
BAL @ TOR






MLB Player match stats positives for Baltimore at Toronto Monday Matchup
In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre’s CF fences are the shallowest.
The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense grades out as the 14th-best among all the teams playing today.
As it relates to his batting average, Jorge Mateo has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .224 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .268.
Jorge Mateo has really hit the cover off the baseball. If you were to take the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.2 mph) rank him as one of baseball’s best: in the 75th percentile since the start of last season.
Jorge Mateo is notably athletic, ranking in the 100th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.96 ft/sec this year.
The Baltimore Orioles projected offense profiles as the 3rd-strongest of the day in terms of overall hitting skill.
Kevin Gausman’s high usage rate of his fastball (53.7% this year) is likely dampening his results, since they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
Baltimore Orioles bats as a group rank among the best in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (5th-) in regard to their 89.4-mph average exit velocity.
Among every team today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 13.7 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a fair amount higher than his 12.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Grayson Rodriguez in the 91st percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.
Projected catcher Adley Rutschman profiles as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The #2 stadium in baseball for boosting strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.
Grayson Rodriguez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against 6 opposing bats in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
Posting a .286 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jordan Westburg grades out in the 91st percentile.
Since the start of last season, Jordan Westburg has an average exit velocity of 90.2 mph, which ranks among the best in Major League Baseball at the 77th percentile.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. projects as the 11th-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
Ryan Mountcastle is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Ryan Mountcastle has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 17.2 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is quite a bit higher than his 11.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The 4th-best projected lineup on the slate in terms of overall batting ability is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
Ryan O’Hearn is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.
Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Ryan O’Hearn will have the upper hand today.
Ryan O’Hearn hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.
Adley Rutschman has been hot of late, putting up a .343 wOBA in the last week.
Colton Cowser will have the handedness advantage against Kevin Gausman today.
Colton Cowser has compiled a .318 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, placing in the 82nd percentile.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jordan Westburg ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
In the last week, Jordan Westburg has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .366.
Posting a .345 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jordan Westburg is ranked in the 86th percentile for offensive skills.
Gunnar Henderson projects as the 17th-best batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.
Gunnar Henderson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs this year; his 12.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a good deal lower than his 25.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Adley Rutschman has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 26.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is inflated compared to his 20.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Anthony Santander is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.
Anthony Santander has averaged 28.9 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 86th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Since the start of last season, Anthony Santander has an average exit velocity of 90.6 mph, which ranks among the elite in the majors at the 76th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Gausman to throw 98 pitches in today’s matchup (3rd-most of all pitchers on the slate today), taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Bo Bichette ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Bo Bichette is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.
Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Bo Bichette will hold that advantage today.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (16.6) may lead us to conclude that Bo Bichette has been unlucky this year with his 10.7 actual HR/600.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 7th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when assessing his batting average skill.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ryan Mountcastle ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Ryan Mountcastle has been hot of late, putting up a .340 wOBA over the last 7 days.
Ryan Mountcastle has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .287 mark is significantly inflated relative to his .251 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
When assessing his home run talent, Anthony Santander ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ryan O’Hearn ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Ryan O’Hearn’s 91.9-mph average exit velocity ranks among the best in Major League Baseball since the start of last season: 91st percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
Anthony Santander’s 20.1° launch angle (an advanced standard to measure a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in the game: 95th percentile.
Gunnar Henderson has been hot of late, hitting 5 dingers in the last two weeks.
As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Kevin Gausman in the 93rd percentile among all SPs in the game.
The Baltimore Orioles (24% K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 5th-most strikeout-prone batting order of all teams on the slate today.
Current MLB player match stat slumps with Orioles vs Blue Jays Matchup for Monday
Jorge Mateo is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game.
The #4 field in the game for suppressing batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.
According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the best for pitching of all games today.
Kevin Gausman will have the handedness advantage over Jorge Mateo in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jorge Mateo today.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Kevin Gausman’s overall pitching talent grades out in the 85th percentile out of all SPs in the league right now.
The Baltimore Orioles have been the 5th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse the rest of the season, Rogers Centre projects as the #24 venue in the majors for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Among all major league parks, the 8th-highest fences are at Rogers Centre.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.
Rogers Centre profiles as the #27 venue in baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The Toronto Blue Jays (21.9 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 5th-least strikeout-prone group of hitters of all teams today.
Grayson Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Grayson Rodriguez’s 95.6-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a substantial 1.2-mph decrease from last year’s 96.8-mph figure.
Grayson Rodriguez has gone to his slider 5.8% less often this year (8.3%) than he did last season (14.1%).
Given the 0.88 gap between Grayson Rodriguez’s 10.76 K/9 and his 9.89 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in MLB this year as it relates to strikeouts and should perform worse in the future.
Jordan Westburg is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game.
Batting from the same side that Kevin Gausman throws from, Jordan Westburg will have a tough matchup today.
Hitting from the same side that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is in the 6th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (11.5% rate since the start of last season).
Kevin Gausman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Mountcastle in today’s matchup.
Ryan Mountcastle will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Grayson Rodriguez in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent.
Jordan Westburg will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
This year, Ryan O’Hearn has been pulled from the game early in 20% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.
Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ryan O’Hearn today.
The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Kevin Gausman, Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Colton Cowser is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.
This year, Colton Cowser has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 12% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.
Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Colton Cowser today.
The #4 stadium in the majors for suppressing batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.
Gunnar Henderson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
Gunnar Henderson has been lucky this year, posting a .392 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .356 — a .036 discrepancy.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 3rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will bat from his weak side (0) today against Kevin Gausman, Batting from the same side that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Bo Bichette encounters a tough challenge today.
Bo Bichette’s 6.4° launch angle (an advanced stat to assess a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the lowest in Major League Baseball: 10th percentile.
In terms of power, Bo Bichette has performed in the 23rd percentile, having averaged 9.2 homers per 600 plate appearances this year.
When it comes to plate discipline, Ryan Mountcastle’s skill is quite poor, posting a 3.76 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 21st percentile.
Batting from the same side that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Isiah Kiner-Falefa encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.
Anthony Santander will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Ryan O’Hearn ranks in the 25th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (13.8% rate since the start of last season).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s true offensive skill to be a .286, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .026 difference between that figure and his actual .312 wOBA.
Orioles vs Blue Jays Match Player Stats Monday June 3rd Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays Game Predictions, Players odds, Monday lines and Betting Trends
Orioles vs Blue Jays match player stats Monday, June 3rd pre matchup. Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays player predictions
