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
Ernie Clement has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (82% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for boosting offensive stats to RHB.
Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.
Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Ernie Clement will have the upper hand in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to lefties.
The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team in action today.
Spencer Horwitz’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, going from 47.1% on the season to 55.9% over the past 14 days.
Max Fried projects as the 8th-best pitcher in the game right now, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Compared to the average starter, Max Fried has been given more leash than the typical pitcher this year, tallying an additional 6.4 adjusted pitches each start.
Truist Park has the 3rd-deepest left field fences among all major league parks.
Max Fried has a large reverse platoon split and should be aided by facing 7 opposite-handed bats in this matchup.
Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Max Fried will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
George Springer is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.
George Springer will have the handedness advantage against Max Fried in today’s matchup.
George Springer’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, rising from 14.7% on the season to 44.4% in the past week.
When estimating his home run ability, Daulton Varsho ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Daulton Varsho is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.
The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Truist Park.
Extreme flyball hitters like Daulton Varsho usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Max Fried.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leo Jimenez in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
Leo Jimenez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in the game when it comes to his batting average ability.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.
Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have an edge today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Max Fried in the 79th percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
Alejandro Kirk is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
The #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.
Alejandro Kirk will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today’s matchup.
Truist Park ranks as the #5 park in the game for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Spencer Horwitz ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Spencer Horwitz has recorded a .344 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, placing in the 84th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Spencer Horwitz ranks in the 88th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (19.2% rate this year).
With a 1.56 K/BB rate this year, Spencer Horwitz has demonstrated good plate discipline, grading out in the 92nd percentile.
When estimating his home run talent, Davis Schneider ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Davis Schneider will have the upper hand today.
Hitters such as Davis Schneider with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Max Fried who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Davis Schneider’s true offensive ability to be a .317, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .038 difference between that figure and his actual .279 wOBA.
Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Brian Serven will have an edge in today’s game.
Brian Serven’s footspeed has gotten better this season. His 25.14 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.96 ft/sec now.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Davis Schneider ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. projects as the 5th-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
There has been a significant improvement in Alejandro Kirk’s launch angle from last season’s 6.2° to 9.2° this year.
In the last week’s worth of games, Ernie Clement’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.1% up to 12.5%.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Ernie Clement’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.8%.
Negative Match Player Stats with Blue Jays vs Braves
Ernie Clement pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% , — 76th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ernie Clement in today’s matchup.
Ernie Clement’s 85.6-mph average exit velocity is among the worst in the league this year: 8th percentile.
Ernie Clement has posted a .263 BABIP this year, grading out in the 16th percentile.
Spencer Horwitz has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (96% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.
Hitting from the same side that Max Fried throws from, Spencer Horwitz will be in a tough position in today’s game.
Spencer Horwitz has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Spencer Horwitz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Spencer Horwitz’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 88.1-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 82.3-mph over the last 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for BABIP.
Given that groundball pitchers struggle the most against flyball hitters, Max Fried (52.3% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today’s game with 2 FB hitters in Toronto’s projected lineup.
Max Fried’s 2216-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 25th percentile out of all starters.
Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for George Springer in today’s matchup.
George Springer has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 9.7% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.
In the past week, George Springer’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 93.3 mph to 89.3 mph.
Max Fried will have the handedness advantage over Daulton Varsho in today’s matchup.
Daulton Varsho will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 24.5°, Daulton Varsho has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (21.1°) over the past two weeks.
Daulton Varsho has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .309 rate is a fair amount higher than his .276 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Leo Jimenez is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.
When starting against a lefty hurler this year, Leo Jimenez has been pulled from the game early 25% of the time.
Leo Jimenez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
Leo Jimenez has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.5-mph dropping to 80.4-mph over the past 7 days.
Typically, hitters like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Max Fried.
Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today’s matchup.
There has been a significant decline in Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s launch angle from last year’s 10.2° to 6.8° this year.
The Toronto Blue Jays (20.2 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 4th-least strikeout-prone team of batters of all teams today.
Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alejandro Kirk in today’s matchup.
In the last 14 days, Alejandro Kirk’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 93.4 mph to 80.8 mph.
Alejandro Kirk’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined lately, decreasing from 39.9% on the season to 25% in the past 14 days.
Alejandro Kirk has put up a .265 BABIP this year, placing in the 18th percentile.
Daulton Varsho’s BABIP talent is projected in the 3rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Placing in the 13th percentile for power, Alejandro Kirk has hit 9.1 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.
In notching a .242 BABIP this year, George Springer has performed in the 4th percentile.
Davis Schneider is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.
This year, Davis Schneider has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 25% of his appearances when starting against left-handed starter.
Davis Schneider pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 3rd-deepest LF fences today.
Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Davis Schneider in today’s game.
From last season to this one, Davis Schneider’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 96.5 mph to 92.5 mph.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Brian Serven ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Brian Serven is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.
Brian Serven will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Max Fried has been unlucky this year, putting up a 3.52 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 3.23 — a 0.29 deviation.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, falling from 13.6% on the season to 8.3% in the last 14 days.
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Alejandro Kirk’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (1.5°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 9.9°.
Despite posting a .406 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been very fortunate given the .015 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .391.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 17th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
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