MLB Player match stats positives for Cincinnati at Arizona Monday Matchup

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Joc Pederson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Joc Pederson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.

Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most favorable for hitting on the slate today.

Joc Pederson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Graham Ashcraft today.

The #2 park in baseball for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Tyler Stephenson’s BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Tyler Stephenson has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (64% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.

The #2 venue in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Batting from the opposite that Graham Ashcraft throws from, Jake McCarthy will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Jake McCarthy will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Gabriel Moreno will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

The switch-hitting Jeimer Candelario will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Jordan Montgomery.

Jeimer Candelario is in the 79th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (17.8% rate since the start of last season).

Blaze Alexander’s BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Blaze Alexander will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the best batter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Stuart Fairchild is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Stuart Fairchild will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Santiago Espinal will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Montgomery in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz in the 76th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Elly De La Cruz has a ton of pop (76th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (31.9% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jordan Montgomery is a pitch-to-contact type (6th percentile K%) — great news for De La Cruz.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Spencer Steer is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ketel Marte ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Since the start of last season, Will Benson’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 84th percentile at 94.8 mph.

Will Benson ranks in the 83rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (47.3% rate since the start of last season).

Will Benson is in the 82nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (18.6% rate since the start of last season).

Checking in at the 81st percentile, Will Benson has put up a .315 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season.

Hitting from the opposite that Graham Ashcraft throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an advantage in today’s game.

Checking in at the 86th percentile, Jeimer Candelario has posted a .333 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season.

Compared to league average, Graham Ashcraft has been given a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing an additional 5.9 adjusted pitches each outing.

Considering that flyball pitchers hold a significant edge over flyball batters, Graham Ashcraft and his 49.9% underlying FB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a favorable spot in today’s matchup matching up with 2 opposing FB batters.

The 6.4% Barrel% of the Arizona Diamondbacks makes them the #28 offense in MLB since the start of last season by this stat.

Arizona’s 90.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs grades them out as the #29 team in baseball since the start of last season by this standard.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.

When it comes to his home run talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Eugenio Suarez has strong power (93rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (29% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Graham Ashcraft struggles to strike batters out (18th percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.

Batting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Jonathan India will have an advantage today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.1) implies that Stuart Fairchild has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his 12.6 actual HR/600.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Jake McCarthy’s BABIP skill is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The Cincinnati Reds have 4 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Elly De La Cruz, Stuart Fairchild, Will Benson, Luke Maile).

Jordan Montgomery will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his metrics in all categories.

Jordan Montgomery’s curveball usage has spiked by 7.8% from last year to this one (22.2% to 30%) .

It may be sensible to expect improved performance for the Cincinnati Reds offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 4th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

Tallying 17.6 outs per outing since the start of last season on average, Jordan Montgomery places him the 90th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 92nd percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Christian Walker will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Hitting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Tyler Stephenson will have an edge today.

Since the start of last season, Tyler Stephenson’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to assess power) grades out in the 78th percentile at 94.4 mph.

Extreme flyball bats like Eugenio Suarez usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Graham Ashcraft.

Spencer Steer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Montgomery today.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Ketel Marte will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Current MLB player match stat slumps with Reds vs D-Backs Matchup for Monday

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the worst ballpark in the majors for LHB home runs.

Joc Pederson pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 87th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Joc Pederson’s true offensive skill to be a .350, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .055 disparity between that mark and his actual .405 wOBA.

Today, Tyler Stephenson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.8% rate (87th percentile).

Tyler Stephenson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

This season, there has been a decline in Tyler Stephenson’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.91 ft/sec last year to 26.32 ft/sec currently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 8th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Jake McCarthy is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

This year, Jake McCarthy has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 16% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks.

Typically, bats like Jake McCarthy who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Graham Ashcraft.

Gabriel Moreno is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Graham Ashcraft will have the handedness advantage over Gabriel Moreno today.

Gabriel Moreno hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Extreme flyball bats like Gabriel Moreno are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Graham Ashcraft.

Sporting a 8.900 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Gabriel Moreno is ranked in the 11th percentile for power.

Graham Ashcraft will hold the platoon advantage against Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in today’s matchup.

Placing in the 23rd percentile, the hardest ball Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 109.4 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power skill.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. hits many of his balls with a launch angle that is “too high” (above 38°), which generally leads to lazy pop fly outs. His 14.5% “too-high” rate since the start of last season ranks in the 24th percentile.

Placing in the 17th percentile, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has put up a .267 BABIP since the start of last season.

Jeimer Candelario is penciled in 6th in the batting order today.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jeimer Candelario today.

Jeimer Candelario has been very bad at hitting the ball to all fields (a core talent for batting average), grading out in the 11th percentile in THE BAT X’s Spray Score since the start of last season.

Blaze Alexander is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Graham Ashcraft will have the handedness advantage over Blaze Alexander in today’s game.

Blaze Alexander has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Despite posting a .345 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Blaze Alexander has been lucky given the .050 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .295.

The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Jordan Montgomery, Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Elly De La Cruz in today’s matchup.

Elly De La Cruz’s quickness has declined this season. His 30.53 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 29.91 ft/sec now.

Elly De La Cruz has been lucky this year, compiling a .388 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .317 — a .071 gap.

Corbin Carroll hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 77th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Corbin Carroll’s quickness has dropped off this year. His 30.05 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.89 ft/sec now.

With a .250 wOBA over the past two weeks, Corbin Carroll has been struggling at the plate.

Placing in the 7th percentile, Corbin Carroll sits with a .087 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

Corbin Carroll has posted a .184 batting average this year, checking in at the 10th percentile.

29% of the time that Stuart Fairchild has started against a southpaw this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Stuart Fairchild today.

Ranked in the 17th percentile, Stuart Fairchild’s average exit velocity of 85.9 mph ranks among the lowest in the game since the start of last season.

Hitting the ball to all fields is an important ability for batting average that Stuart Fairchild has struggled with since the start of last season, as evidenced by his grading out in the 17th percentile on THE BAT X’s Spray Score.

As it relates to his home run skill, Santiago Espinal ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Santiago Espinal is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game.

When starting against a left-handed pitcher this year, Santiago Espinal has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 16% of the time.

Santiago Espinal has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Santiago Espinal in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the worst stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB home runs.

Checking in at the 24th percentile, Tyler Stephenson has notched a .367 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season.

Santiago Espinal’s 1% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) is in the 14th percentile since the start of last season.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Spencer Steer today.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Ketel Marte will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Graham Ashcraft in this game.

Ketel Marte pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 83rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.

This year, there has been a decline in Ketel Marte’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.52 ft/sec last year to 27.01 ft/sec currently.

By putting up a 11.400 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Ketel Marte finds himself in the 23rd percentile for power.

Ketel Marte is in the 10th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (12.1% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 4th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Will Benson has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (64% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Will Benson has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Will Benson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

Will Benson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

By putting up a .241 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Corbin Carroll is ranked in the 13th percentile.

The Arizona Diamondbacks projected offense projects as the 4th-best of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting skill.

The #2 venue in the league for boosting BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Graham Ashcraft today.

This year, Jonathan India has been pulled from the game early in 18% of his appearances when starting against left-handed starter.

Jonathan India will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Jonathan India’s speed has decreased this season. His 27.8 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.29 ft/sec now.

Placing in the 22nd percentile, Jonathan India has notched a .275 BABIP since the start of last season.

Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Graham Ashcraft throws from, Eugenio Suarez meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

In terms of plate discipline, Eugenio Suarez’s skill is quite poor, posting a 3.76 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 22nd percentile.

Since the start of last season, Gabriel Moreno’s 4.7% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 17th percentile among his peers.

This year, there has been a decline in Jake McCarthy’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 29.96 ft/sec last year to 28.93 ft/sec currently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jordan Montgomery in the 23rd percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.

Projected catcher Gabriel Moreno grades out as a weak pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 8th-worst field in the league for strikeouts.

Jordan Montgomery performed well in his last start and conceded 2 ER.

Jordan Montgomery has posted a 3.65 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that is concerned with the variables most within a pitcher’s control) since the start of last season, grading out in the 77th percentile.

When assessing his home run talent, Gabriel Moreno ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the same side that Graham Ashcraft throws from, Christian Walker will have a tough matchup today.

Christian Walker ranks in the 4th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (35.7% rate since the start of last season).

When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Graham Ashcraft in the 23rd percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Tyler Stephenson ranks in just the 18th percentile with a 8.6° launch angle, which is among the lowest angles in MLB.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ketel Marte’s true offensive ability to be a .347, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .029 deviation between that figure and his actual .376 wOBA.

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Reds vs D-Backs Match Player Stats Monday May 13th Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks Game Predictions, Players odds, Monday lines and Betting Trends
Reds vs D-Backs match player stats Monday, May 13th pre matchup. Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks player predictions