
KC @ TOR






MLB Player match stats positives for Kansas City at Toronto Wednesday Matchup
As it relates to his home run talent, Nelson Velazquez ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in the majors.
Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays.
With a .346 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Nelson Velazquez finds himself in the 86th percentile for offensive ability.
Utilizing Statcast data, Nelson Velazquez grades out in the 99th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 42.700.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Maikel Garcia is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.
Maikel Garcia hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
When it comes to his batting average, Maikel Garcia has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .263 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .289.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
When assessing his home run skill, MJ Melendez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
MJ Melendez will have the handedness advantage against Chris Bassitt in today’s matchup.
MJ Melendez has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .265 mark is considerably lower than his .380 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Salvador Perez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Salvador Perez has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .424.
Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.
Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an advantage today.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Daulton Varsho has been hot lately, cracking 4 dingers over the past 14 days.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Bobby Witt Jr. ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.
In the past week’s worth of games, Bobby Witt Jr. has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .385.
When it comes to his home runs, Bobby Witt Jr. has been unlucky since the start of last season. His 24.6 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been significantly deflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 31.4.
Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Danny Jansen has performed at a clip of 34.5 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 96th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Danny Jansen grades out in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (21.4% rate since the start of last season).
Danny Jansen has recorded a .368 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season, grading out in the 94th percentile.
Kyle Isbel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today’s matchup.
Michael Massey is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
Michael Massey will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today’s game.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.314) implies that Michael Massey has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .280 actual wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Hunter Renfroe’s true offensive skill to be a .304, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .088 deviation between that mark and his actual .216 wOBA.
Grading out in the 75th percentile, the hardest ball Hunter Renfroe has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.2 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power skill.
Since the start of last season, Maikel Garcia has an average exit velocity of 91.8 mph, which ranks among the best in MLB at the 90th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.
Batting from the opposite that Chris Bassitt throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have an advantage in today’s game.
Vinnie Pasquantino hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Vinnie Pasquantino has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 20.6 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a good deal lower than his 25.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. projects as the 11th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .258 BA is quite a bit lower than his .295 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
When it comes to his home run talent, Salvador Perez ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
When assessing his home run skill, Danny Jansen ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Danny Jansen has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .419.
Chris Bassitt gave up a colossal 7 earned runs in his last GS.
With a 5.57 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that concentrates on the things most within a pitcher’s control), Chris Bassitt checks in at the 9th percentile.
Placing 6th-highest in the league since the start of last season, Kansas City Royals batters as a group have put up a 13.6° launch angle on their hardest-hit balls (an advanced standard to measure power skills).
The Toronto Blue Jays have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season, Projected catcher Salvador Perez profiles as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Seth Lugo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Seth Lugo’s 91.6-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a substantial 1.2-mph decrease from last season’s 92.8-mph mark.
Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Addison Barger will have an advantage in today’s game.
Addison Barger will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Turner in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.
Justin Turner is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.
Justin Turner hits many of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Justin Turner will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Hitting 2 long-balls in the last week’s worth of games, Justin Turner has been on fire in recent games.
Nelson Velazquez’s 21.1% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) grades out in the 99th percentile since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, Nelson Velazquez’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to study power) is in the 89th percentile at 95.8 mph.
Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Cavan Biggio will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Cavan Biggio hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Cavan Biggio will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Cavan Biggio is in the 100th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (23% rate since the start of last season).
A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher BABIP, and Cavan Biggio’s 26.5° mark (79th percentile) since the start of last season indicates a strong hitting profile.
Justin Turner and his 15.9° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 85th percentile, among the highest in the game since the start of last season.
Chris Bassitt has been given a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 8.9 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than league average.
Rogers Centre ranks as the #3 stadium in baseball for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
When estimating his batting average ability, Bo Bichette is projected as the 6th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Bo Bichette is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.
Bo Bichette will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.
Bo Bichette’s speed has improved this season. His 27.08 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.72 ft/sec now.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has suffered from bad luck this year. His .306 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .354.
Daulton Varsho’s 20.3° launch angle (a reliable stat to measure a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in MLB: 96th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
George Springer is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.
George Springer will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, George Springer has been unlucky this year. His .279 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .405.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .304 mark is considerably higher than his .257 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Over the last two weeks, Justin Turner has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .378.
Seth Lugo has averaged 19 outs per game per started this year, ranking in the 95th percentile.
Seth Lugo has displayed favorable control this year, putting up a 77th percentile Walk% of 6.3%.
Michael Massey has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 19.4 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is considerably lower than his 27.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Michael Massey ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 19.6° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in Major League Baseball.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Bo Bichette has been unlucky this year, posting a .256 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .335 — a .079 deviation.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
Danny Jansen has recorded a .343 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 77th percentile.
As it relates to his home run ability, Daulton Varsho ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
In terms of his batting average, Bobby Witt Jr. has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .282 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .307.
Seth Lugo was rolling in his last start and put up 9 strikeouts.
Seth Lugo has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 5.45 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.79 — a 2.34 K/9 difference.
As it relates to his home run skill, Hunter Renfroe ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Very few of Hunter Renfroe’s balls in play have a “too-high” (above 38°) launch angle, which helps him to avoid hitting into easy pop-up outs. His 22.8% “too-high” rate since the start of last season grades out in the 87th percentile.
MJ Melendez’s 11.6% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) grades out in the 79th percentile since the start of last season.
Salvador Perez really hits the ball hard. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.4 mph) rank him among MLB’s best: in the 77th percentile since the start of last season.
Current MLB player match stat slumps with Royals vs Blue Jays Matchup for Wednesday
Nelson Velazquez is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
Rogers Centre ranks as the #21 field in the majors for overall right-handed offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The league’s 8th-tallest fence height (on average) can be found at Rogers Centre.
Chris Bassitt will hold the platoon advantage over Nelson Velazquez in today’s matchup.
Nelson Velazquez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Hitting from the same side that Chris Bassitt throws from, Maikel Garcia will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Maikel Garcia today.
Based on Statcast metrics, Maikel Garcia grades out in the 6th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 6.000.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 2nd percentile when estimating his home run skill.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.
Batting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Isiah Kiner-Falefa faces a tough challenge today.
When it comes to his home runs, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His 9.3 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 6.0.
MJ Melendez has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (88% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 10th-worst field in the league for boosting offensive stats to left-handed batters.
Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for MJ Melendez in today’s matchup.
Sporting a .221 batting average since the start of last season, MJ Melendez grades out in the 14th percentile.
The #10 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.
Batting from the same side that Chris Bassitt throws from, Salvador Perez will have a disadvantage in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Salvador Perez today.
Despite posting a .424 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Salvador Perez has had some very good luck given the .101 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .323.
In notching a .298 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Salvador Perez is positioned in the 21st percentile for offensive ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 6th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
10% of the time that Daulton Varsho has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Daulton Varsho’s true offensive skill to be a .313, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .038 deviation between that mark and his actual .351 wOBA.
Chris Bassitt will hold the platoon advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. in today’s matchup.
Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Danny Jansen in the 3rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
Danny Jansen is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today.
Hitting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Danny Jansen will have a tough challenge in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Isbel in the 19th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Kyle Isbel is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.
Rogers Centre ranks as the #21 venue in the majors for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Kyle Isbel will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
With a .270 wOBA over the past two weeks, Kyle Isbel has been struggling at the plate.
Maikel Garcia’s 4.5% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) ranks in the 15th percentile since the start of last season.
Maikel Garcia has recorded a .293 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 20th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 20th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Michael Massey has been pulled from the game early 17% of the time.
Michael Massey will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
Michael Massey has been cold recently, limping his way to a .232 wOBA over the last two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Renfroe in the 3rd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Hunter Renfroe is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.
Hunter Renfroe has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 11% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.
Batting from the same side that Chris Bassitt throws from, Hunter Renfroe faces a tough challenge today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 17th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
Vinnie Pasquantino will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Vinnie Pasquantino’s 90.1-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to measure power) ranks in the 17th percentile since the start of last season.
Seth Lugo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today’s game.
When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and his 11.5% rank in the 6th percentile since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Danny Jansen has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 109 mph (an advanced standard to evaluate power), placing in the 18th percentile.
Vinnie Pasquantino’s quickness has fallen off this year. His 25.82 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.36 ft/sec now.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Chris Bassitt in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent.
Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher metrics in all categories, and Chris Bassitt will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Chris Bassitt has used his four-seamer 6.5% less often this season (2.8%) than he did last year (9.3%).
Considering the 1.66 discrepancy between Chris Bassitt’s 5.64 ERA and his 3.98 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the league this year and ought to see positive regression the rest of the season.
Seth Lugo will have the handedness advantage over 6 opposing hitters today.
In his last start, Seth Lugo was in good form and allowed 0 ER.
Toronto’s 88.6-mph average exit velocity since the start of last season ranks among the worst in baseball: #23 overall.
Addison Barger is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.
Addison Barger has been cold recently, putting up a .059 wOBA in the last week.
Seth Lugo will hold the platoon advantage against Justin Turner today.
When it comes to his batting average, Justin Turner has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His .279 BA has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .235.
Based on Statcast metrics, Justin Turner grades out in the 23rd percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .300.
Placing in the 25th percentile, Nelson Velazquez sits with a .256 BABIP since the start of last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cavan Biggio in the 21st percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
Cavan Biggio is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game.
This year, Cavan Biggio has been pinch hit for in 18% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.
As it relates to his home runs, Justin Turner has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His 22.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 14.8.
Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Justin Turner has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 108.2 mph (a reliable standard to assess power), placing in the 10th percentile.
Chris Bassitt has notched a 6.7% Swinging Strike% this year, ranking in the 3rd percentile.
Hitting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Bo Bichette faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Cavan Biggio has been lucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .232 rate is quite a bit higher than his .220 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Ranked in the 23rd percentile, Daulton Varsho’s average exit velocity of 87.8 mph ranks among the lowest in MLB since the start of last season.
Batting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, George Springer will be in a tough position in today’s game.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s 3.1% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) ranks in the 8th percentile since the start of last season.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s 88.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to study power) grades out in the 8th percentile since the start of last season.
Placing in the 9th percentile, Michael Massey has notched a .276 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.
Utilizing Statcast data, Kyle Isbel ranks in the 10th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .279.
With a .256 wOBA in the last 14 days, Bo Bichette has been struggling at the plate.
In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Bo Bichette ranks in just the 10th percentile with a 6.4° launch angle, which is among the most groundball-inducing angles in the league.
This season, there has been a decline in Danny Jansen’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.12 ft/sec last year to 26.31 ft/sec currently.
Seth Lugo has gone to his curveball 6.6% less often this season (22.7%) than he did last year (29.3%).
Placing in the 22nd percentile, Seth Lugo notched an 8.5% Swinging Strike rate this year.
Ranking in the 2nd percentile, Vinnie Pasquantino sports a .230 BABIP since the start of last season.
Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Hunter Renfroe today.
Cavan Biggio has paced 14.0 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 25th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Ranked in the 25th percentile, Cavan Biggio’s average exit velocity of 87.9 mph ranks among the lowest in MLB since the start of last season.
Royals vs Blue Jays Match Player Stats Wednesday May 1st Kansas City Royals at Toronto Blue Jays Game Predictions, Players odds, Wednesday lines and Betting Trends
Royals vs Blue Jays match player stats Wednesday, May 1st pre matchup. Kansas City Royals at Toronto Blue Jays player predictions
