
NYY @ BAL






MLB Player match stats positives for New York at Baltimore Tuesday Matchup
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84, °.
Hitting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Jorge Mateo will have an advantage in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Jorge Mateo will hold that advantage in today’s game.
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jorge Mateo has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .271 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .323.
Jorge Mateo can really hit the ball hard. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.2 mph) rank him among the game’s best: in the 75th percentile since the start of last season.
Anthony Rizzo is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP.
Anthony Rizzo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer in today’s game.
Anthony Rizzo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.
Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF fences in the league.
Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.
Austin Wells will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer in today’s game.
The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among every team playing today.
Austin Wells is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of Baltimore (#2-worst of the day).
Austin Wells has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .286 rate is quite a bit lower than his .331 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The 4th-best projected offense of the day in terms of overall batting ability is that of the New York Yankees.
Dean Kremer’s fastball velocity has dropped 1.2 mph this season (92.9 mph) below where it was last year (94.1 mph).
Dean Kremer has been one of the luckiest pitchers in MLB on balls in play this year with a .229 BABIP and ought to see that luck normalize going forward.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Nestor Cortes in the 84th percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.
Nestor Cortes has averaged 93.1 adjusted pitches per GS this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile.
Nestor Cortes’s four-seam fastball rate has dropped by 5.1% from last season to this one (52% to 46.9%) .
Considering the 1.18 difference between Nestor Cortes’s 8.00 K/9 and his 9.18 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in MLB this year when it comes to strikeouts and should see positive regression going forward.
Cedric Mullins II pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Cedric Mullins II will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.
The #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Gleyber Torres ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Gleyber Torres has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Despite posting a .256 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gleyber Torres has had some very poor luck given the .076 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .332.
As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Oswaldo Cabrera will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Dean Kremer in today’s matchup.
Ryan Mountcastle’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ryan Mountcastle is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.
Hitting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Ryan Mountcastle will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Ryan Mountcastle has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Anthony Volpe is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.
Giancarlo Stanton projects as the 6th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Giancarlo Stanton has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .328 mark is significantly inflated relative to his .295 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Jordan Westburg is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.
Hitting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Jordan Westburg will have an edge in today’s game.
Jordan Westburg will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the 2nd-best batter in the league.
Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.
Aaron Judge hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.347) may lead us to conclude that Oswaldo Cabrera has suffered from bad luck this year with his .311 actual wOBA.
With a .358 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Gleyber Torres finds himself in the 89th percentile for hitting ability.
Trent Grisham will hold the platoon advantage over Dean Kremer today.
Trent Grisham hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 4th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser as the 13th-best batter in MLB when assessing his BABIP ability.
Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage in today’s game.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best hitter in the league.
Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.
Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer in today’s matchup.
Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Rizzo in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.
As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Adley Rutschman will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Nestor Cortes in today’s game.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.242) suggests that Anthony Volpe has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .221 actual batting average.
The standard deviation of Anthony Volpe’s launch angle since the start of last season (25.2°) is in the 93rd percentile. A low figure like this tends to lead to a higher rate of base hits.
Aaron Judge has been unlucky this year, putting up a .335 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .404 — a .069 deviation.
Anthony Santander is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.
The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Nestor Cortes.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Anthony Santander will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run skill.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ryan Mountcastle ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nestor Cortes in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall pitching skills.
It may be wise to expect worse numbers for the Baltimore Orioles offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 2nd-luckiest offense in the league this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
Colton Cowser has been hot lately, putting up a .428 wOBA in the last 14 days.
Grading out in the 79th percentile, Colton Cowser has put up a .335 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.
Cedric Mullins II has been hot lately, hitting 3 homers in the past two weeks.
Trent Grisham has been unlucky in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 14.6 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is considerably lower than his 23.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Very few of Oswaldo Cabrera’s struck balls have a “too-high” (above 38°) launch angle, which helps him to avoid making lazy pop fly outs. His 21.1% “too-high” rate since the start of last season ranks in the 77th percentile.
Giancarlo Stanton’s 15.8% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power) grades out in the 95th percentile since the start of last season.
The New York Yankees have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Aaron Judge, Trent Grisham, Giancarlo Stanton).
Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Dean Kremer will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Dean Kremer was rolling in his previous start and posted 10 strikeouts.
Adley Rutschman will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.
Gunnar Henderson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
As it relates to his home run ability, Cedric Mullins II ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Current MLB player match stat slumps with Yankees vs Orioles Matchup for Tuesday
Jorge Mateo is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.
Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #27 field in the majors for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The deepest LF fences in the league are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Among all major league stadiums, the 9th-tallest fence height (on average) are at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Jorge Mateo has done a poor job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 7.8° angle is among the lowest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (20th percentile).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Rizzo in the 7th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Anthony Rizzo will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
Anthony Rizzo has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .252 figure is a fair amount higher than his .233 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Grading out in the 4th percentile for Sprint Speed at 24.5 ft/sec this year, Anthony Rizzo is not very athletic.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 4th-worst venue in MLB for LHB home runs.
Nestor Cortes will have the handedness advantage against Gunnar Henderson in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Gunnar Henderson’s true offensive talent to be a .351, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .046 difference between that figure and his actual .397 wOBA.
Austin Wells is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.
When starting against a northpaw this year, Austin Wells has been pulled from the game early 14% of the time.
Austin Wells has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s deepest LF fences in today’s game.
The New York Yankees have been the 5th-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in the future, It is anticipated that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (CB Bucknor) in charge of the strike zone today.
Projected catcher Adley Rutschman profiles as a good pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #29 venue in the majors for walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The Baltimore Orioles have 6 bats in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage over Nestor Cortes today.
Nestor Cortes will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Among all starting pitchers, Nestor Cortes’s fastball velocity of 90.7 mph grades out in the 17th percentile this year.
Cedric Mullins II’s BABIP talent is projected in the 10th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Cedric Mullins II is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Hitting from the same side that Nestor Cortes throws from, Cedric Mullins II faces a tough challenge in today’s game.
In terms of his batting average, Cedric Mullins II has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His .231 figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .203.
Sporting a .278 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Cedric Mullins II is ranked in the 9th percentile for hitting ability.
Dean Kremer will hold the platoon advantage over Giancarlo Stanton in today’s matchup.
Giancarlo Stanton will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Giancarlo Stanton is in the 1st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (32.7% rate since the start of last season).
Checking in at the 2nd percentile, Giancarlo Stanton sports a .228 BABIP since the start of last season.
Austin Wells will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
This season, there has been a decline in Austin Wells’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.46 ft/sec last year to 25.96 ft/sec currently.
Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
Dean Kremer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gleyber Torres today.
Gleyber Torres will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oswaldo Cabrera in the 25th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Oswaldo Cabrera is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Oswaldo Cabrera in today’s matchup.
Posting a .220 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Oswaldo Cabrera finds himself in the 13th percentile.
Oswaldo Cabrera’s 4% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) grades out in the 14th percentile since the start of last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ryan Mountcastle’s true offensive ability to be a .341, suggesting that he has been very fortunate this year given the .043 disparity between that mark and his actual .384 wOBA.
Dean Kremer will hold the platoon advantage against Anthony Volpe today.
Anthony Volpe will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
This year, there has been a decline in Jorge Mateo’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 30.08 ft/sec last year to 29.39 ft/sec currently.
Jordan Westburg pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 82nd percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jordan Westburg’s true offensive skill to be a .318, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .066 deviation between that mark and his actual .384 wOBA.
Dean Kremer will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Judge in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Aaron Judge today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 12th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Trent Grisham is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Trent Grisham in today’s matchup.
Ranking in the 20th percentile, Trent Grisham sports a .293 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.
Trent Grisham has put up a .191 batting average since the start of last season, ranking in the 1st percentile.
Colton Cowser is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Batting from the same side that Nestor Cortes throws from, Colton Cowser has a tough challenge in today’s game.
Colton Cowser has been lucky this year, notching a .428 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .311 — a .117 disparity.
Juan Soto will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Juan Soto has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 29.9 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a good deal higher than his 25.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Juan Soto ranks in just the 11th percentile with a 6.6° launch angle, which is among the most groundball-inducing angles in baseball.
Jorge Mateo has notched a .276 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 10th percentile.
Anthony Rizzo has hit 22.9% of his balls in the air 100 mph or harder since the start of last season, grading out in the 17th percentile.
Juan Soto has been lucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .282 BA is considerably higher than his .265 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 3rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
In today’s matchup, Anthony Santander is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 40.5% rate (98th percentile).
Extreme flyball batters like Anthony Santander tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Nestor Cortes.
Checking in at the 14th percentile, the hardest ball Anthony Volpe has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 108.7 mph — an advanced indication of underlying power skill.
Posting a .223 batting average since the start of last season, Anthony Volpe grades out in the 16th percentile.
This season, there has been a decline in Anthony Santander’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.64 ft/sec last year to 25.93 ft/sec currently.
In terms of his batting average, Anthony Santander has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His .251 BA has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .234.
Jordan Westburg’s speed has declined this season. His 28.9 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.33 ft/sec now.
The 5th-best projected lineup on the slate in terms of overall batting skill is that of the Baltimore Orioles.
Trent Grisham has compiled a .346 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, checking in at the 14th percentile.
Oswaldo Cabrera has performed at a clip of 10.2 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 12th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Gleyber Torres has been cold recently, limping his way to a .256 wOBA in the last week’s worth of games.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (17.0) suggests that Cedric Mullins II has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his 22.7 actual HR/600.
Yankees vs Orioles Match Player Stats Tuesday April 30th New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles Game Predictions, Players odds, Tuesday lines and Betting Trends
Yankees vs Orioles match player stats Tuesday, April 30th pre matchup. New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles player predictions
