MLB Player match stats positives for Pittsburgh at St. Louis Tuesday Matchup

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest average fence height in the league.

The weather report expects the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Miles Mikolas.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Alec Burleson is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.

Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Alec Burleson will have the upper hand today.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Paul Goldschmidt will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

It may be smart to expect positive regression for the Pittsburgh Pirates offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 2nd-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke’Bryan Hayes in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Ke’Bryan Hayes is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.

As it relates to his batting average, Ke’Bryan Hayes has experienced some negative variance this year. His .253 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .273.

Masyn Winn has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (81% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In the past two weeks, Masyn Winn has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .339.

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage today.

Nolan Arenado has been hot lately, cracking 3 long-balls over the last two weeks.

Batting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have the upper hand today.

Rowdy Tellez hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Rowdy Tellez has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year’s 23.36 ft/sec to 24.27 ft/sec now (according to Statcast’s Sprint Speed metric).

Rowdy Tellez has been unlucky this year, posting a .248 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .068 gap.

Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The St. Louis Cardinals have been the 7th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games, Paul Skenes will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Andrew McCutchen has put up a .352 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 82nd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

Oneil Cruz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas in today’s matchup.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Nick Gonzales has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .354.

Posting a .427 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, Nick Gonzales has performed in the 75th percentile.

Ivan Herrera’s BABIP talent is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ivan Herrera hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Brendan Donovan will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Matt Carpenter will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Matt Carpenter will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.236) provides evidence that Oneil Cruz has experienced some positive variance this year with his .243 actual batting average.

Masyn Winn has notched a .337 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 78th percentile.

Nolan Gorman projects as the 10th-best home run hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Nolan Gorman will have the upper hand today.

Dylan Carlson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Dylan Carlson has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .278 figure is deflated compared to his .340 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.329) implies that Ke’Bryan Hayes has had some very poor luck this year with his .295 actual wOBA.

Ke’Bryan Hayes’s 92.1-mph average exit velocity ranks among the best in the majors since the start of last season: 93rd percentile.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Ivan Herrera will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In notching a .386 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Ivan Herrera has performed in the 98th percentile for hitting ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Brendan Donovan will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Dylan Carlson grades out in the 82nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (18.6% rate since the start of last season).

Despite posting a .205 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Yasmani Grandal has experienced some negative variance given the .072 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .277.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Joe in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Connor Joe is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.

In the past 14 days, Connor Joe has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .336.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.305) implies that Connor Joe has had positive variance on his side this year with his .336 actual wOBA.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Since the start of last season, Matt Carpenter’s 11.2% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 80th percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Carpenter in the 86th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

When assessing his strikeout talent, Paul Skenes projects as the 8th-best pitcher in the league right now, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Paul Skenes was rolling in his last outing and compiled 8 strikeouts.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Bryan Reynolds has been unlucky this year. His .324 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .437.

Nick Gonzales’s BABIP ability is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The standard deviation of Nick Gonzales’s launch angle since the start of last season (24.2°) is in the 90th percentile. A low deviation like this tends to lead to a higher batting average on balls in play.

Sporting a .314 BABIP since the start of last season, Nick Gonzales is ranked in the 76th percentile.

Nolan Arenado has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .248 BA is significantly inflated relative to his .232 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Alec Burleson will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Oneil Cruz, Nick Gonzales, Michael A. Taylor).

Miles Mikolas has used his slider 5% more often this season (29.3%) than he did last season (24.3%).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rowdy Tellez in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Current MLB player match stat slumps with Pirates vs Cardinals Matchup for Tuesday

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Busch Stadium as the 8th-worst ballpark in baseball for left-handed home runs.

The 2nd-deepest right field dimensions in the league are found in Busch Stadium.

Bryan Reynolds will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Bryan Reynolds hits many of his balls with a launch angle that is “too high” (above 38°), which generally leads to easy outs. His 14.5% “too-high” rate since the start of last season grades out in the 24th percentile.

Busch Stadium projects as the #27 stadium in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Alec Burleson has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will be challenged by the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Alec Burleson is not very athletic, grading out in the 12th percentile in Sprint Speed at 25.44 ft/sec this year.

The #8 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Home runs are generally less common at parks with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest among all major league parks.

Batting from the same side that Paul Skenes throws from, Paul Goldschmidt will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Busch Stadium profiles as the #27 venue in the league for walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among every team on the slate today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals.

Miles Mikolas will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats in all categories.

In his previous start, Miles Mikolas was rolling and allowed 2 ER.

Batting from the same side that Miles Mikolas throws from, Ke’Bryan Hayes will have a tough matchup today.

In today’s game, Ke’Bryan Hayes is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 41.6% rate (98th percentile).

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ke’Bryan Hayes in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 20th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Batting from the same side that Paul Skenes throws from, Masyn Winn meets a tough challenge today.

Masyn Winn has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Despite posting a .339 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Masyn Winn has been lucky given the .046 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .293.

Paul Skenes will have the handedness advantage against Nolan Arenado in today’s matchup.

Nolan Arenado pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.5% — 100th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rowdy Tellez in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Rowdy Tellez is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Rowdy Tellez has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 22% of the time.

Rowdy Tellez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Paul Skenes as the 10th-best SP in MLB right now.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Yasmani Grandal (the Pirates’s expected catcher in today’s game) projects as a good pitch framer.

Out of all SPs, Paul Skenes’s fastball velocity of 98.7 mph grades out in the 100th percentile this year.

Batting from the same side that Miles Mikolas throws from, Andrew McCutchen will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Andrew McCutchen pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Andrew McCutchen will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Using Statcast metrics, Andrew McCutchen grades out in the 22nd percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 13.400.

Oneil Cruz is an extreme groundball hitter and matches up with the strong infield defense of St. Louis (#1-best of the day).

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Oneil Cruz in today’s game.

Nick Gonzales is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Miles Mikolas will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Gonzales today.

Nick Gonzales will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Paul Skenes throws from, Ivan Herrera will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

Ivan Herrera’s 83.1-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to assess power) grades out in the 2nd percentile since the start of last season.

Ivan Herrera has recorded a .137 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, ranking in the 14th percentile.

Brendan Donovan is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Brendan Donovan has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and will be challenged by the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.

Brendan Donovan’s 5.5% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) grades out in the 25th percentile since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Brendan Donovan has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 109.1 mph (a reliable metric to study power), grading out in the 19th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Carpenter in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Matt Carpenter is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Matt Carpenter pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.6% — 98th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Matt Carpenter’s speed has declined this year. His 25.32 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 23.6 ft/sec now.

Oneil Cruz has shown bad plate discipline this year, checking in at the 14th percentile with a 4.37 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yasmani Grandal in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Yasmani Grandal is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Yasmani Grandal will bat from his worse side against Miles Mikolas in this game.

Masyn Winn has posted a .273 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 9th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Since the start of last season, Masyn Winn’s 1.9% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 17th percentile among his peers.

Nolan Gorman pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Nolan Gorman has been lucky this year, putting up a .338 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .322 — a .016 discrepancy.

Dylan Carlson is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Dylan Carlson will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Paul Skenes, Today, Dylan Carlson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.9% rate (84th percentile).

With a .217 wOBA in the last 14 days, Dylan Carlson has been struggling at the plate.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has done a bad job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 7.9° angle is among the lowest in the league since the start of last season (20th percentile).

Ivan Herrera grades out in the 5th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (3.8% rate since the start of last season).

Miles Mikolas has posted a 6.9% Swinging Strike percentage this year, checking in at the 1st percentile.

Checking in at the 13th percentile, Dylan Carlson has posted a .282 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Yasmani Grandal ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the same side that Miles Mikolas throws from, Connor Joe will have a tough challenge today.

Connor Joe will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Nolan Arenado’s BABIP skill is projected in the 4th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ranking in the 9th percentile for Sprint Speed at 25.18 ft/sec this year, Nolan Arenado is very slow.

With a .225 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Nolan Gorman finds himself in the 19th percentile.

Matt Carpenter has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .181 mark is significantly inflated relative to his .155 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Grading out in the 24th percentile, Connor Joe has hit 24.6% of his balls in the air since the start of last season with a velocity of 100 mph or faster.

With a .276 wOBA over the last two weeks, Matt Carpenter has been struggling at the plate.

Ranking in the 20th percentile, Matt Carpenter sits with a .290 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

This year, there has been a decline in Ke’Bryan Hayes’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.11 ft/sec last year to 26.39 ft/sec currently.

This season, there has been a decline in Andrew McCutchen’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.41 ft/sec last year to 26.85 ft/sec currently.

Alec Burleson has really struggled to hit the ball hard. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (105.6 mph) put him among the game’s worst: in the 22nd percentile since the start of last season.

Hitting the ball to all fields is a crucial skill for batting average that Nolan Arenado has struggled with since the start of last season, as evidenced by his placing in the 11th percentile on THE BAT X’s Spray Score.

Alec Burleson is in the 18th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (13.2% rate since the start of last season).

As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Miles Mikolas in the 21st percentile among all starters in the game.

With a .248 wOBA over the last two weeks, Rowdy Tellez has been struggling at the plate.

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Pirates vs Cardinals Match Player Stats Tuesday June 11th Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals Game Predictions, Players odds, Tuesday lines and Betting Trends
Pirates vs Cardinals match player stats Tuesday, June 11th pre matchup. Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals player predictions