
CIN @ MIL





MLB Player match stats positives for Cincinnati at Milwaukee Saturday Matchup
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
Among all major league parks, American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.
American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense.
Since the start of last season, Tyler Stephenson’s flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to assess power) grades out in the 78th percentile at 94.4 mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 9th-best stadium in baseball for run-scoring.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 11th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Christian Yelich is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.
American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jonathan India ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Jonathan India has put up a .342 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 76th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 76th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Jackson Chourio will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Extreme flyball hitters like Jackson Chourio tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Andrew Abbott.
Jackson Chourio will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Chris Conroy) behind the plate today.
The #7 ballpark in baseball for boosting strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.
Bryse Wilson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats across the board.
Andruw Monasterio is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Andruw Monasterio will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Jake Fraley is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.
Hitting from the opposite that Bryse Wilson throws from, Jake Fraley will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Jacob Hurtubise will hold the platoon advantage against Bryse Wilson today.
T.J. Friedl is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Bryse Wilson throws from, T.J. Friedl will have an advantage in today’s game.
Placing in the 78th percentile, T.J. Friedl has put up a .339 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.
When assessing his home run talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Willy Adames is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.
The switch-hitting Blake Perkins will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Andrew Abbott.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Blake Perkins will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Jeimer Candelario is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.
Jeimer Candelario ranks in the 79th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (17.8% rate since the start of last season).
Will Benson will have the handedness advantage against Bryse Wilson in today’s matchup.
Will Benson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Will Benson has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average this year; his .212 rate is a good deal higher than his .182 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Will Benson’s 94.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to assess power) is in the 84th percentile since the start of last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Spencer Steer is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.
Spencer Steer is in the 87th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (18.5% rate since the start of last season).
Jeimer Candelario has been hot recently, notching 5 homers over the past 14 days.
Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.
The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Bryse Wilson.
Elly De La Cruz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Rhys Hoskins ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Rhys Hoskins is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Christian Yelich ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Extreme flyball batters like Christian Yelich generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Andrew Abbott.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best hitter in the game when estimating his BABIP skill.
Recording 17.1 outs per start this year on average, Andrew Abbott places him the 76th percentile.
The Milwaukee Brewers have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in the future, Andrew Abbott performed well in his previous start and conceded 1 ER.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Willy Adames will have an advantage today.
Gary Sanchez will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Abbott today.
Gary Sanchez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Gary Sanchez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Gary Sanchez’s 15.8% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) grades out in the 94th percentile since the start of last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
William Contreras is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.
Andruw Monasterio will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Andruw Monasterio and his 19.7% rank in the 94th percentile since the start of last season.
Rhys Hoskins will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Abbott in today’s matchup.
The standard deviation of Jonathan India’s launch angle since the start of last season (26.3°) is in the 81st percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher rate of base hits.
In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Jake Fraley has suffered from bad luck this year. His .305 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .369.
Jake Fraley’s 16.3° launch angle (an advanced standard to evaluate a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in the game: 79th percentile.
Will Benson has big-time HR ability (80th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (33.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Bryse Wilson struggles to strike batters out (2nd percentile K%) — great news for Benson.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Hurtubise in the 75th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, William Contreras will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.
Ranking in the 86th percentile, Blake Perkins has put up a .339 BABIP this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Gary Sanchez as baseball’s 15th-best home run batter.
Andrew Abbott has been unlucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, compiling a 6.93 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.53 — a 1.6 K/9 disparity.
When it comes to his home runs, Jake Fraley has had bad variance on his side this year. His 3.6 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been significantly deflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 35.3.
As it relates to plate discipline, Jonathan India’s talent is quite strong, posting a 1.57 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 89th percentile.
Tyler Stephenson is in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (48.2% rate since the start of last season).
The standard deviation of Tyler Stephenson’s launch angle since the start of last season (26.1°) is in the 83rd percentile. A low figure like this tends to lead to a higher rate of base hits.
As it relates to plate discipline, T.J. Friedl’s ability is quite strong, posting a 1.93 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 79th percentile.
Grading out in the 79th percentile, T.J. Friedl has put up a .265 batting average since the start of last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 80th percentile when estimating his home run talent.
Current MLB player match stat slumps with Reds vs Brewers Matchup for Saturday
Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.
The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 10.3-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for pitchers.
Bryse Wilson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Stephenson today.
In today’s game, Tyler Stephenson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.5% rate (91st percentile).
Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Tyler Stephenson in today’s matchup.
Among all the teams in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Milwaukee Brewers.
Andrew Abbott will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Christian Yelich today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Christian Yelich’s true offensive talent to be a .341, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .048 difference between that mark and his actual .389 wOBA.
Christian Yelich’s 3.3° launch angle (an advanced stat to assess a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the lowest in MLB: 2nd percentile.
Jonathan India is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
Bryse Wilson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jonathan India today.
Jonathan India will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this game.
Jackson Chourio has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 7th-deepest RF fences today.
With a .271 wOBA in the last two weeks, Jackson Chourio has been struggling at the plate.
By putting up a .268 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jackson Chourio is ranked in the 15th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Bryse Wilson in the 14th percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.
The Cincinnati Reds have 6 bats in the projected offense that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryse Wilson in today’s game.
Out of all SPs, Bryse Wilson’s fastball spin rate of 2140 rpm ranks in the 21st percentile this year.
Bryse Wilson has put up a 17.1% strikeout rate this year, checking in at the 15th percentile.
As it relates to his home run talent, Andruw Monasterio ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Andruw Monasterio has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Since the start of last season, Andruw Monasterio’s 5.5% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 25th percentile among his peers.
Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Andruw Monasterio has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 106.3 mph (a reliable metric to evaluate power), checking in at the 4th percentile.
This year, Jake Fraley has been pinch hit for in 12% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.
In today’s game, Jake Fraley is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.4% rate (81st percentile).
Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake Fraley today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Hurtubise in the 10th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
Jacob Hurtubise is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.
This year, Jacob Hurtubise has been pulled from the game early in 38% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.
T.J. Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (37.7% — 95th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
T.J. Friedl will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
When it comes to his home runs, T.J. Friedl has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season. His 19.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 7.5.
T.J. Friedl has posted a .282 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 11th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Extreme flyball hitters like Willy Adames are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Andrew Abbott.
Willy Adames’s 87.4-mph average exit velocity ranks among the worst in the league since the start of last season: 19th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Perkins in the 24th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
Blake Perkins is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.
In today’s matchup, Blake Perkins is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.3% rate (80th percentile).
Blake Perkins’s footspeed has dropped off this season. His 30.02 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 29.43 ft/sec now.
Jeimer Candelario pulls many of his flyballs (37.8% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jeimer Candelario in today’s matchup.
Hitting the ball to all fields is a key skill for batting average that Jeimer Candelario has struggled with since the start of last season, as evidenced by his ranking in the 11th percentile on THE BAT X’s Spray Score.
Will Benson’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Will Benson is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.
27% of the time that Will Benson has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pinch hit for.
Batting from the same side that Bryse Wilson throws from, Spencer Steer will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Spencer Steer today.
Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Elly De La Cruz today.
Sporting a .294 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Elly De La Cruz finds himself in the 19th percentile for hitting ability.
Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 1st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (9.4% rate since the start of last season).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bryse Wilson in the 17th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching talent level.
Bryse Wilson has averaged 14.6 outs per GS this year, grading out in the 15th percentile.
The Cincinnati Reds have been the 6th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress going forward, The #4 park in MLB for boosting walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.
Typically, bats like Rhys Hoskins who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Andrew Abbott.
Grading out in the 12th percentile for Sprint Speed at 25.5 ft/sec this year, Rhys Hoskins is not very toolsy.
This year, there has been a decline in Elly De La Cruz’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 30.53 ft/sec last year to 30 ft/sec currently.
The Milwaukee Brewers have 7 hitters in the projected lineup that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today’s game.
Andrew Abbott is an extreme flyball pitcher (40% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #10 HR venue among all stadiums in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects T.J. Friedl in the 14th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Milwaukee’s #1-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Spencer Steer, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
Gary Sanchez’s BABIP skill is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Gary Sanchez is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.
Gary Sanchez has been pinch hit for 19% of the time when starting against a left-handed pitcher this year.
Gary Sanchez has posted a .204 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Jacob Hurtubise will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates William Contreras’s true offensive ability to be a .340, suggesting that he has been very fortunate this year given the .020 deviation between that mark and his actual .360 wOBA.
William Contreras’s 4.6° launch angle (a reliable stat to study a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the lowest in MLB: 5th percentile.
Andruw Monasterio has posted a .292 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 23rd percentile.
In terms of his home runs, Gary Sanchez has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His 38.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 34.3.
Milwaukee’s 91.3-mph exit velocity on flyballs ranks them as the #28 group of hitters in MLB since the start of last season by this metric.
Given that flyball batters hold a substantial advantage over groundball pitchers, Andrew Abbott and his 40% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a difficult spot in today’s matchup facing 2 opposing GB bats.
Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Andrew Abbott in today’s game.
Andrew Abbott’s high utilization rate of his fastball (54.5% this year) is likely weakening his results, consider they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Blake Perkins’s true offensive ability to be a .287, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .027 disparity between that mark and his actual .314 wOBA.
Jake Fraley’s 84.4-mph average exit velocity is among the worst in Major League Baseball since the start of last season: 1st percentile.
With a .137 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Jonathan India grades out in the 13th percentile.
Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Will Benson in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Will Benson’s true offensive skill to be a .296, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .019 difference between that mark and his actual .315 wOBA.
Reds vs Brewers Match Player Stats Saturday June 15th Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers Game Predictions, Players odds, Saturday lines and Betting Trends
Reds vs Brewers match player stats Saturday, June 15th pre matchup. Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers player predictions
