MLB Player match stats positives for Cincinnati at San Diego Wednesday Matchup

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Petco Park profiles as the #8 field in MLB for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Petco Park has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats.

Tyler Stephenson’s 94.4-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to measure power) ranks in the 78th percentile since the start of last season.

Tyler Stephenson grades out in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (48.2% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Spencer Steer is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 7th-best batter in MLB.

Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Petco Park ranks as the #8 ballpark in the game for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.

Jake Fraley is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

Batting from the opposite that Joe Musgrove throws from, Jake Fraley will have an edge today.

Using Statcast metrics, Jake Fraley grades out in the 79th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .346.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Manny Machado is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.

Jeimer Candelario is in the 79th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (17.8% rate since the start of last season).

Batting from the opposite that Graham Ashcraft throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an edge in today’s game.

Jake Cronenworth hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Jonathan India is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.

As it relates to his home run ability, Graham Pauley ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Jurickson Profar will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Jurickson Profar has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year’s 25.68 ft/sec to 26.7 ft/sec now (according to Statcast’s Sprint Speed metric).

By putting up a 1.78 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jurickson Profar has demonstrated strong plate discipline, ranking in the 82nd percentile.

Will Benson is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Joe Musgrove throws from, Will Benson will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Will Benson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Jeimer Candelario has put up a .340 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season, ranking in the 89th percentile.

Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Fernando Tatis Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz in the 78th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Elly De La Cruz has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (73% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.

The Cincinnati Reds have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Will Benson, Elly De La Cruz, Luke Maile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 4th-best field in the game for strikeouts.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Joe Musgrove will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his home run ability, Will Benson ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Campusano in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Luis Campusano will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Ha-seong Kim hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Ha-seong Kim will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Nick Martini will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Musgrove in today’s matchup.

Nick Martini has notched a .335 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 77th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Joe Musgrove in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.341) may lead us to conclude that Ha-seong Kim has had some very poor luck this year with his .305 actual wOBA.

In terms of plate discipline, Ha-seong Kim’s skill is quite good, posting a 1.57 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 88th percentile.

Graham Ashcraft has averaged 100.5 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, grading out in the 100th percentile.

Graham Ashcraft is an extreme groundball pitcher (50.1% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Petco Park — the #6 HR venue in the majors — in this game.

Graham Ashcraft was in good form in his previous GS and allowed 1 ER.

Graham Ashcraft has been unlucky since the start of last season, notching a 4.70 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.14 — a 0.56 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Jackson Merrill will hold the platoon advantage against Graham Ashcraft today.

Jackson Merrill hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Over the past week, Spencer Steer has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .350.

Graham Pauley will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Graham Ashcraft today.

Graham Pauley will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Jake Fraley’s 16.3° launch angle (a reliable standard to assess a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in baseball: 79th percentile.

In terms of his batting average, Jonathan India has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .242 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .260.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Santiago Espinal has been unlucky this year, notching a .217 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .289 — a .072 disparity.

The Cincinnati Reds projected batting order projects as the 5th-weakest on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill.

Joe Musgrove’s slider usage has risen by 10.7% from last year to this one (14.5% to 25.2%) .

Elly De La Cruz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Luis Campusano ranks in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (19.3% rate since the start of last season).

Since the start of last season, Will Benson’s flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to study power) is in the 84th percentile at 94.8 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jackson Merrill will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Despite posting a .242 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Martini has been unlucky given the .063 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .305.

Current MLB player match stat slumps with Reds vs Padres Matchup for Wednesday

Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.

This contest is expected to have the 4th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Since the start of last season, Jake Cronenworth’s 4.6% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 16th percentile among his peers.

Jake Cronenworth’s 89.3-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to evaluate power) is in the 11th percentile since the start of last season.

Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Petco Park grades out as the #21 ballpark in the league for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

This contest is expected to have the 5th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Joe Musgrove will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Stephenson in today’s matchup.

The #4 park in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Batting from the same side that Joe Musgrove throws from, Spencer Steer will have a tough matchup today.

Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres.

Spencer Steer will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Graham Ashcraft will hold the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. today.

Graham Ashcraft will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Xander Bogaerts today.

Xander Bogaerts’s speed has fallen off this season. His 27.65 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.14 ft/sec now.

Xander Bogaerts’s 87.6-mph average exit velocity ranks among the worst in the majors since the start of last season: 21st percentile.

Petco Park profiles as the #27 field in MLB for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Jake Fraley pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 80th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences today.

Batting from the same side that Graham Ashcraft throws from, Manny Machado encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Manny Machado’s speed has declined this year. His 26.25 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.61 ft/sec now.

Manny Machado grades out in the 14th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (38.5% rate since the start of last season).

Jeimer Candelario is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

The switch-hitting Jeimer Candelario will bat from his weak side (0) today against Joe Musgrove, The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 20th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Jake Cronenworth’s quickness has dropped off this season. His 28.28 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.05 ft/sec now.

Joe Musgrove will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jonathan India today.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jonathan India in today’s matchup.

Graham Pauley is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game.

Jurickson Profar’s BABIP skill is projected in the 14th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

This year, Jurickson Profar has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 22% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

Will Benson’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (15.2) suggests that Elly De La Cruz has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his 23.0 actual HR/600.

Elly De La Cruz has posted a .294 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 18th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

It is expected that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Manny Gonzalez) behind the plate in this game.

Projected catcher Luis Campusano grades out as a horrible pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Joe Musgrove’s fastball velocity has decreased 1 mph this season (91.6 mph) below where it was last season (92.6 mph).

Joe Musgrove has notched a 17.6% K% this year, grading out in the 20th percentile.

Will Benson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (16.2) implies that Will Benson has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his 20.3 actual HR/600.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake Fraley today.

Jake Fraley’s 84.4-mph average exit velocity is one of the worst in baseball since the start of last season: 1st percentile.

Luis Campusano is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Graham Ashcraft will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Campusano today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.272) suggests that Luis Campusano has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his .304 actual batting average.

Ha-seong Kim is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Graham Ashcraft will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ha-seong Kim in today’s game.

As it relates to his home runs, Ha-seong Kim has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His 16.5 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 11.0.

Nick Martini is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Nick Martini has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 18% of the time.

San Diego’s #3-ranked outfield defense on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Elly De La Cruz, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ha-seong Kim in the 25th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

The #6 park in the league for boosting home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 3rd-least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the San Diego Padres with a 19.5% underlying K%.

Graham Ashcraft will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Graham Ashcraft has relied on his cutter 6.8% less often this year (46.2%) than he did last year (53%).

Graham Pauley’s BABIP ability is projected in the 20th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jeimer Candelario pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 86th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Santiago Espinal is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Joe Musgrove throws from, Santiago Espinal will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

In today’s matchup, Tyler Stephenson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.1% rate (89th percentile).

The Cincinnati Reds have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season, Rating 6th-lowest in the league since the start of last season, San Diego Padres batters as a group have put up a 11.5° launch angle on their highest exit velocity balls (a reliable metric to evaluate power ability).

As it relates to his home runs, Spencer Steer has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His 19.7 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 16.9.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 5th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

With a .258 wOBA in the last two weeks, Xander Bogaerts has been struggling at the plate.

Xander Bogaerts’s 8.4° launch angle (an advanced stat to evaluate a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the lowest in baseball: 17th percentile.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Jurickson Profar will bat from his worse side against Graham Ashcraft in today’s matchup.

Jurickson Profar pulls many of his flyballs (38.1% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nick Martini in today’s game.

With a .242 wOBA over the past 14 days, Nick Martini has been struggling at the plate.

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Reds vs Padres Match Player Stats Wednesday May 1st Cincinnati Reds at San Diego Padres Game Predictions, Players odds, Wednesday lines and Betting Trends
Reds vs Padres match player stats Wednesday, May 1st pre matchup. Cincinnati Reds at San Diego Padres player predictions