MLB Player match stats positives for Pittsburgh at Milwaukee Wednesday Matchup

In the majors, American Family Field has the 4th-lowest average fence height.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

Michael A. Taylor will hold the platoon advantage over Robert Gasser in today’s matchup… and even more favorably, Gasser has a huge platoon split.

Michael A. Taylor hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Michael A. Taylor has had bad variance on his side this year. His .254 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .256.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Batting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Jackson Chourio will have an edge today.

The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense grades out as the weakest among every team on the slate today.

Owen Miller’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Owen Miller is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Owen Miller will have the handedness advantage against Martin Perez today.

Owen Miller hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Blake Perkins is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

The 7th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in American Family Field.

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Blake Perkins will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Martin Perez today.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, William Contreras ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

William Contreras is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, William Contreras will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Bryan Reynolds has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .256 BA is significantly deflated relative to his .319 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Andruw Monasterio will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Andruw Monasterio will hold that advantage today.

Andruw Monasterio is in the 94th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (19.7% rate since the start of last season).

When it comes to his home run talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Willy Adames is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Willy Adames will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Martin Perez today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Given Robert Gasser’s huge platoon split, Jared Triolo will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.279) provides evidence that Jared Triolo has experienced some negative variance this year with his .248 actual wOBA.

The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

Martin Perez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edward Olivares in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Edward Olivares is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.

Edward Olivares will have the handedness advantage against Robert Gasser today… and even better, Gasser has a huge platoon split.

When it comes to his home run talent, Joey Bart ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Joey Bart will have the handedness advantage against Robert Gasser in today’s matchup… and even more favorably, Gasser has a huge platoon split.

Joey Bart and his 17.7° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 83rd percentile, among the highest in the league since the start of last season.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Connor Joe ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Connor Joe is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.

Because of Robert Gasser’s huge platoon split, Connor Joe will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Considering Robert Gasser’s huge platoon split, Andrew McCutchen will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his home runs, Bryan Reynolds has been unlucky this year. His 16.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a good deal lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 37.7.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Because of Robert Gasser’s huge platoon split, Nick Gonzales will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s matchup.

Michael A. Taylor’s 14.3% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) grades out in the 91st percentile since the start of last season.

Andrew McCutchen hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

It may be best to expect stronger performance for the Pittsburgh Pirates offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 5th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.

Due to his huge platoon split, Robert Gasser will have a tough challenge facing 8 bats in the projected batting order who hit from the other side in today’s matchup.

Joey Ortiz has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (96% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Joey Ortiz will hold the platoon advantage over Martin Perez today.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Joey Ortiz will hold that advantage today.

Joey Bart has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last season’s 26.21 ft/sec to 26.78 ft/sec now (according to Statcast’s Sprint Speed metric).

Blake Perkins will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

When assessing his home run ability, Michael A. Taylor ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jared Triolo grades out in the 95th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (52.4% rate since the start of last season).

Joey Ortiz’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.

Oneil Cruz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have 4 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Nick Gonzales, Joey Bart, Michael A. Taylor, Oneil Cruz).

The #9 ballpark in the league for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

In terms of his home runs, Edward Olivares has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His 20.1 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a good deal lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 24.0.

Bryan Reynolds’s 11.2% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) ranks in the 76th percentile since the start of last season.

Jackson Chourio will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (11.3) suggests that Andruw Monasterio has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his 5.4 actual HR/600.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Oneil Cruz ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Extreme groundball batters like Oneil Cruz tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Robert Gasser.

Current MLB player match stat slumps with Pirates vs Brewers Matchup for Wednesday

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 17th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Michael A. Taylor is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.

The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most suitable pitching conditions on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

The Milwaukee Brewers infield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest among every team playing today.

Michael A. Taylor will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.

Jackson Chourio has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

With a .253 wOBA in the last two weeks’ worth of games, Jackson Chourio has been struggling at the plate.

Owen Miller has recorded a .289 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 15th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Owen Miller’s 3.4% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power) grades out in the 10th percentile since the start of last season.

Ranking in the 7th percentile, the hardest ball Owen Miller has connected with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 107.5 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power ability.

With a .283 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Owen Miller has performed in the 14th percentile.

Blake Perkins’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Blake Perkins’s speed has decreased this year. His 30.02 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.95 ft/sec now.

Blake Perkins has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 15.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is inflated compared to his 10.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ranking in the 13th percentile, Blake Perkins has put up a .343 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season.

Despite posting a .412 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes William Contreras has experienced some positive variance given the .069 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .343.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, William Contreras ranks in just the 5th percentile with a 4.6° launch angle, which is among the lowest angles in the league.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Bryan Reynolds will face a mismatch against Robert Gasser and his huge platoon split in today’s game.

Bryan Reynolds has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences today.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bryan Reynolds today.

Andruw Monasterio is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.

Andruw Monasterio has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 7th-deepest RF fences today.

Since the start of last season, Andruw Monasterio’s 5.5% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 25th percentile among his peers.

Grading out in the 4th percentile, the hardest ball Andruw Monasterio has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 106.3 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power skill.

Willy Adames’s 87.4-mph average exit velocity is one of the worst in baseball since the start of last season: 19th percentile.

Sporting a .265 BABIP since the start of last season, Willy Adames is ranked in the 13th percentile.

Jared Triolo is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.

Jared Triolo has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jared Triolo in today’s game.

The underlying talent of the Milwaukee Brewers projected offense today (.310 projected wOBA via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be a fair amount worse than their .328 wOBA this year.

It may be wise to expect worse results for the Milwaukee Brewers offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the luckiest offense in baseball this year.

Martin Perez has relied on his sinker 5.3% less often this year (35.5%) than he did last season (40.8%).

Martin Perez has been one of the unluckiest pitchers in MLB on balls in play this year with a .348 BABIP and should see that luck normalize going forward.

Edward Olivares has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 35% of the time when starting against a left-handed pitcher this year.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Edward Olivares in today’s game.

This year, there has been a decline in Edward Olivares’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.6 ft/sec last year to 27.73 ft/sec currently.

Joey Bart is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Joey Bart in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.244) may lead us to conclude that Joey Bart has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his .277 actual wOBA.

Ranked in the 20th percentile, Joey Bart’s average exit velocity of 86.2 mph ranks among the lowest in baseball since the start of last season.

Connor Joe will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Connor Joe has been lucky this year, putting up a .372 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .054 difference.

Connor Joe has hit 24.6% of his balls in the air 100 mph or faster since the start of last season, ranking in the 24th percentile.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Andrew McCutchen in today’s matchup.

Andrew McCutchen has had some very good luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 15.8 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit higher than his 13.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Andrew McCutchen really struggles to hit the ball hard. If you were to take the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (105.7 mph) rank him among the league’s worst: in the 23rd percentile since the start of last season.

Andrew McCutchen is in the 15th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (12.8% rate since the start of last season).

Bryan Reynolds hits many of his balls with a launch angle that is “too high” (above 38°), which tends to lead to easy pop fly outs. His 14.5% “too-high” rate since the start of last season grades out in the 24th percentile.

When estimating his home run skill, Owen Miller ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Using Statcast data, Owen Miller is in the 9th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 7.700.

Nick Gonzales is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nick Gonzales today.

With a .205 wOBA over the past 7 days, Nick Gonzales has been struggling at the plate.

This year, there has been a decline in Andrew McCutchen’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.41 ft/sec last year to 27 ft/sec currently.

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Robert Gasser will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In his last game started, Robert Gasser turned in a great performance and gave up 0 ER.

The 7.5% Barrel% of the Pittsburgh Pirates grades them out as the #23 offense in the game since the start of last season by this metric.

When it comes to his home run talent, Joey Ortiz ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In today’s matchup, Joey Ortiz is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.3% rate (79th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Joey Ortiz’s true offensive ability to be a .298, implying that he has had some very good luck this year given the .057 difference between that mark and his actual .355 wOBA.

Posting a .267 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Joey Ortiz has performed in the 23rd percentile for offensive skills.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 14th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Grading out in the 23rd percentile, Blake Perkins sports a .295 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

With a 5.2 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Michael A. Taylor has shown poor plate discipline, ranking in the 5th percentile.

When assessing his home run ability, Jared Triolo ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Considering Robert Gasser’s huge platoon split, Oneil Cruz will be at a massive disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in this game.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Oneil Cruz in today’s game.

Oneil Cruz has shown poor plate discipline this year, placing in the 11th percentile with a 4.73 K/BB rate.

When estimating his home run ability, Andruw Monasterio ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Milwaukee’s #3-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Oneil Cruz, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

Edward Olivares’s 87.3-mph average exit velocity ranks among the worst in the game since the start of last season: 18th percentile.

Oneil Cruz’s speed has declined this year. His 28.66 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.17 ft/sec now.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.238) provides evidence that Nick Gonzales has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his .262 actual wOBA.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.200) suggests that Blake Perkins has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .218 actual batting average.

When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Martin Perez in the 11th percentile among all starters in the game.

Among all SPs, Martin Perez’s fastball spin rate of 2031.8 rpm is in the 10th percentile since the start of last season.

Martin Perez has had some very good luck with his strikeouts this year, putting up a 7.20 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 6.69 — a 0.51 K/9 gap.

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Pirates vs Brewers Match Player Stats Wednesday May 15th Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers Game Predictions, Players odds, Wednesday lines and Betting Trends
Pirates vs Brewers match player stats Wednesday, May 15th pre matchup. Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers player predictions