
KC @ MIN




MLB Player match stats positives for Kansas City at Minnesota Wednesday Matchup
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Miranda in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jose Miranda will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Maikel Garcia’s BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Maikel Garcia is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.
Extreme groundball bats like Maikel Garcia usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Ober.
Utilizing Statcast metrics, Maikel Garcia is in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .289.
When it comes to his home run skill, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Ryan Jeffers will hold that advantage today.
Ryan Jeffers’s 11.7% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) ranks in the 82nd percentile since the start of last season.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Carlos Correa ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Carlos Correa is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.
Carlos Correa will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Carlos Correa has been hot recently, hitting his way to a .349 wOBA in the past 14 days.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.336) suggests that Carlos Correa has had positive variance on his side this year with his .349 actual wOBA.
Byron Buxton projects as the 10th-best home run hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Byron Buxton will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
In terms of his home runs, Byron Buxton has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His 25.2 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 33.5.
Byron Buxton’s 14.4% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) grades out in the 92nd percentile since the start of last season.
Bailey Ober’s 91.2-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 19th percentile among all starters.
The Kansas City Royals have done a good job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their hardest-contacted balls. Their 13.6° mark is among the highest in the majors since the start of last season (#6 overall).
Kyle Isbel will hold the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
In notching a .325 BABIP since the start of last season, Willi Castro is positioned in the 85th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 86th percentile when assessing his home run skill.
Trevor Larnach is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.
Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Trevor Larnach will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Trevor Larnach will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Using Statcast metrics, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 82nd percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 26.200.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Bashing 2 homers in the last week, Jose Miranda has been on fire lately.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 89th percentile when assessing his home run skill.
Salvador Perez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.
Salvador Perez has been hot lately, tallying a .384 wOBA over the last 14 days.
Salvador Perez and his 15° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 77th percentile, among the highest in baseball since the start of last season.
Salvador Perez has really hit the cover off the baseball. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.4 mph) put him among the league’s best: in the 77th percentile since the start of last season.
When assessing his home run ability, Nelson Velazquez ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Nelson Velazquez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.
Nelson Velazquez has notched a .346 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 87th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Nelson Velazquez has averaged 42.7 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 99th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Since the start of last season, Nelson Velazquez’s 21.1% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 99th percentile among his peers.
Hunter Renfroe has been unlucky this year, notching a .243 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .304 — a .061 discrepancy.
Grading out in the 75th percentile, the hardest ball Hunter Renfroe has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.2 mph — an advanced indication of underlying power ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien as the 9th-best batter in MLB when assessing his BABIP skill.
Edouard Julien will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Edouard Julien will hold that advantage today.
Sporting a .364 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Edouard Julien is ranked in the 92nd percentile for offensive skills.
Projected catcher Salvador Perez grades out as a weak pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Seth Lugo today.
Seth Lugo’s fastball velocity has decreased 1 mph this year (91.8 mph) below where it was last season (92.8 mph).
Seth Lugo’s curveball percentage has fallen by 10.8% from last year to this one (29.3% to 18.5%) .
Given the 2.53 deviation between Seth Lugo’s 1.74 ERA and his 4.27 estimated true talent ERA (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the majors this year and should negatively regress in the future.
Ranked in the 90th percentile, Maikel Garcia has one of the highest average exit velocities in MLB since the start of last season (91.8-mph).
Bobby Witt Jr. projects as the 15th-best batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.
Whalloping 4 HRs over the last week, Bobby Witt Jr. has been on fire in recent games.
Utilizing Statcast metrics, Bobby Witt Jr. is in the 97th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .388.
Bobby Witt Jr.’s 11.6% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) is in the 79th percentile since the start of last season.
Bobby Witt Jr. has put up a .307 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 98th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Nelson Velazquez’s 95.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to assess power) ranks in the 89th percentile since the start of last season.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Byron Buxton ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Byron Buxton’s maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to study power) has been 116.9 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 97th percentile.
Grading out in the 81st percentile, the hardest ball Bobby Witt Jr. has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.8 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power skill.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Max Kepler ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Max Kepler is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.
Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage over Seth Lugo in today’s game.
Max Kepler will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Max Kepler has been hot in recent games, batting his way to a .366 wOBA in the last two weeks.
In notching a 30.400 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Max Kepler is positioned in the 88th percentile for power.
Recording 95.1 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Seth Lugo checks in at the 87th percentile.
The Minnesota Twins have 4 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Trevor Larnach, Ryan Jeffers, Byron Buxton, Edouard Julien).
Target Field projects as the #8 venue in the league for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Renfroe in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
Very few of Hunter Renfroe’s struck balls have a “too-high” (above 38°) launch angle, which helps him to avoid making easy pop fly outs. His 22.8% “too-high” rate since the start of last season ranks in the 87th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Kirilloff in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Alex Kirilloff is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Alex Kirilloff will have the upper hand today.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Alex Kirilloff will hold that advantage in today’s game.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Edouard Julien ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Bailey Ober in the 86th percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball.
With 7 batters who share his handedness in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Bailey Ober figures to benefit from owning the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.
Bailey Ober will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his metrics in all categories.
Trevor Larnach’s 97-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to study power) grades out in the 94th percentile since the start of last season.
Alex Kirilloff has been hot in recent games, cracking 2 homers over the past week.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Salvador Perez ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Very few of Willi Castro’s struck balls have a “too-high” (above 38°) launch angle, which helps him to avoid hitting into easy outs. His 20.9% “too-high” rate since the start of last season grades out in the 75th percentile.
Current MLB player match stat slumps with Royals vs Twins Matchup for Wednesday
Jose Miranda is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
Batting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Jose Miranda will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
In today’s game, Jose Miranda is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.3% rate (92nd percentile).
This season, there has been a decline in Jose Miranda’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.63 ft/sec last year to 26.1 ft/sec currently.
Despite posting a .334 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jose Miranda has had some very good luck given the .031 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .303.
The #7 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing offensive stats to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.
Among all major league stadiums, the 5th-tallest average fence height are at Target Field.
Bailey Ober will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Maikel Garcia in today’s matchup.
In today’s game, Maikel Garcia is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.7% rate (88th percentile).
Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Maikel Garcia in today’s matchup.
Seth Lugo will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Jeffers in today’s game.
Ryan Jeffers pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 11th-deepest LF fences today.
Despite posting a .366 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ryan Jeffers has experienced some positive variance given the .042 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .324.
The #4 venue in the majors for suppressing home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.
Target Field has the 10th-deepest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums.
Hitting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Carlos Correa will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.
Carlos Correa is in the 8th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (11.8% rate since the start of last season).
Byron Buxton has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (94% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.
Batting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Byron Buxton will be in a tough position today.
Byron Buxton pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.8% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Bailey Ober’s overall pitching ability is in the 86th percentile among all starters in the game currently.
The Kansas City Royals have been the 9th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in future games, It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Edwin Jimenez) behind the plate in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 5th-worst stadium in baseball for home runs.
Kyle Isbel’s BABIP skill is projected in the 21st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Kyle Isbel is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.
This year, Kyle Isbel has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 11% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.
Target Field projects as the #24 park in baseball for overall LHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Willi Castro is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.
As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Willi Castro will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Seth Lugo in today’s game.
This season, there has been a decline in Trevor Larnach’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.64 ft/sec last year to 25.18 ft/sec currently.
Bailey Ober will have the handedness advantage against Salvador Perez today.
Salvador Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Extreme groundball hitters like Salvador Perez tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Bailey Ober.
Batting from the same side that Bailey Ober throws from, Nelson Velazquez faces a tough challenge in today’s game.
Nelson Velazquez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Renfroe in the 3rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Hunter Renfroe is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game.
Bailey Ober will hold the platoon advantage over Hunter Renfroe today.
Edouard Julien has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (88% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today.
Edouard Julien has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.1%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Placing in the 17th percentile, the hardest ball Edouard Julien has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 108.9 mph — an advanced indication of underlying power ability.
In his previous start, Seth Lugo was in good form and allowed 1 ER.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 15th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
Batting from the same side that Bailey Ober throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.
Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Bobby Witt Jr. has been lucky this year, compiling a .384 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .359 — a .025 disparity.
Sporting a 3.71 K/BB rate this year, Nelson Velazquez has displayed poor plate discipline, ranking in the 22nd percentile.
Ranking in the 24th percentile, Nelson Velazquez has put up a .252 BABIP since the start of last season.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.203) may lead us to conclude that Byron Buxton has been lucky since the start of last season with his .217 actual batting average.
With a 3.87 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Byron Buxton has demonstrated weak plate discipline, ranking in the 18th percentile.
This season, there has been a decline in Willi Castro’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.59 ft/sec last year to 27.95 ft/sec currently.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Willi Castro’s true offensive talent to be a .298, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .027 difference between that mark and his actual .325 wOBA.
Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Kyle Isbel in today’s game.
The #4 stadium in the league for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.
Max Kepler has been lucky this year, compiling a .366 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .327 — a .039 difference.
Max Kepler’s quickness has declined this season. His 27.37 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.32 ft/sec now.
Hunter Renfroe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.8% — 98th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Hunter Renfroe will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
In today’s game, Alex Kirilloff is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 38.6% rate (95th percentile).
Ranking in the 14th percentile, the hardest ball Alex Kirilloff has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 108.7 mph — an advanced indication of underlying power skill.
With a .210 batting average this year, Alex Kirilloff grades out in the 21st percentile.
Since the start of last season, Maikel Garcia’s 4.5% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 15th percentile among his peers.
Sporting a 13.900 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Alex Kirilloff is positioned in the 24th percentile for power.
Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Salvador Perez today.
Despite posting a .384 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Salvador Perez has been lucky given the .064 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .320.
Royals vs Twins Match Player Stats Wednesday May 29th Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins Game Predictions, Players odds, Wednesday lines and Betting Trends
Royals vs Twins match player stats Wednesday, May 29th pre matchup. Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins player predictions
