MLB Player match stats positives for Tampa Bay at Boston Wednesday Matchup

The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.

Given Tanner Houck’s large platoon split, Ben Rortvedt will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.

Ben Rortvedt hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Ben Rortvedt has shown impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 88th percentile with a 1.65 K/BB rate.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Tanner Houck’s overall pitching talent is in the 92nd percentile among all starters in MLB currently.

Tanner Houck has been granted more leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing 4.6 more adjusted pitches-per-start than average.

It is likely that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Phil Cuzzi) behind the plate in this game.

In MLB, the 2nd-highest fences are at Fenway Park.

The #6 field in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.

Ceddanne Rafaela has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Ceddanne Rafaela will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for run-scoring.

Batting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Dominic Smith will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Dominic Smith stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

Dominic Smith has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league’s shallowest LF fences today.

Dominic Smith will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.

The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.

Hitting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Wilyer Abreu may have the upper hand against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays only has 1 same-handed RP.

Wilyer Abreu has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Jonny Deluca pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest LF fences today.

In the past 14 days, Jonny Deluca has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .386.

Jonny Deluca ranks in the 96th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (23.5% rate since the start of last season).

As it relates to his home run ability, Tyler O’Neill ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Tyler O’Neill is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Tyler O’Neill will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Josh Lowe is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.

Josh Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Tanner Houck in today’s matchup… and even more favorably, Houck has a large platoon split.

Josh Lowe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Josh Lowe’s 11.1% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) ranks in the 75th percentile since the start of last season.

As it relates to his batting average ability, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 11th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (44.3% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball hitters like Isaac Paredes usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tanner Houck.

Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Among all major league parks, Fenway Park’s RF fences are the 3rd-shallowest.

Batting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Rafael Devers will have an advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Ceddanne Rafaela is notably quick, ranking in the 90th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.9 ft/sec this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Taj Bradley’s overall pitching ability grades out in the 81st percentile among all SPs in the game right now.

In his last GS, Taj Bradley was in good form and gave up 1 ER.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.

Randy Arozarena hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Vaughn Grissom’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The #3 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.

Vaughn Grissom has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Vaughn Grissom will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Vaughn Grissom has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .238 figure is a fair amount lower than his .288 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Jarren Duran is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Jarren Duran will have an advantage in today’s game.

Jarren Duran may have an advantage against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays only has 1 same-handed RP.

Richie Palacios will hold the platoon advantage against Tanner Houck in today’s matchup… and moreover, Houck has a large platoon split.

Richie Palacios pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Richie Palacios has performed at a clip of 27.2 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 85th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Connor Wong’s BABIP skill is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Connor Wong is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario as the 17th-best hitter in the game when it comes to his batting average skill.

Amed Rosario is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.

Amed Rosario hits many of his flyballs to center field (41% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Cracking 2 dingers in the last 7 days, Yandy Diaz has been on fire in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Jose Caballero’s 20.9° launch angle (an advanced metric to assess a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in Major League Baseball: 93rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 81st percentile when assessing his home run talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O’Neill in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tanner Houck in the 80th percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.

With a .344 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Richie Palacios grades out in the 86th percentile.

Jarren Duran has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Bashing 5 dingers over the past 14 days, Randy Arozarena has been on fire recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Taj Bradley in the 85th percentile when assessing his strikeout talent.

The Boston Red Sox have 4 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Connor Wong, Wilyer Abreu, Romy Gonzalez, Tyler O’Neill).

Current MLB player match stat slumps with Rays vs Red Sox Matchup for Wednesday

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rortvedt in the 6th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Ben Rortvedt is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

16% of the time that Ben Rortvedt has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Fenway Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to lower offensive output.

This game is expected to have the 5th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Connor Wong, the Red Sox’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #2 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.

The shallowest LF dimensions in the majors are found in Fenway Park.

With a 1.42 gap between Tanner Houck’s 2.24 ERA and his 3.66 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league this year and ought to perform worse in the future.

Ceddanne Rafaela is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Taj Bradley throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Dominic Smith is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

Dominic Smith has been cold lately, limping his way to a .193 wOBA over the last 14 days.

This year, Wilyer Abreu has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 13% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Wilyer Abreu’s true offensive talent to be a .309, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .057 disparity between that mark and his actual .366 wOBA.

Jonny Deluca is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.

Because of Tanner Houck’s large platoon split, Jonny Deluca will be at a colossal disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today’s game.

Wilyer Abreu has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .297 figure is considerably higher than his .234 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Batting from the same side that Taj Bradley throws from, Tyler O’Neill has a tough challenge today.

This year, there has been a decline in Tyler O’Neill’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.51 ft/sec last year to 27.78 ft/sec currently.

Despite posting a .395 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tyler O’Neill has been lucky given the .060 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .335.

Josh Lowe will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Josh Lowe has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His .357 figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .345.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rortvedt in the 15th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Tanner Houck will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yandy Diaz in today’s matchup… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Houck’s large platoon split.

Extreme flyball batters like Yandy Diaz tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Tanner Houck.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 3rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Tanner Houck will hold the platoon advantage against Isaac Paredes in today’s matchup… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Houck’s large platoon split.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.259) provides evidence that Rafael Devers has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his .273 actual batting average.

Rafael Devers grades out in the 14th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (38.5% rate since the start of last season).

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Taj Bradley is projected to throw 84 pitches in today’s matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 5th-least on the slate today.

Taj Bradley will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonny Deluca in the 24th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Tanner Houck will have the handedness advantage over 6 opposing hitters in this matchup… and will be extra-advantaged due to his large platoon split.

Tanner Houck will hold the platoon advantage over Randy Arozarena in today’s matchup… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Houck’s large platoon split.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Randy Arozarena today.

Vaughn Grissom is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Taj Bradley will have the handedness advantage over Vaughn Grissom in today’s game.

Vaughn Grissom’s footspeed has declined this year. His 27.15 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.51 ft/sec now.

Jarren Duran’s speed has fallen off this season. His 29.5 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 29.01 ft/sec now.

Jarren Duran’s 90.3-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to measure power) grades out in the 20th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Richie Palacios in the 18th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Richie Palacios is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Batting from the same side that Taj Bradley throws from, Connor Wong will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Despite posting a .389 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Connor Wong has been very fortunate given the .090 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .299.

Using Statcast metrics, Connor Wong is in the 12th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .284.

Dominic Smith’s 86.3-mph average exit velocity is one of the worst in Major League Baseball since the start of last season: 8th percentile.

Tanner Houck will have the handedness advantage against Amed Rosario in today’s game… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Houck’s large platoon split.

Typically, batters like Amed Rosario who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Tanner Houck.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Isaac Paredes today.

Jose Caballero’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jose Caballero is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.

Tanner Houck will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Caballero today… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Houck’s large platoon split.

Jarren Duran is in the 7th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (11.7% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the worst field in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.

Jose Caballero will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Amed Rosario today.

Randy Arozarena grades out in the 11th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (38.2% rate since the start of last season).

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Yandy Diaz in today’s game.

Richie Palacios will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Richie Palacios has been lucky this year, posting a .337 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .300 — a .037 discrepancy.

Since the start of last season, Jarren Duran’s 5.3% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 23rd percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vaughn Grissom in the 11th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario in the 12th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

With a .261 wOBA over the last 14 days, Ceddanne Rafaela has been struggling at the plate.

With a 1.65 deviation between Taj Bradley’s 11.06 K/9 and his 9.41 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball since the start of last season as it relates to strikeouts and ought to negatively regress in future games.

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Rays vs Red Sox Match Player Stats Wednesday May 15th Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox Game Predictions, Players odds, Wednesday lines and Betting Trends
Rays vs Red Sox match player stats Wednesday, May 15th pre matchup. Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox player predictions