MLB Player match stats positives for Cincinnati at Los Angeles Saturday Matchup

The #1 field in the majors for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

Dodger Stadium has the lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.

Jake Fraley will hold the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler in today’s game.

Jake Fraley has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .318 rate is a good deal lower than his .357 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jake Fraley ranks in the 79th percentile with a 16.3° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in MLB.

Throwing 93.1 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Graham Ashcraft places in the 82nd percentile.

It may be wise to expect worse results for the Los Angeles Dodgers offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 6th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

Doug Eddings projects as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be umping today.

Graham Ashcraft is an extreme groundball pitcher (50% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Dodger Stadium — the #2 HR venue in the majors — in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the best hitter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Elly De La Cruz has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (51% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Walker Buehler in this game.

The #1 park in baseball for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

Kike Hernandez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Kike Hernandez has had some very poor luck this year. His .260 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .314.

Jeimer Candelario ranks in the 79th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (17.8% rate since the start of last season).

Hitting from the opposite that Graham Ashcraft throws from, Gavin Lux will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Gavin Lux hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Gavin Lux will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Jason Heyward will hold the platoon advantage over Graham Ashcraft today.

Jason Heyward will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Will Smith ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Will Smith is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Will Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Bats such as Will Smith with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Graham Ashcraft who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Will Smith will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Mike Ford is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Mike Ford will have an edge today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (44.4) suggests that Mike Ford has been unlucky since the start of last season with his 36.4 actual HR/600.

Will Benson is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Will Benson will have the upper hand today.

Will Benson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Ford in the 83rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Mookie Betts projects as the 7th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mookie Betts is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Mookie Betts hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.

Since the start of last season, Tyler Stephenson’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to assess power) grades out in the 78th percentile at 94.4 mph.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Freddie Freeman ranks as the 11th-best hitter in MLB.

Freddie Freeman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.

Based on Statcast data, Mike Ford grades out in the 78th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .336.

Mike Ford’s 17.3% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) is in the 96th percentile since the start of last season.

Mike Ford’s 20.9° launch angle (a reliable stat to assess a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in the game: 93rd percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Tyler Stephenson’s BABIP skill is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Tyler Stephenson grades out in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (48.2% rate since the start of last season).

A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher batting average on balls in play, and Tyler Stephenson’s 26.1° mark (83rd percentile) since the start of last season indicates a strong hitting profile.

Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Conner Capel will have an advantage today.

Conner Capel is in the 94th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (51.1% rate since the start of last season).

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Spencer Steer ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Spencer Steer is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Spencer Steer grades out in the 87th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (18.5% rate since the start of last season).

Ranking in the 77th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.06 ft/sec this year, Spencer Steer is notably quick.

Hitters such as Andy Pages with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Graham Ashcraft who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Andy Pages will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 14th-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage today.

Gavin Lux has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .237 rate is a fair amount lower than his .289 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The Cincinnati Reds have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season, With 6 hitters of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Walker Buehler will not have the upper hand while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.177) suggests that Will Benson has been lucky this year with his .194 actual batting average.

Since the start of last season, Will Benson’s flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to assess power) ranks in the 84th percentile at 94.8 mph.

Teoscar Hernandez has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .243 BA is significantly inflated relative to his .229 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Teoscar Hernandez’s 13.8% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) grades out in the 90th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 3rd-best hitter in the game as it relates to his batting average skill.

Hitting from the opposite that Graham Ashcraft throws from, Freddie Freeman will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Freddie Freeman will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Shohei Ohtani projects as the 3rd-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Elly De La Cruz hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Elly De La Cruz has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 119.2 mph (a reliable standard to evaluate power), checking in at the 99th percentile.

Ranking in the 83rd percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.44 ft/sec this year, Andy Pages is very toolsy.

When it comes to his home run skill, Teoscar Hernandez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 78th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Bats such as Mookie Betts with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Graham Ashcraft who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Mookie Betts will hold that advantage today.

Jake Fraley has exhibited good plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 77th percentile with a 1.95 K/BB rate.

Current MLB player match stat slumps with Reds vs Dodgers Matchup for Saturday

Jake Fraley is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching on the slate today.

Jake Fraley pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 81st percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake Fraley today.

Jake Fraley’s 84.4-mph average exit velocity is among the worst in the majors since the start of last season: 1st percentile.

The Los Angeles Dodgers projected offense profiles as the strongest of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting ability.

The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

Dodger Stadium has the 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks.

Given that groundball hitters have a notable advantage over flyball pitchers, Graham Ashcraft and his 50% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a troublesome spot in this outing squaring off against 0 opposing GB batters.

Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Elly De La Cruz’s quickness has declined this year. His 30.53 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 29.88 ft/sec now.

Elly De La Cruz has been lucky this year, putting up a .369 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .053 gap.

Elly De La Cruz has put up a .294 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 18th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kike Hernandez in the 4th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Kike Hernandez is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.

Graham Ashcraft will hold the platoon advantage against Kike Hernandez in today’s game.

Kike Hernandez has posted a .224 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jeimer Candelario is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Jeimer Candelario will bat from his bad side (0) today against Walker Buehler, Jeimer Candelario pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.3% — 92nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Jeimer Candelario will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Gavin Lux is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Gavin Lux has been cold in recent games, struggling to the tune of a .237 wOBA in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jason Heyward in the 8th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Jason Heyward is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

Jason Heyward pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37% — 94th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Graham Ashcraft throws from, Will Smith faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

Since the start of last season, Will Smith’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to assess power) is in the 24th percentile at 90.5 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Ford in the 0th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Mike Ford pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.2% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Mike Ford will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Mike Ford’s speed has declined this year. His 24.51 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 22.95 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 4th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Will Benson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Mike Ford has been cold in recent games, putting up a .239 wOBA over the last two weeks.

Hitting from the same side that Graham Ashcraft throws from, Mookie Betts faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Tyler Stephenson will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Tyler Stephenson has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Tyler Stephenson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Tyler Stephenson’s 8.6° launch angle (an advanced stat to measure a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most groundball-inducing in Major League Baseball: 18th percentile.

Elly De La Cruz grades out in the 1st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (9.4% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Conner Capel in the 18th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Conner Capel is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Conner Capel will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.293) provides evidence that Conner Capel has been lucky since the start of last season with his .311 actual wOBA.

Walker Buehler will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Steer today.

Spencer Steer will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Andy Pages is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.

Graham Ashcraft will hold the platoon advantage against Andy Pages today.

Batting from the same side that Graham Ashcraft throws from, Teoscar Hernandez will not have the upper hand today.

Teoscar Hernandez has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Walker Buehler’s overall pitching skill ranks in the 78th percentile among all starting pitchers in the game right now.

The 4th-worst projected offense of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Walker Buehler will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his metrics across the board.

Walker Buehler has averaged 74.4 adjusted pitches per GS this year, grading out in the 5th percentile.

With a 3.83 K/BB rate this year, Will Benson has demonstrated weak plate discipline, grading out in the 23rd percentile.

Teoscar Hernandez has displayed weak plate discipline this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile with a 3.92 K/BB rate.

Freddie Freeman’s speed has fallen off this season. His 26.69 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.14 ft/sec now.

Kike Hernandez has performed at a clip of 12.9 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 20th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Kike Hernandez’s 4.5% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) grades out in the 15th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Shohei Ohtani’s true offensive skill to be a .400, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .061 deviation between that figure and his actual .461 wOBA.

The maximum exit velocity of any player on the Los Angeles Dodgers has been 113 mph since the start of last season, making them the #29 offense in the game by this stat.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mookie Betts’s true offensive ability to be a .377, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .055 gap between that figure and his actual .432 wOBA.

—–DEBUG—–

Reds vs Dodgers Match Player Stats Saturday May 18th Cincinnati Reds at Los Angeles Dodgers Game Predictions, Players odds, Saturday lines and Betting Trends
Reds vs Dodgers match player stats Saturday, May 18th pre matchup. Cincinnati Reds at Los Angeles Dodgers player predictions