Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Athletics vs Astros Series Game 3 Matchup Today

As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Jacob Lopez in the 90th percentile among all starting pitchers in the league.

It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (CB Bucknor) calling pitches in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Minute Maid Park as the 3rd-best park in the game for strikeouts.

Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.

The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -10° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching.

Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest left field fences in the league.

The Athletics outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team in action today.

Jacob Wilson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, increasing from 14.6% on the season to 25.8% over the last two weeks.

As it relates to plate discipline, Jacob Wilson’s talent is quite good, posting a 1.5 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 86th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Wilson as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average skill.

Jacob Wilson has put up a .310 batting average this year, placing in the 98th percentile.

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Cam Smith is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Cam Smith is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Hitting from the opposite that Jacob Lopez throws from, Cam Smith will have an edge in today’s game.

Cam Smith will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Nicholas Kurtz projects as the 14th-best home run batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nicholas Kurtz is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Nicholas Kurtz will have an edge today.

Over the last 14 days, Nicholas Kurtz has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 19% to 34.8%.

Nicholas Kurtz has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 98.7-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 93.3-mph average.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Nicholas Kurtz ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Christian Walker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Jacob Lopez throws from, Christian Walker will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Christian Walker pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Christian Walker will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Victor Caratini has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (53% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Victor Caratini will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Victor Caratini has put up a .274 batting average this year, placing in the 77th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Jose Altuve is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Jose Altuve will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob Lopez in today’s game.

Jose Altuve pulls a lot of his flyballs (41% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jose Altuve ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jose Altuve will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Mauricio Dubon’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Jacob Lopez throws from, Mauricio Dubon will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Mauricio Dubon will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Compared to his seasonal average of 11.8°, Mauricio Dubon has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 24.9° mark in the last two weeks.

Mauricio Dubon’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 12.1% to 21.2%.

In terms of plate discipline, Mauricio Dubon’s skill is quite impressive, posting a 1.66 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 83rd percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Brent Rooker ranks as the 14th-best hitter in MLB.

Brent Rooker is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Brent Rooker pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme flyball bats like Brent Rooker generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Brown.

Brent Rooker has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 14.9% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gio Urshela in the 82nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Gio Urshela has made substantial strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 2.9% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last week’s worth of games.

Gio Urshela’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, rising from 20.2% on the season to 33.3% over the past week.

Gio Urshela’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 47.5% to 53.8%.

Gio Urshela’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 16.8% to 20.2%.

Batting from the opposite that Jacob Lopez throws from, Chas McCormick will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Chas McCormick will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Chas McCormick’s launch angle recently (32.8° in the last 7 days) is quite a bit higher than his 22° seasonal mark.

Last season, Chas McCormick had an average launch angle of 15.6° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 28.6°.

Chas McCormick has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .257 mark is quite a bit lower than his .283 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Hunter Brown projects as the 20th-best SP in Major League Baseball currently when it comes to his strikeout skill, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Throwing 94.4 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Hunter Brown ranks in the 90th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Hunter Brown as the 17th-best starting pitcher in the league right now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Soderstrom in the 84th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Tyler Soderstrom is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Tyler Soderstrom will have an edge today.

Tyler Soderstrom has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Tyler Soderstrom has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 13% seasonal rate to 20% in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Soderstrom in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

When assessing his home run talent, Shea Langeliers ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Shea Langeliers is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

Shea Langeliers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Shea Langeliers’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, rising from 14.7% on the season to 23.5% in the last 7 days.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.270) suggests that Shea Langeliers has had some very poor luck this year with his .243 actual batting average.

Shea Langeliers has hit 28.8 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 84th percentile for power.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Shea Langeliers ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Cooper Hummel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Cooper Hummel will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Cooper Hummel has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .263 mark is deflated compared to his .304 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Yainer Diaz is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Jacob Lopez throws from, Yainer Diaz will have an edge in today’s game.

Yainer Diaz will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Yainer Diaz ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

There has been a significant improvement in Yainer Diaz’s launch angle from last year’s 8.7° to 12.3° this year.

Carlos Cortes is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Minute Maid Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for HRs.

Carlos Cortes will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Brown today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lawrence Butler in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Lawrence Butler will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Lawrence Butler has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

In the past week’s worth of games, Lawrence Butler’s 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.2%.

Checking in at the 83rd percentile, the hardest ball Lawrence Butler has made contact with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.6 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power skill.

Lawrence Butler’s launch angle in recent games (21.3° over the last week) is significantly higher than his 7.3° seasonal mark.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Lawrence Butler ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Negative Match Player Stats with Athletics vs Astros Series Game 3

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Jacob Lopez is projected to throw 85 pitches in today’s matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 9th-least on the slate today.

Shea Langeliers, the Athletics’s expected catcher in today’s game, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Houston Astros have 9 hitters in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage against Jacob Lopez in this game.

Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jacob Lopez in today’s game.

Among all starting pitchers, Jacob Lopez’s fastball velocity of 90 mph grades out in the 12th percentile this year.

The Houston Astros have been the 5th-luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse going forward,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Minute Maid Park as the 8th-worst park in baseball for batting average.

Among all major league stadiums, the 3rd-highest fence height (on average) are at Minute Maid Park.

As it relates to his home run skill, Jacob Wilson ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jacob Wilson is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Hitting from the same side that Hunter Brown throws from, Jacob Wilson will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 7th-worst venue in the game for run-scoring.

Minute Maid Park grades out as the #22 field in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Today, Cam Smith is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.6% rate (89th percentile).

Cam Smith has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph dropping to 85.9-mph over the past 14 days.

Nicholas Kurtz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 9th-deepest CF fences today.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nicholas Kurtz in today’s matchup.

The #8 venue in MLB for suppressing batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

Christian Walker’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 94.2-mph figure last year has dropped off to 92.2-mph.

Christian Walker’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 92.2-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 84.1-mph in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 15th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Victor Caratini’s BABIP talent is projected in the 18th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Victor Caratini hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Victor Caratini has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 9% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last week.

Jose Altuve has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 6.4% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last 7 days.

Jose Altuve has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 84.9-mph dropping to 82.5-mph in the last two weeks.

Mauricio Dubon is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Mauricio Dubon has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and will be challenged by the game’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his home run ability, Mauricio Dubon ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hunter Brown will hold the platoon advantage against Brent Rooker today.

Brent Rooker will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Gio Urshela is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Gio Urshela has been pulled from the game early 10% of the time.

When it comes to his home run skill, Gio Urshela ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Chas McCormick is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

28% of the time that Chas McCormick has started against a left-handed pitcher since the start of last season, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Yainer Diaz (the Astros’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) is considered to be a weak pitch framer.

Hunter Brown’s higher usage rate of his fastball this season (60 vs. 53% last season) is not ideal since they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Given the 0.59 discrepancy between Hunter Brown’s 10.89 K/9 and his 10.30 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in baseball this year when it comes to strikeouts and should perform worse in future games.

Hunter Brown has recorded a .268 BABIP this year, a sign that he has been one of the luckiest mound aces in Major League Baseball on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.

The Athletics have done a favorable job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their highest exit velocity balls. Their 17.3° mark is among the highest in the game this year (#1 overall).

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tyler Soderstrom in today’s matchup.

Tyler Soderstrom’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 98.2-mph EV last year has lowered to 94.6-mph.

Hunter Brown will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shea Langeliers today.

Shea Langeliers will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Cooper Hummel’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Cooper Hummel is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.

Cooper Hummel has been pulled from the game early 28% of the time when starting against a lefty on the mound this year.

Yainer Diaz hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 9th-deepest CF fences today.

Yainer Diaz’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 93.1-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 87.3-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Cortes in the 5th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Carlos Cortes in today’s game.

Lawrence Butler is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Lawrence Butler will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

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