MLB Player match stats positives for Cincinnati at Pittsburgh Wednesday Matchup

When estimating his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his good side against Mitch Keller in this game.

Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Nick Martini will have the handedness advantage over Mitch Keller in today’s game.

Nick Martini is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Pittsburgh Pirates only has 1 same-handed RP.

Despite posting a .255 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Martini has experienced some negative variance given the .054 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .309.

Ke’Bryan Hayes will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .279 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .324 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Since the start of last season, Ke’Bryan Hayes has an average exit velocity of 92.1 mph, which ranks among the best in the majors at the 93rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jack Suwinski in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Jack Suwinski will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene today.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jack Suwinski will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jack Suwinski’s true offensive ability to be a .317, implying that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .059 disparity between that mark and his actual .258 wOBA.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to better offense.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Connor Joe will hold that advantage today.

Connor Joe has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .326 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .303 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Connor Joe ranks in the 79th percentile with a 16.3° launch angle, which is one of the most flyball-inducing angles in baseball.

Mitch Keller has been given a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 4.6 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than the average starting pitcher.

The Cincinnati Reds (24.7% K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 5th-most strikeout-prone set of hitters of all teams today.

It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Alex MacKay) behind the plate in this game.

Projected catcher Yasmani Grandal grades out as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Mitch Keller will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats across the board.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Hunter Greene in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Bryan Reynolds will hold that advantage today.

Connor Joe has had some very poor luck with his home runs this year; his 17.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a fair amount lower than his 17.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Connor Joe has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial ability for batting average), ranking in the 79th percentile in THE BAT X’s Spray Score since the start of last season.

Jake Fraley is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Jake Fraley will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Fraley can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better going forward, Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Hunter Greene in today’s game.

Hunter Greene has used his slider 7.3% less often this season (33.2%) than he did last year (40.5%).

Hunter Greene has been one of the luckiest mound aces in the game on balls in play this year with a .256 BABIP and should see that luck normalize going forward.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Spencer Steer ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Spencer Steer is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.

Rowdy Tellez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Rowdy Tellez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene in today’s matchup.

Rowdy Tellez will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Rowdy Tellez has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season’s 23.36 ft/sec to 24.32 ft/sec now (according to Statcast’s Sprint Speed metric).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Nick Gonzales is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Nick Gonzales will hold that advantage today.

The standard deviation of Nick Gonzales’s launch angle since the start of last season (24.2°) is in the 90th percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher BABIP.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jonathan India ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

With a .342 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jonathan India is positioned in the 76th percentile for offensive skills.

A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play, and Jonathan India’s 26.3° mark (81st percentile) since the start of last season indicates a strong hitting profile.

Jake Fraley has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs this year; his 3.5 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a good deal lower than his 35.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Yasmani Grandal will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Yasmani Grandal has been unlucky this year, notching a .202 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .276 — a .074 gap.

Based on Statcast data, Nick Martini ranks in the 88th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 29.400.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke’Bryan Hayes in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .240 mark is deflated compared to his .272 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Will Benson will have the upper hand today.

Will Benson may have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Pittsburgh Pirates has just 1 same-handed RP.

In terms of his batting average, Will Benson has been very fortunate this year. His .208 mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .184.

As it relates to his home run talent, Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Elly De La Cruz has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 119.2 mph (a reliable standard to evaluate power), checking in at the 99th percentile.

Spencer Steer grades out in the 87th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (18.5% rate since the start of last season).

T.J. Friedl is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

T.J. Friedl will hold the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller today.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so T.J. Friedl has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Oneil Cruz ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.

Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage over Hunter Greene in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Andrew McCutchen will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Extreme groundball bats like Oneil Cruz generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Greene.

When estimating his strikeout talent, Hunter Greene projects as the 20th-best SP in MLB currently, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hunter Greene is expected to throw 99 pitches in this game, which is the highest number of pitches for all pitchers on the slate today. This estimate is based on his inherent tendencies and the nature of the matchup.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Nick Gonzales, Jack Suwinski, Oneil Cruz).

Out of all starting pitchers, Hunter Greene’s fastball velocity of 97.1 mph is in the 99th percentile this year.

As it relates to plate discipline, Jonathan India’s skill is quite impressive, putting up a 1.56 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 90th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Tyler Stephenson’s 94.4-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to evaluate power) grades out in the 78th percentile since the start of last season.

Tyler Stephenson is in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (48.2% rate since the start of last season).

When estimating his home run ability, Rowdy Tellez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Tyler Stephenson ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Nick Gonzales has been hot recently, hitting his way to a .347 wOBA over the past 7 days.

By putting up a .342 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, T.J. Friedl finds himself in the 81st percentile.

As it relates to his home run talent, Will Benson ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his home runs, Will Benson has experienced some positive variance this year. His 21.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 9.0.

Current MLB player match stat slumps with Reds vs Pirates Matchup for Wednesday

PNC Park grades out as the #28 park in Major League Baseball for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In MLB, the 6th-tallest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.

PNC Park has the 8th-deepest fences among all major league parks — generally bad for homers.

Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Elly De La Cruz’s footspeed has dropped off this season. His 30.53 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 30 ft/sec now.

Nick Martini is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nick Martini in today’s game.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (98% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 3rd-worst park in the game for right-handed home runs.

Hunter Greene will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ke’Bryan Hayes today.

Jack Suwinski is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.

With a .213 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jack Suwinski has performed in the 9th percentile.

Connor Joe is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Hitting from the same side that Hunter Greene throws from, Connor Joe encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

Connor Joe has hit 24.6% of his balls in the air 100+ mph since the start of last season, grading out in the 24th percentile.

PNC Park grades out as the #27 venue in baseball for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

With 6 bats who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Mitch Keller meets a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.

Mitch Keller’s higher usage rate of his fastball this season (54.8 compared to 48.8% last year) is not ideal since they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Fraley in the 18th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jake Fraley in today’s matchup.

PNC Park grades out as the #26 ballpark in Major League Baseball for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all stadiums, PNC Park’s left field dimensions are the 9th-deepest.

Hunter Greene is an extreme flyball pitcher (40% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #27 HR venue in MLB in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Mitch Keller throws from, Spencer Steer faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Spencer Steer today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rowdy Tellez in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Based on Statcast metrics, Rowdy Tellez ranks in the 7th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .208.

Hitting from the same side that Hunter Greene throws from, Nick Gonzales encounters a tough challenge today.

When it comes to his batting average, Nick Gonzales has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season. His .256 mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .190.

Jake Fraley’s 84.4-mph average exit velocity is one of the worst in MLB since the start of last season: 1st percentile.

Jake Fraley has been very bad at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial talent for batting average), grading out in the 7th percentile in THE BAT X’s Spray Score since the start of last season.

Jonathan India is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.

Mitch Keller will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jonathan India today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yasmani Grandal in the 20th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Yasmani Grandal is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yasmani Grandal in the 3rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

In notching a .294 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Elly De La Cruz finds himself in the 19th percentile for offensive skills.

Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 1st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (9.4% rate since the start of last season).

Will Benson’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Will Benson is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Nick Gonzales ranks in the 9th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .238.

Nick Gonzales’s 85.5-mph average exit velocity is one of the worst in baseball since the start of last season: 14th percentile.

T.J. Friedl’s BABIP ability is projected in the 15th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

T.J. Friedl will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Sporting a 4.51 K/BB rate this year, Oneil Cruz has displayed bad plate discipline, grading out in the 11th percentile.

Hunter Greene will have the handedness advantage against Andrew McCutchen today.

Andrew McCutchen pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.

This season, there has been a decline in Andrew McCutchen’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.41 ft/sec last year to 26.85 ft/sec currently.

Andrew McCutchen is in the 15th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (12.8% rate since the start of last season).

Hitting the ball to all fields is an important talent for batting average that Andrew McCutchen has struggled with since the start of last season, as evidenced by his ranking in the 12th percentile on THE BAT X’s Spray Score.

As it relates to plate discipline, Nick Martini’s skill is quite bad, posting a 4.8 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 22nd percentile.

Grading out in the 17th percentile, Nick Martini has put up a .236 BABIP since the start of last season.

This season, there has been a decline in Ke’Bryan Hayes’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.11 ft/sec last year to 26.41 ft/sec currently.

Ke’Bryan Hayes and his 7.9° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 20th percentile, among the lowest in baseball since the start of last season.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Will Benson today.

Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.

Batting from the same side that Mitch Keller throws from, Tyler Stephenson has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Tyler Stephenson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Bryan Reynolds has a high rate of hitting “too-high” (above 38° launch angle) balls, which lead to a lot of easy pop-outs; his 14.5% rate puts him in the 24th percentile among MLB hitters since the start of last season.

It may be sensible to expect stronger performance for the Cincinnati Reds offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 9th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.

Rowdy Tellez grades out in the 24th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (40% rate since the start of last season).

Rowdy Tellez has put up a .253 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 8th percentile.

Based on Statcast data, Andrew McCutchen grades out in the 21st percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 13.400.

With a .259 wOBA in the past two weeks’ worth of games, Rowdy Tellez has been struggling at the plate.

In notching a .277 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Rowdy Tellez finds himself in the 9th percentile for hitting ability.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.223) suggests that T.J. Friedl has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his .275 actual batting average.

Posting a .282 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, T.J. Friedl finds himself in the 11th percentile for offensive skills.

Checking in at the 11th percentile, Jack Suwinski sits with a .261 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (6.3) implies that Nick Gonzales has been lucky since the start of last season with his 14.3 actual HR/600.

T.J. Friedl has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 20.6 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is inflated compared to his 7.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jonathan India will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

The switch-hitting Yasmani Grandal will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Hunter Greene, Yasmani Grandal has compiled a .257 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 2nd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jack Suwinski in the 11th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

—–DEBUG—–

Reds vs Pirates Match Player Stats Wednesday June 19th Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates Game Predictions, Players odds, Wednesday lines and Betting Trends
Reds vs Pirates match player stats Wednesday, June 19th pre matchup. Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates player predictions