
PIT @ CHC






MLB Player match stats positives for Pittsburgh at Chicago Friday Matchup
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.
Andrew McCutchen pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest LF fences today.
Out of every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.256) suggests that Andrew McCutchen has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .242 actual batting average.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.
As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his good side against Kyle Hendricks today.
Bryan Reynolds has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jack Suwinski in the 97th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
Jack Suwinski is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.
Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Jack Suwinski will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Jack Suwinski has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs has just 1 same-handed RP.
Jack Suwinski has a ton of pop (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (29.9% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Kyle Hendricks doesn’t generate many whiffs (13th percentile K%) — great news for Suwinski.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.278) provides evidence that Jared Triolo has experienced some negative variance this year with his .243 actual wOBA.
Jared Triolo ranks in the 95th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (52.4% rate since the start of last season).
In notching a .356 BABIP since the start of last season, Jared Triolo is ranked in the 92nd percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Joe in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Connor Joe is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.
Connor Joe pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Connor Joe has been hot recently, cracking 3 HRs in the past week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.
Seiya Suzuki will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Sporting a .365 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Seiya Suzuki has performed in the 93rd percentile for hitting ability.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Ian Happ is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.
As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Ian Happ will get to bat from his good side against Paul Skenes in today’s game.
Ian Happ has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest LF fences today.
Ian Happ will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
When estimating his home run skill, Christopher Morel ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Christopher Morel is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.
Christopher Morel pulls many of his flyballs (38.6% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Christopher Morel will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Cody Bellinger is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cody Bellinger stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Miles Mastrobuoni will have an advantage in today’s game.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Miles Mastrobuoni can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
Miles Mastrobuoni has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Miles Mastrobuoni will hold that advantage today.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Miles Mastrobuoni has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .264 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .316.
Oneil Cruz’s BABIP ability is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.
Oneil Cruz will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Hendricks in today’s matchup.
The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Oneil Cruz can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Mike Tauchman is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.
Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Mike Tauchman will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Mike Tauchman has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Pittsburgh Pirates only has 1 same-handed RP.
Mike Tauchman has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Cody Bellinger will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Michael A. Taylor has a ton of pop (78th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (31.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Kyle Hendricks is a pitch-to-contact type (7th percentile K%) — great news for Taylor.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.253) implies that Michael A. Taylor has had some very poor luck this year with his .247 actual wOBA.
Michael A. Taylor’s 14.3% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) is in the 91st percentile since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, Michael A. Taylor’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to assess power) grades out in the 97th percentile at 96.7 mph.
Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Michael Busch will have an edge in today’s game.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Busch stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
Michael Busch will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Michael Busch’s 94.5-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to measure power) ranks in the 80th percentile since the start of last season.
In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Connor Joe ranks in the 79th percentile with a 16.3° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in the game.
Using Statcast data, Andrew McCutchen is in the 82nd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .352.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
Oneil Cruz has big-time power (95th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (30.2% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Kyle Hendricks struggles to strike batters out (12th percentile K%) — great news for Cruz.
Michael A. Taylor has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 17.9° angle is among the highest in the majors since the start of last season (94th percentile).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jack Suwinski in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
Cracking 5 HRs in the past two weeks’ worth of games, Christopher Morel has been on fire recently.
Connor Joe has been hot of late, cruising to a .381 wOBA over the last 14 days.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Paul Skenes’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 91st percentile out of all starting pitchers in MLB currently.
The maximum exit velocity of any player on the Chicago Cubs has been 114.6 mph since the start of last season, making them the #23 offense in MLB by this stat.
Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Seiya Suzuki has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.6 mph (an advanced stat to evaluate power), placing in the 89th percentile.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Mike Tauchman will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miles Mastrobuoni in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
Michael Busch and his 22° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 93rd percentile, among the highest in the majors since the start of last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
In terms of plate discipline, Andrew McCutchen’s talent is quite impressive, putting up a 1.53 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 90th percentile.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (37.8) suggests that Bryan Reynolds has been unlucky this year with his 15.6 actual HR/600.
Current MLB player match stat slumps with Pirates vs Cubs Matchup for Friday
Batting from the same side that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Andrew McCutchen will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.
Andrew McCutchen will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
This year, there has been a decline in Andrew McCutchen’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.41 ft/sec last year to 27.11 ft/sec currently.
Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 15th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (12.8% rate since the start of last season).
Hitting the ball to all fields is an important talent for batting average that Andrew McCutchen has struggled with since the start of last season, as evidenced by his grading out in the 12th percentile on THE BAT X’s Spray Score.
Bryan Reynolds will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Jack Suwinski pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 82nd percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Jack Suwinski will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Jack Suwinski has put up a .213 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Placing in the 6th percentile, Jack Suwinski sports a .210 batting average since the start of last season.
Jared Triolo is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Hitting from the same side that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Jared Triolo will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
In today’s matchup, Jared Triolo is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.6% rate (91st percentile).
Jared Triolo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Jared Triolo has been cold recently, posting a .243 wOBA over the past two weeks.
Kyle Hendricks will hold the platoon advantage over Connor Joe in today’s game.
Connor Joe will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Connor Joe’s true offensive talent to be a .319, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .062 disparity between that mark and his actual .381 wOBA.
Hitting from the same side that Paul Skenes throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have a tough matchup today.
In terms of power, Ian Happ finds himself in the 8th percentile, having averaged 2.5 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.
When starting against a northpaw this year, Christopher Morel has been pinch hit for 11% of the time.
Paul Skenes will hold the platoon advantage against Christopher Morel today.
Christopher Morel is in the 7th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (37.2% rate since the start of last season).
Grading out in the 23rd percentile, Christopher Morel has notched a .277 BABIP since the start of last season.
Cody Bellinger pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.1) provides evidence that Cody Bellinger has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his 28.9 actual HR/600.
Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Cody Bellinger has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 109.2 mph (an advanced stat to evaluate power), ranking in the 21st percentile.
When assessing his home run ability, Miles Mastrobuoni ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Miles Mastrobuoni is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.
Since the start of last season, Miles Mastrobuoni has been pinch hit for in 19% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.
With a .196 wOBA over the last 7 days, Miles Mastrobuoni has been struggling at the plate.
Miles Mastrobuoni has paced 5.1 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 15th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.267) may lead us to conclude that Cody Bellinger has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his .297 actual batting average.
Oneil Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Oneil Cruz has shown weak plate discipline this year, checking in at the 10th percentile with a 5.01 K/BB rate.
As it relates to his home run ability, Jared Triolo ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Mike Tauchman has been lucky this year, putting up a .356 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .311 — a .045 deviation.
Since the start of last season, Mike Tauchman’s 5.5% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 25th percentile among his peers.
Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Mike Tauchman has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 109.4 mph (a reliable stat to study power), checking in at the 23rd percentile.
In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Mike Tauchman ranks in just the 16th percentile with a 7.9° launch angle, which is among the most groundball-inducing angles in MLB.
Utilizing Statcast data, Mike Tauchman is in the 16th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 11.600.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 17th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
Michael A. Taylor is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.
Batting from the same side that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Michael A. Taylor will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.
Michael A. Taylor will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
By putting up a .225 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Michael A. Taylor finds himself in the 20th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 25th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
Michael Busch is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Despite posting a .335 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Michael Busch has been very fortunate given the .039 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .296.
In notching a .235 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Michael Busch grades out in the 8th percentile for hitting ability.
With a 4.21 K/BB rate this year, Michael Busch has shown bad plate discipline, checking in at the 18th percentile.
Connor Joe has hit 24.6% of his balls in the air at least 100 mph since the start of last season, ranking in the 24th percentile.
In terms of his home runs, Andrew McCutchen has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season. His 15.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 13.4.
This year, there has been a decline in Miles Mastrobuoni’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.62 ft/sec last year to 27.72 ft/sec currently.
This year, there has been a decline in Ian Happ’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.75 ft/sec last year to 27.19 ft/sec currently.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Skenes to throw 80 pitches today (2nd-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Paul Skenes in today’s matchup.
Chicago ranks as the #7 group of hitters in baseball when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (15.8% rate since the start of last season).
Seiya Suzuki hits a large number of his balls with a launch angle that is “too high” (above 38°), which generally leads to lazy pop fly outs. His 13.6% “too-high” rate since the start of last season is in the 17th percentile.
Miles Mastrobuoni has put up a .242 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 18th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 22nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
As it relates to plate discipline, Michael A. Taylor’s skill is quite poor, sporting a 5.26 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 5th percentile.
Andrew McCutchen has been cold of late, posting a .281 wOBA over the last two weeks.
Andrew McCutchen has really struggled to hit the ball hard. If you were to take the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (105.7 mph) put him among MLB’s worst: in the 23rd percentile since the start of last season.
Bryan Reynolds hits a lot of balls with a launch angle that is “too high” (above 38°), which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to easy pop-ups. His 14.5% “too-high” rate since the start of last season ranks in the 24th percentile.
Pirates vs Cubs Match Player Stats Friday May 17th Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs Game Predictions, Players odds, Friday lines and Betting Trends
Pirates vs Cubs match player stats Friday, May 17th pre matchup. Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs player predictions
