
TEX @ MIN






MLB Player match stats positives for Texas at Minnesota Saturday Matchup
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.
Jonah Heim has performed at a clip of 26.6 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 78th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Jonah Heim is in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (18.3% rate since the start of last season).
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Carlos Correa ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Carlos Correa is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.
Carlos Correa will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jose Miranda will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Notching 2 long-balls in the last week, Jose Miranda has been on fire recently.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien as the 9th-best hitter in the game as it relates to his BABIP ability.
Edouard Julien is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.
Batting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Edouard Julien will have an advantage today.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.
With a .356 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Adolis Garcia has performed in the 88th percentile for offensive skills.
Corey Seager projects as the 13th-best batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Corey Seager is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.
Corey Seager will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Paddack in today’s matchup.
It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Laz Diaz) calling pitches today.
As a result of his reverse platoon split, Chris Paddack will be at an advantage going up against 7 hitters in the projected offense of opposing handedness in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics in all categories, and Chris Paddack will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
Max Kepler is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.
Max Kepler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen today.
Max Kepler is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers only has 1 same-handed RP.
Josh Smith is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
Hitting from the opposite that Chris Paddack throws from, Josh Smith will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Josh Smith has notched a .347 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 87th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Nathaniel Lowe’s BABIP ability is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Nathaniel Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Paddack in today’s matchup.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.280) suggests that Nathaniel Lowe has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .262 actual batting average.
The Minnesota Twins have 4 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Edouard Julien, Byron Buxton, Ryan Jeffers, Trevor Larnach).
Jonah Heim, the Rangers’s expected catcher today, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Target Field projects as the #8 field in the majors for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Tallying 18.1 outs per GS this year on average, Michael Lorenzen checks in at the 91st percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run ability.
Ryan Jeffers will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Ryan Jeffers’s 11.7% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) grades out in the 82nd percentile since the start of last season.
Leody Taveras’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Leody Taveras is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
The switch-hitting Leody Taveras will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Chris Paddack.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Kirilloff in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
Alex Kirilloff will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen today.
Alex Kirilloff will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers only has 1 same-handed RP.
Over the past 14 days, Josh Smith has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .354.
Trevor Larnach is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
Trevor Larnach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen in today’s game.
The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trevor Larnach can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
When it comes to his batting average ability, Corey Seager is projected as the 10th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Travis Jankowski will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Paddack in today’s matchup.
Based on Statcast metrics, Travis Jankowski ranks in the 76th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .264.
Sporting a 1.38 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Travis Jankowski has shown impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 94th percentile.
Carlos Correa’s speed has increased this year. His 26.53 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.07 ft/sec now.
Alex Kirilloff will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Marcus Semien ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Marcus Semien is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.
Marcus Semien ranks in the 98th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (21.2% rate since the start of last season).
Posting a .345 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Leody Taveras is positioned in the 78th percentile for offensive skills.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 86th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Evan Carter in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
Evan Carter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Paddack in today’s matchup.
Evan Carter has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 19.7 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit lower than his 27.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as baseball’s 9th-best home run batter.
Byron Buxton is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.
Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Byron Buxton will hold that advantage in today’s game.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
When it comes to his home run talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
In notching a 34.600 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Adolis Garcia has performed in the 97th percentile for power.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.319) suggests that Evan Carter has been unlucky this year with his .295 actual wOBA.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Evan Carter ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Byron Buxton in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Hitting 2 long-balls in the past week’s worth of games, Carlos Correa has been on fire in recent games.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Nathaniel Lowe ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Based on Statcast metrics, Nathaniel Lowe is in the 79th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .346.
Current MLB player match stat slumps with Rangers vs Twins Matchup for Saturday
Jonah Heim is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 7th-worst field in Major League Baseball for LHB home runs.
The 10th-deepest CF fences in MLB are found in Target Field.
In the majors, the 5th-highest fences are at Target Field.
As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Jonah Heim will bat from his bad side against Chris Paddack in today’s matchup.
Hitting from the same side that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Carlos Correa faces a tough challenge in today’s game.
The Texas Rangers outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-best among every team in action today.
Carlos Correa ranks in the 8th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (11.8% rate since the start of last season).
Jose Miranda’s BABIP skill is projected in the 23rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jose Miranda has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (56% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today’s game.
Target Field ranks as the #24 field in baseball for overall RHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Michael Lorenzen will have the handedness advantage against Jose Miranda today.
27% of the time that Edouard Julien has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.
Target Field projects as the #24 stadium in MLB for overall left-handed offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Today, Edouard Julien is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 41.1% rate (98th percentile).
Hitting from the same side that Chris Paddack throws from, Adolis Garcia will not have the upper hand today.
Adolis Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
As it relates to plate discipline, Adolis Garcia’s skill is quite weak, putting up a 5.08 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 10th percentile.
In today’s matchup, Corey Seager is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.3% rate (82nd percentile).
Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Corey Seager in today’s game.
Target Field grades out as the #8 stadium in the league for base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Chris Paddack’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 outings (2152 rpm) has been significantly lower than than his seasonal rate (2218 rpm).
Texas Rangers batters collectively rank near the top of the league since the start of last season (2nd-) in regard to their 89.8-mph average exit velocity.
As a team, Texas Rangers hitters have done well when it comes to hitting balls in the launch angle band that tends to optimize home runs (between 23° and 34°), rating 3rd-best in the league.
Max Kepler’s quickness has declined this season. His 27.37 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.25 ft/sec now.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Max Kepler’s true offensive talent to be a .328, implying that he has had some very good luck this year given the .059 deviation between that figure and his actual .387 wOBA.
Josh Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 87th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 10th-deepest CF fences today.
Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Josh Smith today.
Josh Smith’s quickness has dropped off this year. His 28.49 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.83 ft/sec now.
Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 93% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
Nathaniel Lowe has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Nathaniel Lowe will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Michael Lorenzen in today’s game.
Michael Lorenzen has utilized his sinker 10.5% more often this season (22.3%) than he did last season (11.8%).
Michael Lorenzen has had some very good luck with his ERA this year; his 3.61 figure is a good deal lower than his 4.81 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).
Ryan Jeffers is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
The #7 stadium in the majors for suppressing home runs to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.
Michael Lorenzen will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Jeffers today.
Ryan Jeffers pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Leody Taveras has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Leody Taveras today.
Leody Taveras’s speed has decreased this year. His 29.17 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.53 ft/sec now.
Leody Taveras’s 90-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to measure power) grades out in the 17th percentile since the start of last season.
Leody Taveras and his 7.6° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 18th percentile, among the lowest in the game since the start of last season.
Alex Kirilloff has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (73% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.
31% of the time that Alex Kirilloff has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pulled from the game early.
Alex Kirilloff has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Ranking in the 14th percentile, the hardest ball Alex Kirilloff has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 108.7 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Josh Smith’s true offensive ability to be a .309, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .045 disparity between that mark and his actual .354 wOBA.
Trevor Larnach has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 39% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.
Trevor Larnach’s footspeed has decreased this year. His 26.64 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.05 ft/sec now.
Corey Seager’s footspeed has decreased this year. His 26.12 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 24.98 ft/sec now.
When estimating his home run ability, Travis Jankowski ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Travis Jankowski is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Travis Jankowski has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 17% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonah Heim in the 5th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
Jonah Heim will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Edouard Julien’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable metric to assess power) has been 108.9 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 17th percentile.
Given the 0.72 discrepancy between Chris Paddack’s 8.40 K/9 and his 7.69 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the majors this year in terms of strikeouts and figures to perform worse the rest of the season.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Travis Jankowski ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Today, Travis Jankowski is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 38.5% rate (95th percentile).
Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Travis Jankowski in today’s matchup.
Hitting from the same side that Chris Paddack throws from, Marcus Semien has a tough challenge in today’s game.
Marcus Semien pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.1% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 11th-deepest LF fences today.
Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Marcus Semien today.
Evan Carter has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (77% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.
Evan Carter has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 12% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.
Evan Carter hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 10th-deepest CF fences today.
Michael Lorenzen will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Byron Buxton in today’s game.
Byron Buxton pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.9% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
By putting up a 3.91 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Byron Buxton has shown poor plate discipline, checking in at the 18th percentile.
Despite posting a .368 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ryan Jeffers has been lucky given the .043 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .325.
Jose Miranda pulls many of his flyballs (36.3% — 92nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 11th-deepest LF fences today.
This season, there has been a decline in Nathaniel Lowe’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.3 ft/sec last year to 26.33 ft/sec currently.
In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Nathaniel Lowe ranks in just the 13th percentile with a 7.2° launch angle, which is among the most groundball-inducing angles in Major League Baseball.
Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Evan Carter in today’s matchup.
In notching a .201 batting average this year, Evan Carter is positioned in the 16th percentile.
Byron Buxton is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of Texas (#3-best of all teams on the slate).
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.203) may lead us to conclude that Byron Buxton has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .220 actual batting average.
Ranking in the 13th percentile, the hardest ball Marcus Semien has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 108.6 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power skill.
Marcus Semien has been very bad at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial ability for batting average), placing in the 12th percentile in THE BAT X’s Spray Score since the start of last season.
Rangers vs Twins Match Player Stats Saturday May 25th Texas Rangers at Minnesota Twins Game Predictions, Players odds, Saturday lines and Betting Trends
Rangers vs Twins match player stats Saturday, May 25th pre matchup. Texas Rangers at Minnesota Twins player predictions
