MLB Player match stats positives for Cincinnati at Arizona Tuesday Matchup

Jake Fraley is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the best for hitting on the slate.

Jake Fraley will hold the platoon advantage over Slade Cecconi in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.359) may lead us to conclude that Jake Fraley has been unlucky this year with his .327 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Chase Field profiles as the #2 ballpark in baseball for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Will Benson is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Will Benson will have an edge in today’s game.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Elly De La Cruz has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (54% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

The #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

With a .342 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jonathan India is positioned in the 75th percentile for offensive ability.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Spencer Steer ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Spencer Steer is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.

Spencer Steer grades out in the 87th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (18.5% rate since the start of last season).

Since the start of last season, Will Benson’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to measure power) ranks in the 84th percentile at 94.8 mph.

Mike Ford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Slade Cecconi in today’s game.

Using Statcast metrics, Mike Ford ranks in the 77th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .336.

The Cincinnati Reds have been the 3rd-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games, Stu Scheurwater profiles as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is expected to be calling pitches in this game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Gabriel Moreno (the D-Backs’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) profiles as a weak pitch framer.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best field in the league for base hits.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Joc Pederson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Conner Capel has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Chase Field profiles as the #8 ballpark in the game for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Conner Capel will have the handedness advantage against Slade Cecconi in today’s game.

Jeimer Candelario grades out in the 79th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (17.8% rate since the start of last season).

Jeimer Candelario has posted a .333 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season, placing in the 86th percentile.

Conner Capel is in the 94th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (51.1% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz in the 76th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Slade Cecconi.

Batting from the opposite that Hunter Greene throws from, Jake McCarthy will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Extreme flyball batters like Jake McCarthy usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Greene.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Kevin Newman will hold that advantage today.

Kevin Newman has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .284 figure is deflated compared to his .339 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Tyler Stephenson’s 94.4-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to measure power) ranks in the 78th percentile since the start of last season.

As it relates to his home run ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

When estimating his home run talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Extreme groundball hitters like Gabriel Moreno are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Greene.

Gabriel Moreno will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ketel Marte ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Ford in the 84th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (44.4) provides evidence that Mike Ford has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his 36.6 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Newman in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Jake McCarthy’s BABIP ability is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Tyler Stephenson’s BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

By putting up a 1.98 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jonathan India has shown impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 76th percentile.

Eugenio Suarez has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .281 rate is a fair amount lower than his .288 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 5th-most strikeout-prone lineup today is the Cincinnati Reds with a 25.6% underlying K%.

Considering the 0.84 discrepancy between Slade Cecconi’s 6.84 K/9 and his 7.68 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the league since the start of last season when it comes to strikeouts and should perform better in future games.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Christian Walker will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Ketel Marte will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

When estimating his strikeout skill, Hunter Greene projects as the 14th-best starter in the game currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hunter Greene has been given more leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 6.0 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than average.

Hunter Greene’s 97.1-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 100th percentile out of all SPs.

Ranking in the 85th percentile, Hunter Greene notched a 12.9% Swinging Strike% this year.

Hunter Greene has notched a 28.2% Strikeout% this year, grading out in the 86th percentile.

Corbin Carroll will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene today.

Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Greene throws from, Joc Pederson will have an edge in today’s game.

Jake McCarthy will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Slade Cecconi has exhibited favorable control since the start of last season, putting up a 90th percentile walk rate of 5%.

Current MLB player match stat slumps with Reds vs D-Backs Matchup for Tuesday

The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Jake Fraley pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 77th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake Fraley today.

Jake Fraley’s 84.4-mph average exit velocity is among the worst in Major League Baseball since the start of last season: 1st percentile.

Corbin Carroll hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 77th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Corbin Carroll’s footspeed has decreased this season. His 30.05 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.89 ft/sec now.

With a .250 wOBA in the past 14 days, Corbin Carroll has been struggling at the plate.

Corbin Carroll has recorded a .087 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, checking in at the 7th percentile.

Placing in the 11th percentile, Corbin Carroll has put up a .223 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 4th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Will Benson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Will Benson in today’s matchup.

Will Benson’s speed has fallen off this season. His 28.87 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.41 ft/sec now.

Will Benson has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 19.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is significantly inflated relative to his 15.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball.

Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Elly De La Cruz’s footspeed has decreased this season. His 30.53 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 29.91 ft/sec now.

Despite posting a .388 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Elly De La Cruz has had positive variance on his side given the .071 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .317.

Utilizing Statcast data, Elly De La Cruz grades out in the 18th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .294.

Jonathan India has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (81% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Slade Cecconi throws from, Jonathan India has a tough challenge today.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jonathan India in today’s game.

Jonathan India’s quickness has fallen off this year. His 27.8 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.29 ft/sec now.

Chase Field projects as the #29 park in the majors for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hitting from the same side that Slade Cecconi throws from, Spencer Steer will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball bats like Spencer Steer tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Slade Cecconi.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Spencer Steer in today’s game.

Mike Ford’s BABIP ability is projected in the 0th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mike Ford is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Mike Ford pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.4% — 95th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Mike Ford in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.202) provides evidence that Mike Ford has been lucky since the start of last season with his .227 actual batting average.

Slade Cecconi is an extreme flyball pitcher (39.3% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #29 HR venue in the majors today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics across the board, and Slade Cecconi will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In his last outing, Slade Cecconi was in good form and conceded 1 ER.

Grading out in the 81st percentile, Slade Cecconi has notched a 3.76 K/BB rate since the start of last season.

In today’s game, Joc Pederson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.1% rate (86th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Joc Pederson’s true offensive ability to be a .350, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .055 gap between that figure and his actual .405 wOBA.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Conner Capel ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

26% of the time that Conner Capel has started against a northpaw since the start of last season, he has been pinch hit for.

Conner Capel will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Conner Capel has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .318 rate is significantly inflated relative to his .293 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jeimer Candelario is penciled in 7th on the lineup card today.

The switch-hitting Jeimer Candelario will bat from his worse side (0) today against Slade Cecconi, Jeimer Candelario pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Jeimer Candelario will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Jake Fraley has been very bad at hitting the ball to all fields (a core ability for batting average), grading out in the 7th percentile in THE BAT X’s Spray Score since the start of last season.

When assessing his home run skill, Jake McCarthy ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake McCarthy is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.

Jake McCarthy has been pinch hit for 16% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

Jake McCarthy’s speed has dropped off this year. His 29.96 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.93 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Newman in the 6th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Kevin Newman is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Kevin Newman has been pulled from the game early 21% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

Hunter Greene will have the handedness advantage against Kevin Newman today.

Kevin Newman hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Hunter Greene throws from, Eugenio Suarez will be in a tough position today.

Typically, batters like Eugenio Suarez who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Hunter Greene.

Eugenio Suarez has shown poor plate discipline this year, placing in the 22nd percentile with a 3.76 K/BB rate.

Hitting from the same side that Hunter Greene throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

Checking in at the 23rd percentile, the hardest ball Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has connected with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 109.4 mph — an advanced indication of underlying power skill.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. hits many of his balls with a launch angle that is “too high” (above 38°), which tends to lead to easy pop fly outs. His 14.5% “too-high” rate since the start of last season grades out in the 24th percentile.

Placing in the 23rd percentile, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has put up a .249 BABIP this year.

Slade Cecconi will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Stephenson today.

Tyler Stephenson has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.

Tyler Stephenson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Tyler Stephenson ranks in just the 18th percentile with a 8.6° launch angle, which is one of the most groundball-inducing angles in the majors.

Hunter Greene will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Christian Walker today.

Christian Walker ranks in the 4th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (35.7% rate since the start of last season).

When assessing his home run skill, Gabriel Moreno ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Gabriel Moreno is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Hunter Greene throws from, Gabriel Moreno will be in a tough position today.

Gabriel Moreno hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

Jeimer Candelario has been very bad at hitting the ball to all fields (a key ability for batting average), ranking in the 11th percentile in THE BAT X’s Spray Score since the start of last season.

The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Hunter Greene, Ketel Marte pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 85th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

This year, there has been a decline in Ketel Marte’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.52 ft/sec last year to 27.01 ft/sec currently.

When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Ketel Marte and his 12.1% rank in the 10th percentile since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, Gabriel Moreno’s 4.7% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 17th percentile among his peers.

Gabriel Moreno’s 4° launch angle (an advanced stat to evaluate a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most groundball-inducing in the game: 4th percentile.

Since the start of last season, Kevin Newman’s 2.6% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 20th percentile among his peers.

Sporting a 11.400 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Ketel Marte grades out in the 23rd percentile for power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jake McCarthy’s true offensive skill to be a .297, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .033 disparity between that mark and his actual .330 wOBA.

Tyler Stephenson’s quickness has declined this year. His 26.91 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.32 ft/sec now.

Sporting a .367 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, Tyler Stephenson is ranked in the 24th percentile.

Gabriel Moreno has paced 8.9 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 11th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

A high launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a lower rate of hits on balls in play, and Mike Ford’s 33.1° mark (4th percentile) since the start of last season indicates a weak hitting profile.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Slade Cecconi is projected to throw 84 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least on the slate today.

The #8 park in the majors for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Ketel Marte has been lucky this year, posting a .376 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .347 — a .029 difference.

Because groundball hitters have a big edge over flyball pitchers, Hunter Greene and his 40.4% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a difficult spot in today’s outing going up against 1 opposing GB hitters.

Checking in at the 13th percentile, Corbin Carroll has put up a .241 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

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Reds vs D-Backs Match Player Stats Tuesday May 14th Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks Game Predictions, Players odds, Tuesday lines and Betting Trends
Reds vs D-Backs match player stats Tuesday, May 14th pre matchup. Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks player predictions