
NYM @ CLE






MLB Player match stats positives for New York at Cleveland Wednesday Matchup
Progressive Field grades out as the #8 field in MLB for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense.
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 81°.
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.
Hitting from the opposite that Triston McKenzie throws from, Omar Narvaez will have an advantage today.
Josh Naylor’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Josh Naylor is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.
The #7 stadium in MLB for boosting BABIP to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.
Johnathan Rodriguez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.
Progressive Field has the 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball.
Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Johnathan Rodriguez will have the upper hand today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.
Progressive Field ranks as the #8 field in baseball for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.
When it comes to his home run ability, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
J.D. Martinez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as baseball’s 12th-best home run hitter.
Pete Alonso is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johnathan Rodriguez in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
David Fry is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.
Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, David Fry will have an advantage in today’s game.
Will Brennan will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
In terms of his home runs, Omar Narvaez has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His 5.9 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been deflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 19.9.
Jeff McNeil will hold the platoon advantage over Triston McKenzie in today’s game.
Gabriel Arias will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today’s game.
Gabriel Arias has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 6th-shallowest RF fences today.
Brayan Rocchio is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
The #7 venue in the game for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Josh Naylor ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Josh Naylor will hold that advantage today.
Tyler Freeman will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana today.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Tyler Freeman will hold that advantage in today’s game.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Bo Naylor (the Guardians’s expected catcher today) profiles as a good pitch framer.
Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats in all categories, and Triston McKenzie will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
The New York Mets have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in the future, Starling Marte has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Bats such as Starling Marte with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Triston McKenzie who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
With a 1.28 K/BB rate this year, Jeff McNeil has shown good plate discipline, checking in at the 92nd percentile.
The Cleveland Guardians have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Johnathan Rodriguez, Bo Naylor, Gabriel Arias).
Considering the 1.04 discrepancy between Jose Quintana’s 6.17 K/9 and his 7.21 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the game this year when it comes to strikeouts and figures to see positive regression going forward.
The switch-hitting Brayan Rocchio will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Jose Quintana.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 20th-best batter in the majors.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
Current MLB player match stat slumps with Mets vs Guardians Matchup for Wednesday
Omar Narvaez’s BABIP talent is projected in the 7th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Omar Narvaez is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.
27% of the time that Omar Narvaez has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.
In the majors, the 4th-tallest fences are at Progressive Field.
Omar Narvaez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 7th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Progressive Field has the 7th-deepest centerfield fences among all parks.
Batting from the same side that Jose Quintana throws from, Josh Naylor will have a tough matchup in today’s game.
Josh Naylor’s quickness has dropped off this year. His 25.8 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.77 ft/sec now.
Josh Naylor has put up a .230 BABIP this year, checking in at the 11th percentile.
The Cleveland Guardians infield defense grades out as the strongest among all the teams on the slate today.
Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brandon Nimmo in today’s matchup.
Brandon Nimmo’s quickness has dropped off this year. His 28 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.47 ft/sec now.
Brandon Nimmo and his 8.2° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 23rd percentile, among the lowest in the league since the start of last season.
It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Emil Jimenez) in charge of the strike zone in today’s game.
Jose Quintana has a reverse platoon split and is fortunate enough to be facing 6 opposite-handed bats today.
In his last start, Jose Quintana performed well and gave up 2 ER.
Considering the 0.66 difference between Jose Quintana’s 5.21 ERA and his 4.55 estimated true talent ERA (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the game this year and should see positive regression the rest of the season.
Hitting from the same side that Triston McKenzie throws from, J.D. Martinez encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.
J.D. Martinez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
As it relates to his home runs, J.D. Martinez has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His 37.4 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 34.0.
The switch-hitting Jose Ramirez will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Jose Quintana, Hitting the ball to all fields is a key skill for batting average that Jose Ramirez has struggled with since the start of last season, as evidenced by his placing in the 4th percentile on THE BAT X’s Spray Score.
By putting up a .231 BABIP this year, Jose Ramirez has performed in the 12th percentile.
Starling Marte is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
Hitting from the same side that Triston McKenzie throws from, Starling Marte has a tough challenge today.
Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Starling Marte in today’s game.
As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Triston McKenzie today.
Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Francisco Lindor today.
Francisco Lindor’s footspeed has fallen off this year. His 28.16 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.5 ft/sec now.
Batting from the same side that Triston McKenzie throws from, Pete Alonso meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Pete Alonso in today’s game.
Pete Alonso ranks in the 8th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (37.7% rate since the start of last season).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates David Fry’s true offensive skill to be a .312, implying that he has had some very good luck this year given the .114 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .426 wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 5th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
Will Brennan has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (54% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Jose Quintana will have the handedness advantage against Will Brennan in today’s matchup.
Will Brennan hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 7th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Omar Narvaez ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 3rd percentile when assessing his home run ability.
Jeff McNeil is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today’s game.
Jeff McNeil hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 7th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Gabriel Arias is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.
This year, Gabriel Arias has been pinch hit for in 19% of his appearances when starting against southpaw.
Gabriel Arias has compiled a .288 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 14th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Gabriel Arias ranks in just the 8th percentile with a 3.6° launch angle, which is one of the lowest angles in MLB.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brayan Rocchio in the 6th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
Brayan Rocchio’s quickness has dropped off this season. His 27.43 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.75 ft/sec now.
With a .259 wOBA in the past 7 days, Brayan Rocchio has been struggling at the plate.
Brayan Rocchio has posted a .221 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 7th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 15th percentile when assessing his home run ability.
Tyler Freeman is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.
Since the start of last season, Tyler Freeman’s 3.1% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 22nd percentile among his peers.
Tyler Freeman’s 86.3-mph average exit velocity is among the worst in the majors since the start of last season: 21st percentile.
With a .271 wOBA in the last week’s worth of games, Francisco Lindor has been struggling at the plate.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston McKenzie to throw 82 pitches today (3rd-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Triston McKenzie’s 90.4-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 9th percentile among all starting pitchers.
Checking in at the 22nd percentile, Jose Ramirez has hit 24.4% of his balls in the air since the start of last season with a velocity of 100+ mph.
In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Tyler Freeman ranks in just the 13th percentile with a 5.9° launch angle, which is one of the most groundball-inducing angles in the majors.
Checking in at the 25th percentile, Tyler Freeman has notched a .216 batting average this year.
Gabriel Arias’s footspeed has dropped off this season. His 28.06 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.42 ft/sec now.
Extreme groundball hitters like Omar Narvaez generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Triston McKenzie.
This season, there has been a decline in David Fry’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.07 ft/sec last year to 26.19 ft/sec currently.
As it relates to his home run skill, Starling Marte ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Since the start of last season, Will Brennan’s 2.4% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 4th percentile among his peers.
Will Brennan’s 85.7-mph average exit velocity is one of the worst in MLB since the start of last season: 5th percentile.
Jeff McNeil will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
This season, there has been a decline in Jeff McNeil’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.34 ft/sec last year to 25.52 ft/sec currently.
Brayan Rocchio has compiled a .206 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Brayan Rocchio has notched a .256 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 17th percentile.
Francisco Lindor has recorded a .200 BABIP this year, grading out in the 3rd percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jose Quintana in the 25th percentile as it relates to his strikeout skill.
Jose Quintana will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
With a .000 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Brayan Rocchio is ranked in the 0th percentile for power.
Starling Marte’s quickness has decreased this year. His 27.13 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.09 ft/sec now.
Posting a .230 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Pete Alonso has performed in the 25th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates J.D. Martinez’s true offensive skill to be a .329, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .026 disparity between that figure and his actual .355 wOBA.
Mets vs Guardians Match Player Stats Wednesday May 22nd New York Mets at Cleveland Guardians Game Predictions, Players odds, Wednesday lines and Betting Trends
Mets vs Guardians match player stats Wednesday, May 22nd pre matchup. New York Mets at Cleveland Guardians player predictions
