
SD @ ARI






MLB Player match stats positives for San Diego at Arizona Friday Matchup
Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.
Batting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an edge today.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.380) may lead us to conclude that Jake Cronenworth has experienced some negative variance this year with his .338 actual wOBA.
Jake Cronenworth has compiled a .270 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Manny Machado is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Manny Machado has been unlucky this year. His .299 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .316.
By putting up a 29.600 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Manny Machado has performed in the 86th percentile for power.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Campusano in the 82nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
Luis Campusano has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .315 rate is a fair amount higher than his .287 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Using Statcast metrics, Luis Campusano grades out in the 77th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .272.
Luis Campusano ranks in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (19.3% rate since the start of last season).
Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.
Jurickson Profar has been hot lately, notching 2 long-balls over the last week.
Sporting a 1.78 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jurickson Profar has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, placing in the 82nd percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Jake McCarthy has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (78% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.
Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Jake McCarthy will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jake McCarthy will hold that advantage today.
When assessing his home run talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Eugenio Suarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (23.5) provides evidence that Eugenio Suarez has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his 17.6 actual HR/600.
Eugenio Suarez has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 20.4° angle is among the highest in the game since the start of last season (98th percentile).
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Gabriel Moreno will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Xander Bogaerts has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .258 mark is quite a bit lower than his .294 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
When it comes to plate discipline, Xander Bogaerts’s ability is quite impressive, posting a 1.92 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 77th percentile.
Jurickson Profar’s footspeed has increased this year. His 25.68 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.7 ft/sec now.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
Corbin Carroll will hold the platoon advantage over Dylan Cease in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Corbin Carroll will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Corbin Carroll has been unlucky this year, putting up a .250 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .341 — a .091 disparity.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
Hitting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Jackson Merrill will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Jackson Merrill has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .304 rate is a good deal lower than his .409 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Jackson Merrill is very quick, ranking in the 75th percentile in Sprint Speed at 27.91 ft/sec this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dylan Cease in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent.
Compared to average, Dylan Cease has been granted a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, tallying an extra 4.4 adjusted pitches each outing.
The 6.4% Barrel% of the Arizona Diamondbacks grades them out as the #28 offense in MLB since the start of last season by this standard.
Arizona’s 90.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs ranks them as the #29 team in the league since the start of last season by this standard.
When it comes to plate discipline, Ha-seong Kim’s talent is quite strong, posting a 1.57 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 88th percentile.
Gabriel Moreno’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Sporting a .283 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Gabriel Moreno has performed in the 86th percentile.
The standard deviation of Gabriel Moreno’s launch angle since the start of last season (25.6°) is in the 89th percentile. A low figure like this tends to lead to a higher rate of base hits.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Joc Pederson ranks as the 20th-best hitter in the league.
Joc Pederson is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Joc Pederson will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Joc Pederson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Christian Walker will hold that advantage in today’s game.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Christian Walker has suffered from bad luck this year. His .361 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .379.
Blaze Alexander’s BABIP ability is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Blaze Alexander will hold that advantage today.
Over the last two weeks, Blaze Alexander has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .409.
Ranking in the 85th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.4 ft/sec this year, Blaze Alexander is quite toolsy.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 7th-best hitter in the game.
Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.377) implies that Fernando Tatis Jr. has had some very poor luck this year with his .331 actual wOBA.
Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded a .287 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Ranking in the 96th percentile, the hardest ball Fernando Tatis Jr. has connected with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 116.7 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power ability.
Ha-seong Kim has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .305 rate is a fair amount lower than his .341 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ketel Marte ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Ketel Marte is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.
Ketel Marte will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.
Ketel Marte has been hot in recent games, hitting his way to a .374 wOBA in the last 14 days.
Batting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Tyler Wade will have an advantage in today’s game.
Tyler Wade has posted a .282 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Ranking in the 86th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.5 ft/sec this year, Tyler Wade is notably athletic.
Slade Cecconi will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his metrics in all categories.
The San Diego Padres have done a bad job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their highest exit velocity balls. Their 11.5° mark is among the lowest in MLB since the start of last season (#25 overall).
Over the past 7 days, Jurickson Profar has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .393.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .326 figure is deflated compared to his .402 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Ketel Marte has been very fortunate this year. His .374 rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .328.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
Luis Campusano has notched a .349 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 87th percentile.
By putting up a .466 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, Luis Campusano is ranked in the 80th percentile.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Eugenio Suarez has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .281 rate is a good deal lower than his .283 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Very few of Ha-seong Kim’s contacted balls have a “too-high” (above 38°) launch angle, which helps him to avoid hitting into easy pop fly outs. His 20.9% “too-high” rate since the start of last season ranks in the 75th percentile.
Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Ketel Marte has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 117.1 mph (a reliable standard to assess power), ranking in the 97th percentile.
In the last 14 days, Christian Walker has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .361.
Checking in at the 88th percentile, the hardest ball Manny Machado has connected with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.5 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power skill.
Current MLB player match stat slumps with Padres vs D-Backs Matchup for Friday
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 20th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
In today’s matchup, Jake Cronenworth is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38% rate (78th percentile).
Jake Cronenworth will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
Jake Cronenworth’s quickness has fallen off this season. His 28.28 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.05 ft/sec now.
Jake Cronenworth’s 89.3-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to assess power) ranks in the 11th percentile since the start of last season.
Hitting from the same side that Slade Cecconi throws from, Manny Machado encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Luis Campusano is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game.
Batting from the same side that Slade Cecconi throws from, Luis Campusano will not have the upper hand today.
Luis Campusano will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Luis Campusano is not very toolsy, ranking in the 13th percentile in Sprint Speed at 25.32 ft/sec this year.
When starting against a righty hurler this year, Jurickson Profar has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 22% of the time.
The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Slade Cecconi, Jurickson Profar pulls many of his flyballs (37.6% — 95th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jurickson Profar today.
Jurickson Profar has been lucky this year, putting up a .393 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .309 — a .084 difference.
This year, Jake McCarthy has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 11% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.
The San Diego Padres infield defense profiles as the 5th-best among all the teams in action today.
This season, there has been a decline in Jake McCarthy’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 29.96 ft/sec last year to 28.92 ft/sec currently.
Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Jake McCarthy has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 108.5 mph (a reliable stat to study power), ranking in the 12th percentile.
Jake McCarthy’s 7.1° launch angle (a reliable standard to evaluate a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most groundball-inducing in the league: 12th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 9th percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Posting a 1.000 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jake McCarthy has performed in the 1st percentile for power.
Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.
Dylan Cease will hold the platoon advantage against Eugenio Suarez in today’s game.
Sporting a .224 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Eugenio Suarez has performed in the 18th percentile.
When estimating his home run skill, Gabriel Moreno ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Gabriel Moreno is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.
Dylan Cease will hold the platoon advantage over Gabriel Moreno in today’s matchup.
Gabriel Moreno hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 100th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Using Statcast metrics, Gabriel Moreno is in the 11th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 8.900.
Batting from the same side that Slade Cecconi throws from, Xander Bogaerts faces a tough challenge in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Xander Bogaerts today.
This year, there has been a decline in Xander Bogaerts’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.65 ft/sec last year to 27.14 ft/sec currently.
In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Xander Bogaerts ranks in just the 17th percentile with a 8.4° launch angle, which is among the most groundball-inducing angles in baseball.
A high launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a lower batting average on balls in play, and Xander Bogaerts’s 29.7° mark (15th percentile) since the start of last season indicates a weak hitting profile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jurickson Profar in the 15th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
Corbin Carroll has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (77% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.
Corbin Carroll hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 78th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.
Corbin Carroll has been cold lately, struggling to the tune of a .250 wOBA over the last two weeks.
This season, there has been a decline in Corbin Carroll’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 30.05 ft/sec last year to 29.05 ft/sec currently.
A high launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a lower rate of base hits, and Corbin Carroll’s 29.8° mark (14th percentile) since the start of last season indicates a weak hitting profile.
Jackson Merrill is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game.
In today’s game, Jackson Merrill is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40.2% rate (98th percentile).
Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jackson Merrill today.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Luis Campusano (the Padres’s expected catcher in today’s game) projects as a horrible pitch framer.
Dylan Cease will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Ha-seong Kim has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (56% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.
Slade Cecconi will hold the platoon advantage against Ha-seong Kim today.
In today’s game, Ha-seong Kim is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.6% rate (88th percentile).
Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ha-seong Kim today.
Ha-seong Kim’s footspeed has decreased this year. His 28.48 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.99 ft/sec now.
Manny Machado’s speed has dropped off this season. His 26.25 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.61 ft/sec now.
Manny Machado ranks in the 14th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (38.5% rate since the start of last season).
Joc Pederson pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 82nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Joc Pederson has been lucky this year, posting a .407 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .354 — a .053 gap.
Joc Pederson has been very bad at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial skill for batting average), placing in the 7th percentile in THE BAT X’s Spray Score since the start of last season.
Hitting from the same side that Dylan Cease throws from, Christian Walker will not have the upper hand today.
Launch angles in the range of -4° to 26° tend to become base hits at a high rate; Christian Walker and his 35.7% since the start of last season rank in the 4th percentile by this measure.
The standard deviation of Christian Walker’s launch angle since the start of last season (30.1°) is in the 11th percentile. A high mark like this tends to lead to a lower rate of base hits.
Blaze Alexander is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game.
Batting from the same side that Dylan Cease throws from, Blaze Alexander will have a tough matchup today.
In today’s game, Blaze Alexander is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.7% rate (83rd percentile).
Hitting from the same side that Slade Cecconi throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Dylan Cease in this game.
Ketel Marte pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 79th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Ketel Marte has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 22.9 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is considerably higher than his 18.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Ketel Marte and his 12.1% rank in the 10th percentile since the start of last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Wade in the 4th percentile when assessing his home run skill.
Tyler Wade is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game.
Tyler Wade has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 37% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.
Tyler Wade will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Tyler Wade has performed at a clip of 0.0 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 0th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Slade Cecconi is projected to throw 83 pitches in today’s outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least on the slate today.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Gabriel Moreno (the D-Backs’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) grades out as a weak pitch framer.
San Diego’s 92.5-mph exit velocity on flyballs ranks them as the #6 group of hitters in MLB since the start of last season by this standard.
Dylan Cease will hold the platoon advantage over Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in today’s game.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to measure power) has been 109.4 mph since the start of last season, grading out in the 23rd percentile.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. hits a lot of balls with a launch angle that is “too high” (above 38°), which tends to lead to easy pop-ups. His 14.5% “too-high” rate since the start of last season grades out in the 24th percentile.
This year, there has been a decline in Ketel Marte’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.52 ft/sec last year to 26.68 ft/sec currently.
Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup today is the San Diego Padres with a 19.6% underlying K%.
Gabriel Moreno’s 4° launch angle (an advanced metric to study a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most groundball-inducing in the league: 4th percentile.
Xander Bogaerts has been cold lately, putting up a .258 wOBA over the last two weeks.
Placing in the 15th percentile, Xander Bogaerts has posted a .102 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Wade in the 5th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Since the start of last season, Tyler Wade’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to evaluate power) grades out in the 22nd percentile at 89.2 mph.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (11.0) provides evidence that Ha-seong Kim has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his 16.5 actual HR/600.
Padres vs D-Backs Match Player Stats Friday May 3rd San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks Game Predictions, Players odds, Friday lines and Betting Trends
Padres vs D-Backs match player stats Friday, May 3rd pre matchup. San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks player predictions
