MLB Player match stats positives for Boston at Tampa Bay Wednesday Matchup

Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.

Tropicana Field profiles as the #4 park in baseball for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The shallowest right field fences among all stadiums are found in Tropicana Field.

Because of Brayan Bello’s large platoon split, Jonathan Aranda will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Jonathan Aranda will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Josh Lowe is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.

Because of Brayan Bello’s large platoon split, Josh Lowe will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

Josh Lowe has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Josh Lowe will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Jarren Duran is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Jarren Duran will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today’s game.

Jarren Duran has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (12.8) suggests that Jarren Duran has had bad variance on his side this year with his 5.5 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 4th-best venue in the league for RHB home runs.

Ceddanne Rafaela has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Ceddanne Rafaela has been hot recently, cracking 2 homers in the last 7 days.

Ceddanne Rafaela’s BABIP talent is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ranking in the 91st percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.96 ft/sec this year, Ceddanne Rafaela is remarkably athletic.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 15th-best batter in the league.

Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Rafael Devers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot today.

When estimating his home run talent, Tyler O’Neill ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Tyler O’Neill is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.

The 5th-shallowest left field fences in the majors are found in Tropicana Field.

Tyler O’Neill has been hot lately, putting up a .378 wOBA in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

In the past 14 days, Connor Wong has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .386.

Connor Wong’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable metric to assess power) has been 113.6 mph since the start of last season, placing in the 79th percentile.

Connor Wong and his 16.2° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 87th percentile, among the highest in the majors since the start of last season.

Brayan Bello will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

In his last start, Brayan Bello conceded a staggering 5 earned runs.

Out of all starters, Brayan Bello’s fastball spin rate of 2083 rpm grades out in the 16th percentile since the start of last season.

Brayan Bello has been very fortunate when it comes to his ERA this year; his 3.96 figure is considerably lower than his 5.18 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Since the start of last season, Tyler O’Neill’s 12.5% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 86th percentile among his peers.

Tyler O’Neill has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 16.7° figure is among the highest in the majors since the start of last season (78th percentile).

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (44.4% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Bats such as Isaac Paredes with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brayan Bello who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Isaac Paredes will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

Isaac Paredes’s 22.1° launch angle (an advanced standard to evaluate a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in the majors: 99th percentile.

Rafael Devers has paced 32.1 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 94th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Dominic Smith is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Batting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Dominic Smith will have an advantage in today’s game.

Dominic Smith has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his home runs, Dominic Smith has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His 11.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a good deal lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 15.8.

Dominic Smith and his 15.9° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 85th percentile, among the highest in the league since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 91st percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Brandon Lowe is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.

Brandon Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today’s game… and moreover, Bello has a large platoon split.

Brandon Lowe will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vaughn Grissom in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Vaughn Grissom has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Vaughn Grissom has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .228 mark is deflated compared to his .288 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Ryan Pepiot in the 91st percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

The Boston Red Sox have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Connor Wong, Wilyer Abreu, Tyler O’Neill).

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Ryan Pepiot will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O’Neill in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Randy Arozarena’s true offensive skill to be a .337, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .082 gap between that figure and his actual .255 wOBA.

Randy Arozarena has compiled a .356 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 88th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Since the start of last season, Brandon Lowe’s flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to study power) grades out in the 91st percentile at 95.4 mph.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Ryan Pepiot’s overall pitching skill ranks in the 87th percentile out of all SPs in the majors currently.

It may be wise to expect negative regression for the Boston Red Sox offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 7th-luckiest offense in the majors this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Wilyer Abreu has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year’s 26.74 ft/sec to 27.4 ft/sec now (according to Statcast’s Sprint Speed metric).

Wilyer Abreu’s 91.2-mph average exit velocity is one of the best in the majors since the start of last season: 86th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Rafael Devers has recorded a .354 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 85th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Sporting a 26.100 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Brandon Lowe grades out in the 76th percentile for power.

Randy Arozarena has been hot lately, cracking 3 homers in the past two weeks.

Ben Rortvedt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello today… and even better, Bello has a large platoon split.

Ben Rortvedt will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

Ben Rortvedt has had some very poor luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 6.7 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a good deal lower than his 15.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to plate discipline, Ben Rortvedt’s talent is quite good, sporting a 1.73 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 87th percentile.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.316) provides evidence that Dominic Smith has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .299 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 79th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Brayan Bello has been granted a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, tallying 4.4 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than average.

Jarren Duran has compiled a .346 BABIP this year, checking in at the 87th percentile.

Wilyer Abreu has been hot of late, hitting his way to a .353 wOBA in the last 14 days.

The Tampa Bay Rays have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Josh Lowe, Jose Siri, Ben Rortvedt).

Current MLB player match stat slumps with Red Sox vs Rays Matchup for Wednesday

The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

With a .234 wOBA over the last two weeks, Jonathan Aranda has been struggling at the plate.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Jonathan Aranda has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His .297 mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .272.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jonathan Aranda ranks in just the 22nd percentile with a 8.3° launch angle, which is one of the most groundball-inducing angles in the majors.

The #4 ballpark in the league for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jarren Duran today.

Jarren Duran has posted a .272 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 11th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jarren Duran’s 5.3% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) grades out in the 23rd percentile since the start of last season.

Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

Ryan Pepiot will have the handedness advantage against Ceddanne Rafaela in today’s game.

Ceddanne Rafaela will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Posting a .271 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Ceddanne Rafaela is positioned in the 25th percentile for offensive ability.

Rafael Devers will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Rafael Devers has been lucky this year, compiling a .398 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .360 — a .038 gap.

Batting from the same side that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Tyler O’Neill meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

Tyler O’Neill will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Tyler O’Neill’s true offensive skill to be a .333, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .045 difference between that mark and his actual .378 wOBA.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Tyler O’Neill ranks in the 24th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .285.

Connor Wong is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the worst stadium in baseball for RHB BABIP.

Ryan Pepiot will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Connor Wong today.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Connor Wong in today’s matchup.

Adam Hamari profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be umping in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the worst stadium in MLB for BABIP.

Brayan Bello is an extreme groundball pitcher (51.2% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Tropicana Field — the #8 HR venue in MLB — in this matchup.

Brayan Bello has used his change-up 10.1% more often this season (34.1%) than he did last season (24%).

This year, there has been a decline in Tyler O’Neill’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.51 ft/sec last year to 27.44 ft/sec currently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 4th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Considering Brayan Bello’s large platoon split, Isaac Paredes will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in this game.

Despite posting a .385 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Isaac Paredes has been very fortunate given the .060 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .325.

Rafael Devers is in the 14th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (38.5% rate since the start of last season).

This year, Dominic Smith has been pulled from the game early in 11% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Dominic Smith today.

Dominic Smith has been cold recently, limping his way to a .215 wOBA over the last 14 days.

Brandon Lowe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 94th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Vaughn Grissom is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

Ryan Pepiot will hold the platoon advantage against Vaughn Grissom today.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Vaughn Grissom in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Ryan Pepiot to be on a bit of a short leash today, projecting a maximum of 79 pitches.

Dominic Smith’s 86.3-mph average exit velocity is one of the worst in baseball since the start of last season: 8th percentile.

Brayan Bello will have the handedness advantage against Randy Arozarena in today’s game… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Bello’s large platoon split.

Randy Arozarena hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 9th-deepest CF fences today.

Randy Arozarena grades out in the 11th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (38.2% rate since the start of last season).

The #1 stadium in the game for suppressing BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.

Brandon Lowe’s quickness has decreased this season. His 27.33 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.54 ft/sec now.

Using Statcast metrics, Brandon Lowe grades out in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .225.

Ryan Pepiot is an extreme flyball pitcher (40.6% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #8 HR venue among all major league parks in today’s game.

Ryan Pepiot has been one of the luckiest mound aces in Major League Baseball on balls in play this year with a .217 BABIP and ought to see that luck normalize going forward.

Placing in the 8th percentile, the hardest ball Isaac Paredes has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 107.7 mph — an advanced indication of underlying power skill.

This year, Wilyer Abreu has been pinch hit for in 20% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

Typically, hitters like Wilyer Abreu who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Ryan Pepiot.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Wilyer Abreu today.

Jonathan Aranda’s footspeed has decreased this season. His 26.14 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.49 ft/sec now.

Since the start of last season, Jarren Duran’s flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to measure power) grades out in the 20th percentile at 90.3 mph.

With a .255 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Randy Arozarena is positioned in the 16th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ben Rortvedt ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ben Rortvedt is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Ben Rortvedt has been pinch hit for 13% of the time.

Ben Rortvedt hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 9th-deepest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rortvedt in the 6th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Connor Wong has been lucky this year, putting up a .386 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .302 — a .084 gap.

Jarren Duran has posted a .207 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When assessing his home run skill, Vaughn Grissom ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Despite posting a .353 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Wilyer Abreu has been very fortunate given the .043 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .310.

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Red Sox vs Rays Match Player Stats Wednesday May 22nd Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays Game Predictions, Players odds, Wednesday lines and Betting Trends
Red Sox vs Rays match player stats Wednesday, May 22nd pre matchup. Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays player predictions