MLB Player match stats positives for Cincinnati at Arizona Wednesday Matchup

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Corbin Carroll is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

The #2 field in the game for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.

The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.

When assessing his home run ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

Chase Field projects as the #2 park in baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Alexander in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Blaze Alexander will have an advantage in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Blaze Alexander will hold that advantage today.

Generating 17.6 outs per outing this year on average, Brandon Pfaadt falls in the 81st percentile.

Brandon Pfaadt is an extreme flyball pitcher (39.5% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is fortunate enough to be pitching in the #29 HR venue in MLB in this matchup.

Brandon Pfaadt will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats across the board.

Out of all starters, Brandon Pfaadt’s fastball spin rate of 2523 rpm is in the 94th percentile this year.

Jake Fraley is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.

Jake Fraley will hold the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today’s matchup… and even better, Pfaadt has a large platoon split.

Jake Fraley has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .331 rate is deflated compared to his .365 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Jonathan India has put up a .342 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 75th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Will Benson is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.

Because of Brandon Pfaadt’s large platoon split, Will Benson will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ketel Marte ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ketel Marte is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Ketel Marte will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Andrew Abbott in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Newman in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Kevin Newman will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Andrew Abbott in the 75th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

With a 1.28 disparity between Andrew Abbott’s 7.74 K/9 and his 9.02 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball this year when it comes to strikeouts and ought to see better results going forward.

Mike Ford is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Given Brandon Pfaadt’s large platoon split, Mike Ford will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

Kevin Newman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

In notching a .339 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Kevin Newman is ranked in the 80th percentile for offensive skills.

Jeimer Candelario grades out in the 79th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (17.8% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Gabriel Moreno will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Eugenio Suarez will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Abbott in today’s matchup.

Randal Grichuk has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (86% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Randal Grichuk will have an edge today.

Luke Maile has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 16.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a good deal lower than his 23.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Since the start of last season, Luke Maile’s 10.8% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 78th percentile among his peers.

Luke Maile has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 19.5° mark is among the highest in the game since the start of last season (89th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Spencer Steer is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

As it relates to his home run talent, Mike Ford ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Christian Walker will have an edge in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

When assessing his home run ability, Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Brandon Pfaadt… and even better, Pfaadt has a large platoon split.

Extreme flyball hitters like Gabriel Moreno are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Andrew Abbott.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Gabriel Moreno will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Eugenio Suarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Corbin Carroll will hold that advantage today.

When it comes to plate discipline, Jonathan India’s ability is quite impressive, putting up a 1.48 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 88th percentile.

When estimating his home run ability, Will Benson ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Randal Grichuk will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Spencer Steer has been hot lately, batting his way to a .344 wOBA over the past two weeks.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Luke Maile has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .288 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .320.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have an advantage in today’s game.

The Cincinnati Reds have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Will Benson, Elly De La Cruz, Luke Maile).

Current MLB player match stat slumps with Reds vs D-Backs Matchup for Wednesday

In the majors, Chase Field’s centerfield fences are the 3rd-deepest.

Batting from the same side that Andrew Abbott throws from, Corbin Carroll will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

Corbin Carroll’s quickness has declined this season. His 30.05 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.97 ft/sec now.

Corbin Carroll has been cold in recent games, limping his way to a .250 wOBA in the past two weeks.

Checking in at the 8th percentile, Corbin Carroll sports a .245 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

Christian Walker ranks in the 4th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (35.7% rate since the start of last season).

Ranking in the 17th percentile, Christian Walker has put up a .268 BABIP since the start of last season.

Blaze Alexander is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.

Blaze Alexander has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Blaze Alexander’s true offensive talent to be a .294, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .045 disparity between that figure and his actual .339 wOBA.

Chase Field grades out as the #29 stadium in the league for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

It may be sensible to expect better numbers for the Cincinnati Reds offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 4th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.

Jordan Baker grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be in charge of the strike zone today.

Gabriel Moreno, the D-Backs’s expected catcher in today’s game, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for base hits.

This year, Jake Fraley has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 10% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

Chase Field ranks as the #29 park in the majors for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In today’s matchup, Jake Fraley is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.8% rate (77th percentile).

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jake Fraley in today’s game.

Jake Fraley’s 84.4-mph average exit velocity ranks among the worst in baseball since the start of last season: 1st percentile.

Jonathan India has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (78% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

Brandon Pfaadt will hold the platoon advantage against Jonathan India in today’s game… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Pfaadt’s large platoon split.

Jonathan India will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

This year, there has been a decline in Jonathan India’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.8 ft/sec last year to 27.29 ft/sec currently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 4th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Will Benson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Will Benson in today’s game.

This season, there has been a decline in Will Benson’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.87 ft/sec last year to 28.41 ft/sec currently.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (15.6) implies that Will Benson has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his 18.9 actual HR/600.

Despite posting a .365 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ketel Marte has been lucky given the .021 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .344.

Based on Statcast metrics, Ketel Marte is in the 19th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 11.700.

Ketel Marte is in the 10th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (12.1% rate since the start of last season).

Kevin Newman is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

Kevin Newman hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Since the start of last season, Kevin Newman’s 2.6% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 20th percentile among his peers.

Kevin Newman’s 87.1-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to assess power) is in the 11th percentile since the start of last season.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 5th-least strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 20.7% underlying K%.

Luke Maile, the Reds’s expected catcher in today’s game, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 7th-worst park in the majors for strikeouts.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Ford in the 0th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

When starting against a righty hurler since the start of last season, Mike Ford has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 29% of the time.

In today’s matchup, Mike Ford is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.7% rate (95th percentile).

Mike Ford will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

The standard deviation of Mike Ford’s launch angle since the start of last season (33.1°) is in the 4th percentile. A high deviation like this tends to lead to a lower BABIP.

When estimating his home run talent, Kevin Newman ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kevin Newman has been lucky this year, putting up a .325 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .287 — a .038 difference.

Jeimer Candelario is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.

The switch-hitting Jeimer Candelario will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Brandon Pfaadt… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Pfaadt’s large platoon split.

Jeimer Candelario pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Jeimer Candelario will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Hitting the ball to all fields is an important talent for batting average that Jeimer Candelario has struggled with since the start of last season, as evidenced by his grading out in the 11th percentile on THE BAT X’s Spray Score.

Gabriel Moreno is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Gabriel Moreno hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

Gabriel Moreno has paced 8.9 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 11th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Gabriel Moreno’s 4.7% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) is in the 17th percentile since the start of last season.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Gabriel Moreno ranks in just the 4th percentile with a 4° launch angle, which is one of the lowest angles in the game.

With a .281 wOBA over the last 14 days, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been struggling at the plate.

Checking in at the 23rd percentile, the hardest ball Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 109.4 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power skill.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. hits a lot of balls with a launch angle that is “too high” (above 38°), which generally leads to lazy pop-ups. His 14.5% “too-high” rate since the start of last season is in the 24th percentile.

Posting a .246 BABIP this year, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is positioned in the 21st percentile.

Elly De La Cruz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 77th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Elly De La Cruz’s footspeed has dropped off this season. His 30.53 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 29.91 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Elly De La Cruz’s true offensive skill to be a .316, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .055 gap between that figure and his actual .371 wOBA.

Based on Statcast data, Elly De La Cruz grades out in the 18th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .294.

Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.

Typically, batters like Eugenio Suarez who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Andrew Abbott.

With a 3.72 K/BB rate this year, Eugenio Suarez has shown weak plate discipline, checking in at the 25th percentile.

Randal Grichuk has been pulled from the game early 32% of the time when starting against a lefty on the mound this year.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Randal Grichuk has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season. His .330 mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .318.

Since the start of last season, Randal Grichuk’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable metric to study power) grades out in the 23rd percentile at 90.4 mph.

A high launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a lower rate of base hits, and Randal Grichuk’s 29.4° mark (23rd percentile) since the start of last season indicates a weak hitting profile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Maile in the 21st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Luke Maile is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Luke Maile has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 15% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

Brandon Pfaadt will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Steer in today’s matchup… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Pfaadt’s large platoon split.

Extreme groundball hitters like Spencer Steer usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Brandon Pfaadt.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Spencer Steer today.

Ketel Marte’s speed has declined this year. His 27.52 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.01 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Maile in the 12th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Brandon Pfaadt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luke Maile in today’s game… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Pfaadt’s large platoon split.

Jake Fraley has been very bad at hitting the ball to all fields (a core ability for batting average), placing in the 7th percentile in THE BAT X’s Spray Score since the start of last season.

As it relates to his home run ability, Gabriel Moreno ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

With a .281 wOBA in the last two weeks, Eugenio Suarez has been struggling at the plate.

Corbin Carroll has posted a .242 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 11th percentile.

Andrew Abbott is an extreme flyball pitcher (39.9% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #29 HR venue in the league in today’s game.

Andrew Abbott was in good form in his last GS and allowed 2 ER.

Arizona Diamondbacks hitters collectively rank 28th- in Major League Baseball for power since the start of last season when using their 6.4% Barrel%.

Arizona’s 90.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs ranks them as the #29 squad in the majors since the start of last season by this stat.

Given the 1.16 deviation between Brandon Pfaadt’s 4.60 ERA and his 3.43 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in baseball this year and should perform better going forward.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.202) may lead us to conclude that Mike Ford has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his .226 actual batting average.

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Reds vs D-Backs Match Player Stats Wednesday May 15th Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks Game Predictions, Players odds, Wednesday lines and Betting Trends
Reds vs D-Backs match player stats Wednesday, May 15th pre matchup. Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks player predictions