MLB Player match stats positives for Baltimore at St. Louis Tuesday Matchup

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Jordan Westburg has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (62% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Among all major league parks, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Jordan Westburg has been hot recently, cruising to a .373 wOBA in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.

Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Bradish throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Colton Cowser will hold the platoon advantage against Lance Lynn in today’s matchup… and even more favorably, Lynn has a large platoon split.

Colton Cowser has been hot recently, batting his way to a .366 wOBA in the past two weeks.

In terms of plate discipline, Colton Cowser’s skill is quite impressive, sporting a 1.85 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 84th percentile.

When it comes to his batting average, Jorge Mateo has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .225 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .268.

Jorge Mateo can really hit the cover off the ball. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.2 mph) rank him as one of the league’s best: in the 75th percentile since the start of last season.

Jorge Mateo is quite toolsy, placing in the 99th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.97 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins II in the 76th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Cedric Mullins II will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lance Lynn in today’s matchup… and even better, Lynn has a large platoon split.

Cedric Mullins II’s 21.7° launch angle (an advanced stat to assess a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in MLB: 99th percentile.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Ivan Herrera will hold that advantage today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (20.0) implies that Ivan Herrera has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his 12.0 actual HR/600.

Utilizing Statcast data, Ivan Herrera is in the 97th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .386.

Jordan Westburg has posted a .286 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Ryan O’Hearn ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ryan O’Hearn is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.

Ryan O’Hearn will have the handedness advantage over Lance Lynn in today’s game… and the cherry on top, Lynn has a large platoon split.

Colton Cowser’s BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitters such as Nolan Arenado with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Kyle Bradish who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Nolan Arenado will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Alec Burleson’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Alec Burleson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Kyle Bradish throws from, Alec Burleson will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Despite posting a .250 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Cedric Mullins II has experienced some negative variance given the .059 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .309.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Adley Rutschman has been hot recently, cracking 4 home runs over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Ivan Herrera’s speed has gotten better this season. His 26.72 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.47 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Brendan Donovan is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Kyle Bradish throws from, Brendan Donovan will have the upper hand today.

Brendan Donovan will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Anthony Santander is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Cracking 3 home runs over the past 14 days, Anthony Santander has been on fire in recent games.

Anthony Santander has paced 28.9 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 86th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Anthony Santander’s 90.6-mph average exit velocity ranks among the elite in MLB since the start of last season: 76th percentile.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Anthony Santander ranks in the 95th percentile with a 20.1° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in MLB.

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 17th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Gunnar Henderson will have the handedness advantage against Lance Lynn in today’s matchup… and even more favorably, Lynn has a large platoon split.

In the past two weeks, Adley Rutschman has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .359.

Adley Rutschman is in the 92nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (48% rate since the start of last season).

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Paul Goldschmidt has had bad variance on his side this year. His .269 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .323.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Ryan O’Hearn hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Alec Burleson will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The St. Louis Cardinals have been the 6th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better the rest of the season, Given that flyball pitchers struggle the most against groundball hitters, Kyle Bradish (48.5% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 GB hitters in St. Louis’s projected offense.

Kyle Bradish will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Kyle Bradish in the 77th percentile among all starting pitchers in the game.

The Baltimore Orioles have 6 bats in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage over Lance Lynn today, which is especially problematic given his large platoon split.

Baltimore’s 89.4-mph average exit velocity since the start of last season ranks among the best in baseball: #5 overall.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.281) provides evidence that Nolan Arenado has experienced some positive variance this year with his .312 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

As it relates to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Lance Lynn in the 81st percentile among all starters in the league.

Tallying 92 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Lance Lynn places him the 77th percentile.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Lance Lynn will hold that advantage today.

Over his previous 3 GS, Lance Lynn has experienced a big rise in his fastball spin rate: from 2460 rpm over the whole season to 2516 rpm recently.

In the last 14 days, Gunnar Henderson has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .385.

Current MLB player match stat slumps with Orioles vs Cardinals Matchup for Tuesday

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Busch Stadium as the 2nd-worst park in the majors for run-scoring.

Lance Lynn will have the handedness advantage against Jordan Westburg in today’s game… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Lynn’s large platoon split.

Jordan Westburg pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 78th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.

The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams today.

Jordan Westburg will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Busch Stadium as the 9th-worst field in MLB for left-handed home runs.

Lars Nootbaar’s 7.2° launch angle (a reliable metric to assess a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most groundball-inducing in the league: 13th percentile.

The #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

This year, there has been a decline in Lars Nootbaar’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.81 ft/sec last year to 27.08 ft/sec currently.

Colton Cowser is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.

This year, Colton Cowser has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 11% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

Colton Cowser has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Colton Cowser will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Jorge Mateo is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Long-balls are generally less common at parks with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest in the league.

Lance Lynn will hold the platoon advantage over Jorge Mateo today… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Lynn’s large platoon split.

Cedric Mullins II is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.

Cedric Mullins II pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

Cedric Mullins II will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Cedric Mullins II has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 21.1 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit higher than his 17.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Busch Stadium as the 9th-worst park in Major League Baseball for RHB home runs.

Kyle Bradish will hold the platoon advantage against Ivan Herrera today.

Since the start of last season, Ivan Herrera’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to measure power) ranks in the 2nd percentile at 83.1 mph.

Busch Stadium profiles as the #21 ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Ryan O’Hearn has been pulled from the game early 24% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ryan O’Hearn in today’s game.

Despite posting a .366 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ryan O’Hearn has been lucky given the .031 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .335.

Ryan O’Hearn ranks in the 25th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (13.8% rate since the start of last season).

Nolan Arenado’s BABIP ability is projected in the 5th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the same side that Kyle Bradish throws from, Nolan Arenado will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

In today’s matchup, Nolan Arenado is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 43.3% rate (100th percentile).

Nolan Arenado has been very bad at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial talent for batting average), placing in the 11th percentile in THE BAT X’s Spray Score since the start of last season.

Alec Burleson has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 17% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

Alec Burleson has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will be challenged by the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.

Placing in the 18th percentile for Sprint Speed at 25.83 ft/sec this year, Alec Burleson is not very fast.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins II in the 9th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

In the league, Busch Stadium’s right field dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Adley Rutschman will face a mismatch against Lance Lynn and his large platoon split in today’s matchup.

Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Brendan Donovan has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Brendan Donovan’s 5.5% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) grades out in the 25th percentile since the start of last season.

Ranking in the 19th percentile, the hardest ball Brendan Donovan has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 109.1 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power ability.

Brendan Donovan has put up a .252 BABIP this year, grading out in the 21st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 3rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Anthony Santander will be at a big disadvantage against Lance Lynn and his large platoon split today.

Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Gunnar Henderson has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will be challenged by the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gunnar Henderson in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Gunnar Henderson’s true offensive ability to be a .355, implying that he has been very fortunate this year given the .030 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .385 wOBA.

Batting from the same side that Kyle Bradish throws from, Paul Goldschmidt has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Paul Goldschmidt has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

Paul Goldschmidt has compiled a .268 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile.

Ryan O’Hearn’s speed has decreased this season. His 27.75 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.22 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alec Burleson’s true offensive ability to be a .311, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .030 deviation between that mark and his actual .341 wOBA.

Alec Burleson has really struggled to hit the ball hard. If you were to take the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (105.6 mph) rate him as one of MLB’s worst: in the 22nd percentile since the start of last season.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jorge Mateo today.

Sporting a .128 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Paul Goldschmidt has performed in the 15th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Kyle Bradish’s overall pitching ability grades out in the 90th percentile out of all starting pitchers in baseball right now.

Mike Estabrook profiles as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Adley Rutschman (the Orioles’s expected catcher today) profiles as a good pitch framer.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Busch Stadium as the worst park in baseball for walks.

Despite posting a .373 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jordan Westburg has had positive variance on his side given the .052 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .321.

Throwing 80.1 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Kyle Bradish checks in at the 13th percentile.

Busch Stadium projects as the #27 venue in the majors for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

It may be sensible to expect negative regression for the Baltimore Orioles offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 2nd-luckiest offense in the game this year.

Brendan Donovan hits a lot of balls with a launch angle that is “too high” (above 38°), which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to easy pop-up outs. His 13% “too-high” rate since the start of last season grades out in the 15th percentile.

Checking in at the 24th percentile for power, Nolan Arenado has averaged 8.5 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.

Anthony Santander will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

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Orioles vs Cardinals Match Player Stats Tuesday May 21st Baltimore Orioles at St. Louis Cardinals Game Predictions, Players odds, Tuesday lines and Betting Trends
Orioles vs Cardinals match player stats Tuesday, May 21st pre matchup. Baltimore Orioles at St. Louis Cardinals player predictions