MLB Player match stats positives for Boston at Toronto Wednesday Matchup

Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF fences in the majors.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.3-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 12.9% to 18.5%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 15th-best batter in MLB.

Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Rafael Devers will have the handedness advantage against Kevin Gausman today.

Dominic Smith will have the handedness advantage over Kevin Gausman in today’s matchup.

Dominic Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

Compared to his seasonal average of 11.7°, Dominic Smith has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 33° figure in the past week.

Sporting a 1.9 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Dominic Smith has demonstrated strong plate discipline, ranking in the 80th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Masataka Yoshida will have the handedness advantage over Kevin Gausman in today’s matchup.

In the last week, Masataka Yoshida’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.8% up to 14.3%.

As it relates to his home run skill, Danny Jansen ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Rogers Centre grades out as the #8 ballpark in baseball for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Batters such as Danny Jansen with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brayan Bello who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Kevin Gausman in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Kevin Gausman is projected to throw 98 pitches in today’s matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 2nd-most of all pitchers today.

It may be sensible to expect worse results for the Boston Red Sox offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 3rd-luckiest offense in MLB this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 6th-worst venue in the majors for batting average.

Ceddanne Rafaela’s BABIP skill is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ceddanne Rafaela hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Ceddanne Rafaela has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 107.9-mph average over the past week to his seasonal EV of 93.3-mph.

Ceddanne Rafaela’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, increasing from 39.1% on the season to 58.8% in the past two weeks.

When it comes to his home runs, Dominic Smith has been unlucky since the start of last season. His 11.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a good deal lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 15.1.

The #8 park in MLB for boosting home runs to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.

Connor Wong’s BABIP talent is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ranking in the 91st percentile, Connor Wong has posted a .370 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Connor Wong has notched a .329 batting average this year, checking in at the 99th percentile.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Davis Schneider ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Davis Schneider is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Extreme flyball bats like Davis Schneider are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Spencer Horwitz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today’s matchup… and the cherry on top, Bello has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O’Neill in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Tyler O’Neill is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Tyler O’Neill has made big improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 12.4% rate last season to 18% this year.

Compared to last year, Connor Wong has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13.2% to 17.2% this season.

Brayan Bello has averaged 93.7 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile.

The #5 stadium in MLB for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.

Because of his large platoon split, Brayan Bello should be in good shape going up against 6 batters in the projected lineup who bat from the same side in today’s matchup.

Brayan Bello’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 games started (2085 rpm) has been quite a bit better than than his seasonal rate (2021 rpm).

Brayan Bello’s change-up rate has jumped by 6.6% from last year to this one (24% to 30.6%) .

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Rob Refsnyder has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.6-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 90.7-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Kevin Gausman in the 90th percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Brayan Bello’s overall pitching skill is in the 81st percentile out of all starting pitchers in the majors currently.

Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.

Considering Brayan Bello’s large platoon split, Daulton Varsho will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball batters like Daulton Varsho tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks as the 10th-best hitter in the league.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Jarren Duran will have an advantage today.

Jarren Duran hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

As it relates to his home run skill, Daulton Varsho ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When assessing his home run skill, Tyler O’Neill ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ceddanne Rafaela has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 22.3° angle is among the highest in MLB this year (99th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Current MLB player match stat slumps with Red Sox vs Blue Jays Matchup for Wednesday

When it comes to his home run ability, Isiah Kiner-Falefa ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Isiah Kiner-Falefa is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Rogers Centre grades out as the #24 venue in MLB for overall righty offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Rogers Centre has the 8th-tallest fences among all parks.

Given Brayan Bello’s large platoon split, Isiah Kiner-Falefa will be at a gigantic disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today’s matchup.

Rogers Centre projects as the #24 venue in the majors for overall LHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Rafael Devers will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (23.3) provides evidence that Rafael Devers has had some very good luck this year with his 31.7 actual HR/600.

Dominic Smith is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.

This year, Dominic Smith has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 21% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 7th-worst park in the league for lefty batting average.

Dominic Smith will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Dominic Smith’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 91.5-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 89.4-mph in the last 7 days.

Masataka Yoshida is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

Masataka Yoshida will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 8.6°, Masataka Yoshida has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.6°) over the last two weeks.

Masataka Yoshida’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 12% to 8.4%.

Danny Jansen has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Brayan Bello will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Danny Jansen in today’s matchup… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Bello’s large platoon split.

Danny Jansen has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 7.6% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past 14 days.

Alfonso Marquez profiles as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be umping today.

Kevin Gausman’s fastball velocity has decreased 1.2 mph this year (92.9 mph) below where it was last season (94.1 mph).

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Kevin Gausman has relied on his fastball a lot this year, though: 55.7% of the time, checking in at the 100th percentile.

Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

The #7 ballpark in the league for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.

Kevin Gausman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ceddanne Rafaela in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ceddanne Rafaela in today’s game.

As it relates to his batting average, Ceddanne Rafaela has been very fortunate this year. His .243 BA has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .225.

Kevin Gausman will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his metrics in all categories.

Connor Wong is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Batting from the same side that Kevin Gausman throws from, Connor Wong has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Connor Wong will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Danny Jansen in the 4th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Considering Brayan Bello’s large platoon split, Davis Schneider will be at a massive disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 11th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Spencer Horwitz’s quickness has declined this year. His 25.05 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.08 ft/sec now.

Spencer Horwitz has been cold lately, posting a 82.6-mph average exit velocity in the last 14 days.

Kevin Gausman will have the handedness advantage over Tyler O’Neill in today’s game.

Tyler O’Neill will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his batting average, Tyler O’Neill has had positive variance on his side this year. His .258 BA has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .216.

Connor Wong’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 91.7-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 81.6-mph over the last two weeks.

The Toronto Blue Jays (20.3 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 4th-least strikeout-heavy team of batters of all teams on the slate today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Connor Wong (the Red Sox’s expected catcher in today’s game) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

Considering that flyball hitters hold a big edge over groundball pitchers, Brayan Bello and his 51.5% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a troublesome spot in this outing going up against 2 opposing GB hitters.

Batting from the same side that Kevin Gausman throws from, Rob Refsnyder will have a disadvantage today.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Rob Refsnyder in today’s game.

Rob Refsnyder’s launch angle this year (8.4°) is quite a bit lower than his 11.6° angle last season.

Rob Refsnyder’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, falling from 8.2% on the season to 0% in the past two weeks.

The Toronto Blue Jays have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in future games, The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 4th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Daulton Varsho’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 84.8-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 82.3-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.295) suggests that Daulton Varsho has been lucky this year with his .320 actual wOBA.

In notching a .251 BABIP this year, Daulton Varsho grades out in the 17th percentile.

Because of Brayan Bello’s large platoon split, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game.

Extreme flyball batters like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s launch angle this year (5.6°) is significantly worse than his 10.2° mark last year.

Spencer Horwitz has struggled to lift the ball recently, compiling a 2.3° launch angle over the past week.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.254) implies that Spencer Horwitz has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his .332 actual wOBA.

Typically, batters like Isiah Kiner-Falefa who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Brayan Bello.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 88.6-mph figure last year has dropped off to 85.9-mph.

Jarren Duran will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Over the past 7 days, Jarren Duran’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 93 mph to 86.7 mph.

Jarren Duran’s launch angle of late (3° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit lower than his 8° seasonal figure.

As it relates to his home runs, Tyler O’Neill has had positive variance on his side this year. His 40.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 33.8.

Ceddanne Rafaela’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined lately, going from 17.9% on the season to 11.1% in the past 7 days.

Jarren Duran has been lucky this year, compiling a .347 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .327 — a .020 gap.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.340) may lead us to conclude that Rafael Devers has been very fortunate this year with his .386 actual wOBA.

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Red Sox vs Blue Jays Match Player Stats Wednesday June 19th Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays Game Predictions, Players odds, Wednesday lines and Betting Trends
Red Sox vs Blue Jays match player stats Wednesday, June 19th pre matchup. Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays player predictions