
COL @ PIT






MLB Player match stats positives for Colorado at Pittsburgh Friday Matchup
This contest is predicted to have the 14th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Rowdy Tellez will hold the platoon advantage over Cal Quantrill today.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage today.
Rowdy Tellez has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last season’s 23.36 ft/sec to 24.31 ft/sec now (according to Statcast’s Sprint Speed metric).
Rowdy Tellez has been unlucky this year, notching a .250 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .321 — a .071 gap.
Brenton Doyle has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (76% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.
Brenton Doyle will have the handedness advantage over Martin Perez in today’s game.
Brenton Doyle and his 15.3° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 80th percentile, among the highest in the game since the start of last season.
Brenton Doyle has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial talent for batting average), placing in the 78th percentile in THE BAT X’s Spray Score since the start of last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke’Bryan Hayes in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Ke’Bryan Hayes is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Ke’Bryan Hayes will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.335) provides evidence that Ke’Bryan Hayes has experienced some negative variance this year with his .318 actual wOBA.
Batting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Sean Bouchard will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Using Statcast data, Sean Bouchard ranks in the 88th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .352.
Sean Bouchard has paced 44.3 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 100th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Sean Bouchard’s 100.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 99th percentile since the start of last season.
As it relates to his home run ability, Jack Suwinski ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Batting from the opposite that Cal Quantrill throws from, Jack Suwinski will have the upper hand today.
Jack Suwinski has a ton of pop (96th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (29.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Cal Quantrill doesn’t generate many whiffs (14th percentile K%) — great news for Suwinski.
Jack Suwinski will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Joey Bart has strong power (84th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (31.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Cal Quantrill has a pitch-to-contact profile (7th percentile K%) — great news for Bart.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Joey Bart will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Joey Bart has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 17.7° angle is among the highest in the majors since the start of last season (83rd percentile).
Joey Bart has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a core talent for batting average), grading out in the 89th percentile in THE BAT X’s Spray Score since the start of last season.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.333) may lead us to conclude that Charlie Blackmon has suffered from bad luck this year with his .279 actual wOBA.
In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Charlie Blackmon ranks in the 88th percentile with a 17.7° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in the league.
With a 1.54 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Charlie Blackmon has shown good plate discipline, placing in the 89th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.
Ezequiel Tovar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Martin Perez today.
Ezequiel Tovar ranks in the 96th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (49.8% rate since the start of last season).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 84th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
Ryan McMahon is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.
Ryan McMahon has a ton of pop (84th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (29.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Martin Perez doesn’t generate many whiffs (15th percentile K%) — great news for McMahon.
Notching 2 long-balls over the last 7 days, Ryan McMahon has been on fire of late.
Elias Diaz is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.
Hitting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Elias Diaz will have an edge today.
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Elias Diaz has suffered from bad luck this year. His .325 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .327.
Elias Diaz grades out in the 84th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (46.6% rate since the start of last season).
Elehuris Montero is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.
Batting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Elehuris Montero will have an advantage in today’s game.
Checking in at the 83rd percentile of THE BAT X’s Spray Score since the start of last season, Elehuris Montero demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields – a crucial talent for achieving a high batting average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Andrew McCutchen will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Based on Statcast metrics, Andrew McCutchen is in the 82nd percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .352.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Connor Joe ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Connor Joe is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.
Connor Joe will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Over the past 7 days, Connor Joe has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .369.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Jared Triolo will hold that advantage today.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.287) implies that Jared Triolo has had some very poor luck this year with his .254 actual wOBA.
Jared Triolo is in the 95th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (52.4% rate since the start of last season).
When estimating his home run talent, Oneil Cruz ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Oneil Cruz is penciled in 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
Batting from the opposite that Cal Quantrill throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Oneil Cruz has a ton of pop (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (30.9% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Cal Quantrill doesn’t generate many whiffs (9th percentile K%) — great news for Cruz.
Notching 2 long-balls over the last week, Elehuris Montero has been on fire in recent games.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jack Suwinski ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Jack Suwinski has been unlucky this year, putting up a .243 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .325 — a .082 disparity.
Sean Bouchard grades out in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (36% rate since the start of last season).
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (17.1) implies that Charlie Blackmon has been unlucky since the start of last season with his 10.6 actual HR/600.
Batting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Alan Trejo will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Alan Trejo grades out in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (50.3% rate since the start of last season).
When assessing his home run ability, Joey Bart ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Joey Bart has been hot recently, putting up a .379 wOBA in the last week.
Recording 93.7 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Cal Quantrill places in the 86th percentile.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Oneil Cruz, Jack Suwinski, Henry Davis).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke’Bryan Hayes in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
Ryan McMahon has been hot lately, posting a .381 wOBA over the past 7 days.
Since the start of last season, Ryan McMahon’s flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to measure power) ranks in the 92nd percentile at 95.5 mph.
Ryan McMahon grades out in the 82nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (46.4% rate since the start of last season).
Brenton Doyle has been hot lately, hitting his way to a .353 wOBA in the last week’s worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.
As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Cal Quantrill today.
Bryan Reynolds will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Alan Trejo has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 18.1° angle is among the highest in MLB since the start of last season (85th percentile).
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Cal Quantrill’s overall pitching ability is in the 23rd percentile out of all starters in the game currently.
It may be smart to expect better results for the Pittsburgh Pirates offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 6th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.
The Colorado Rockies projected lineup ranks as the worst of all teams today in terms of overall hitting ability.
Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Martin Perez will hold that advantage today.
Colorado Rockies batters as a unit have been one of the worst in MLB since the start of last season ( 3rd-worst) when it comes to their 87.9-mph average exit velocity.
When it comes to his home run ability, Rowdy Tellez ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Oneil Cruz’s BABIP talent is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Oneil Cruz will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Current MLB player match stat slumps with Rockies vs Pirates Matchup for Friday
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rowdy Tellez in the 3rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Rowdy Tellez is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today.
Rowdy Tellez has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 21% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.
Among every team in action today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies.
Using Statcast data, Rowdy Tellez grades out in the 7th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .208.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Brenton Doyle ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Brenton Doyle will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
This season, there has been a decline in Brenton Doyle’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 29.9 ft/sec last year to 29.02 ft/sec currently.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brenton Doyle’s true offensive skill to be a .272, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .081 disparity between that figure and his actual .353 wOBA.
Using Statcast data, Brenton Doyle ranks in the 3rd percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .262.
Cal Quantrill will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ke’Bryan Hayes in today’s game.
Ke’Bryan Hayes’s speed has dropped off this year. His 27.11 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.46 ft/sec now.
Ke’Bryan Hayes has done a weak job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 7.9° mark is among the lowest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (20th percentile).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Bouchard in the 21st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Sean Bouchard is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this matchup.
Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Sean Bouchard in today’s game.
This year, there has been a decline in Sean Bouchard’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.25 ft/sec last year to 26.6 ft/sec currently.
Jack Suwinski has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (74% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.
Jack Suwinski is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Colorado (#2-best of the day).
Jack Suwinski’s quickness has decreased this season. His 28.56 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.96 ft/sec now.
By putting up a .213 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jack Suwinski finds himself in the 9th percentile.
Joey Bart’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Joey Bart is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.
Cal Quantrill will hold the platoon advantage against Joey Bart today.
Today, Joey Bart is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.6% rate (84th percentile).
Among every team in action today, the best infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies.
Charlie Blackmon has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.
Martin Perez will have the handedness advantage against Charlie Blackmon today.
Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Charlie Blackmon today.
Charlie Blackmon’s 89.3-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to evaluate power) grades out in the 11th percentile since the start of last season.
Charlie Blackmon has been very bad at hitting the ball to all fields (an important skill for batting average), checking in at the 24th percentile in THE BAT X’s Spray Score since the start of last season.
Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ezequiel Tovar in today’s game.
This season, there has been a decline in Ezequiel Tovar’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.08 ft/sec last year to 27.38 ft/sec currently.
Despite posting a .326 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ezequiel Tovar has experienced some positive variance given the .036 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .290.
Posting a .302 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Ezequiel Tovar is positioned in the 25th percentile for hitting ability.
Ezequiel Tovar’s 90.4-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to measure power) grades out in the 23rd percentile since the start of last season.
Martin Perez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan McMahon today.
Ryan McMahon has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and will be challenged by the game’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Ryan McMahon will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ryan McMahon’s true offensive ability to be a .311, suggesting that he has been lucky this year given the .070 disparity between that mark and his actual .381 wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 14th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Elias Diaz in today’s matchup.
Elias Diaz’s footspeed has decreased this season. His 25.03 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 24.22 ft/sec now.
With a .290 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Elias Diaz is ranked in the 18th percentile.
Elias Diaz has exhibited poor plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 22nd percentile with a 3.66 K/BB rate.
Elehuris Montero will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Elehuris Montero’s quickness has fallen off this year. His 26.57 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.9 ft/sec now.
Elehuris Montero has put up a .252 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 1st percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Utilizing Statcast metrics, Elehuris Montero is in the 4th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .197.
Elehuris Montero has done a weak job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 6.1° angle is among the lowest in the game since the start of last season (15th percentile).
Cal Quantrill will have the handedness advantage over Andrew McCutchen today.
Andrew McCutchen pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 78th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
When it comes to his home runs, Andrew McCutchen has been lucky since the start of last season. His 15.9 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 13.4.
Andrew McCutchen has really struggled to hit the ball hard. If you were to take the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (105.7 mph) rate him as one of MLB’s worst: in the 23rd percentile since the start of last season.
Andrew McCutchen is in the 15th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (12.8% rate since the start of last season).
Cal Quantrill will hold the platoon advantage against Connor Joe today.
Connor Joe has been lucky this year, posting a .369 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .317 — a .052 deviation.
Jared Triolo is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.
Batting from the same side that Cal Quantrill throws from, Jared Triolo meets a tough challenge in today’s game.
Jared Triolo has been cold in recent games, limping his way to a .254 wOBA over the last two weeks.
Jared Triolo has posted a .135 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season, placing in the 3rd percentile.
Oneil Cruz has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.
Oneil Cruz’s speed has dropped off this year. His 28.66 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.08 ft/sec now.
Andrew McCutchen’s footspeed has declined this year. His 28.41 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.46 ft/sec now.
With a .243 wOBA in the past 14 days, Jack Suwinski has been struggling at the plate.
Elehuris Montero has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 19.4 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is quite a bit higher than his 15.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Grading out in the 5th percentile, Elehuris Montero has put up a .267 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.
Posting a .190 Isolated Power (ISO) since the start of last season, Elias Diaz has performed in the 20th percentile.
When it comes to his home run talent, Charlie Blackmon ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alan Trejo in the 3rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
Alan Trejo is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.
Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alan Trejo today.
Alan Trejo’s footspeed has declined this year. His 26.4 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.93 ft/sec now.
Alan Trejo has posted a .266 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 22nd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Joey Bart has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .280 mark is significantly inflated relative to his .244 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Cal Quantrill in the 3rd percentile among all SPs in the majors.
Elias Diaz, the Rockies’s expected catcher in today’s game, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Cal Quantrill in today’s matchup.
Grading out in the 2nd percentile, Brenton Doyle has notched a .251 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.
This season, there has been a decline in Bryan Reynolds’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.75 ft/sec last year to 27.06 ft/sec currently.
Bryan Reynolds has a high rate of hitting “too-high” (above 38° launch angle) balls, which lead to a lot of easy pop-outs; his 14.5% rate puts him in the 24th percentile among MLB hitters since the start of last season.
Alan Trejo has paced 8.6 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 24th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The 7.5% Barrel% of the Pittsburgh Pirates makes them the #23 team in the league since the start of last season by this metric.
Pittsburgh ranks as the #28 club in Major League Baseball when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (14.6% rate since the start of last season).
Ryan McMahon’s 9.5° launch angle (a reliable metric to assess a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most groundball-inducing in MLB: 21st percentile.
It may be sensible to expect positive regression for the Colorado Rockies offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 8th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.
Henry Davis, the Pirates’s expected catcher today, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
As a team, Colorado Rockies batters have performed well as it relates to hitting balls in the launch angle span that tends to result the most in base hits (between -4° and 26°), placing best in the majors.
When estimating his home run ability, Jared Triolo ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jared Triolo has really struggled to hit the ball hard. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (100.1 mph) rank him among baseball’s worst: in the 11th percentile since the start of last season.
Rowdy Tellez has been cold recently, posting a .250 wOBA in the past two weeks.
Using Statcast data, Rowdy Tellez is in the 9th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .277.
Checking in at the 10th percentile, Rowdy Tellez has put up a .277 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.
Ranking in the 8th percentile, Ezequiel Tovar has notched a .275 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.
Rockies vs Pirates Match Player Stats Friday May 3rd Colorado Rockies at Pittsburgh Pirates Game Predictions, Players odds, Friday lines and Betting Trends
Rockies vs Pirates match player stats Friday, May 3rd pre matchup. Colorado Rockies at Pittsburgh Pirates player predictions
