
MIA @ SD





MLB Player match stats positives for Miami at San Diego Tuesday Matchup
Jackson Merrill’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Out of every team playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins.
Jackson Merrill will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.406) implies that Jackson Merrill has had bad variance on his side this year with his .296 actual wOBA.
Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.
Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences in MLB.
Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.
The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Jesus Luzardo.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 75th percentile when assessing his home run skill.
Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.
The #4 park in the league for boosting home runs to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gordon in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
Nick Gordon will hold the platoon advantage against Matt Waldron in today’s matchup.
Nick Gordon hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Josh Bell is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.
Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Josh Bell has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 114 mph (a reliable metric to evaluate power), checking in at the 83rd percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 8th-best batter in Major League Baseball.
Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the game for RHB home runs.
Batting from the opposite that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have an advantage in today’s game.
As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Jesus Luzardo in the 92nd percentile among all starters in the league.
Tallying 95.3 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Jesus Luzardo places him the 89th percentile.
Paul Clemons projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be calling pitches today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 6th-best park in the league for strikeouts.
Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage over Matt Waldron today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jesus Sanchez’s true offensive ability to be a .315, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .046 deviation between that figure and his actual .269 wOBA.
Jesus Sanchez has recorded a .343 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 77th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
As it relates to his home run talent, Jake Burger ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jake Burger is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.
It may be wise to expect stronger performance for the Miami Marlins offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 2nd-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.
Luis Campusano, the Padres’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, profiles as a horrible pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The #4 ballpark in MLB for boosting home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Manny Machado is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.
Batting from the opposite that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Manny Machado will have an edge in today’s game.
Donovan Solano’s BABIP talent is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the opposite that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Donovan Solano will have an edge today.
Donovan Solano hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Donovan Solano will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Jake Cronenworth will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.
Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Jurickson Profar will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Ha-seong Kim will have the handedness advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today’s matchup.
Ha-seong Kim hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Ha-seong Kim will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Campusano in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.
Batting from the opposite that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Luis Campusano will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Luis Campusano hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Luis Campusano will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tim Anderson as the 3rd-best batter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Despite posting a .210 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tim Anderson has had some very poor luck given the .080 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .290.
Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jake Burger’s true offensive skill to be a .330, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .090 deviation between that figure and his actual .240 wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Bryan De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.287) may lead us to conclude that Bryan De La Cruz has experienced some positive variance this year with his .320 actual wOBA.
The standard deviation of Bryan De La Cruz’s launch angle since the start of last season (25.9°) is in the 86th percentile. A low figure like this tends to lead to a higher rate of base hits.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the best batter in the majors as it relates to his batting average skill.
Luis Arraez is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.
Jackson Merrill has been unlucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 9.6 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is quite a bit lower than his 36.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Hitting from the opposite that Matt Waldron throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an edge today.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.259) implies that Ha-seong Kim has suffered from bad luck this year with his .216 actual batting average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Since the start of last season, Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s 13% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 88th percentile among his peers.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Luis Arraez will hold that advantage today.
The Miami Marlins have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Christian Bethancourt, Jazz Chisholm Jr., Jake Burger).
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Jesus Luzardo’s overall pitching talent is in the 86th percentile among all starters in MLB right now.
It may be wise to expect worse numbers for the San Diego Padres offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 10th-luckiest offense in the majors this year.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jake Burger ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
With a .378 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jake Burger has performed in the 95th percentile for hitting ability.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Bryan De La Cruz ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Current MLB player match stat slumps with Marlins vs Padres Matchup for Tuesday
Jackson Merrill is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.
Petco Park ranks as the #28 field in the game for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which generally leads to less offense.
This contest is projected to have the 5th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Jesus Luzardo will hold the platoon advantage against Jackson Merrill in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jurickson Profar in the 17th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Petco Park grades out as the #28 park in baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jurickson Profar’s true offensive skill to be a .312, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .077 difference between that mark and his actual .389 wOBA.
Using Statcast data, Jurickson Profar ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .194.
Jesus Sanchez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jesus Sanchez ranks in just the 6th percentile with a 5.1° launch angle, which is one of the lowest angles in the league.
Jesus Sanchez has compiled a .267 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 22nd percentile.
Jesus Sanchez has put up a .100 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, grading out in the 7th percentile.
Nick Gordon is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.
When starting against a righty hurler this year, Nick Gordon has been pinch hit for 15% of the time.
Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres.
San Diego’s #2-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Josh Bell, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
Hitting from the same side that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have a disadvantage today.
Jake Cronenworth’s speed has dropped off this season. His 28.28 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.21 ft/sec now.
Since the start of last season, Jake Cronenworth’s 4.6% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 16th percentile among his peers.
Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Josh Bell in today’s game.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the least strikeout-heavy lineup in today’s games is the San Diego Padres with a 17.3% underlying K%.
The San Diego Padres have 6 batters in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today’s game.
Jesus Luzardo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Jesus Luzardo’s 94.9-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a significant 1.2-mph fall off from last year’s 96.1-mph figure.
Matt Waldron will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Burger in today’s matchup.
Jake Burger will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
With a .240 wOBA in the last two weeks, Jake Burger has been struggling at the plate.
Posting a 4.55 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jake Burger has displayed weak plate discipline, ranking in the 10th percentile.
Matt Waldron will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his metrics across the board.
In his last start, Matt Waldron was rolling and gave up 2 ER.
This year, there has been a decline in Manny Machado’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.25 ft/sec last year to 25.79 ft/sec currently.
Manny Machado is in the 14th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (38.5% rate since the start of last season).
Donovan Solano is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.
When starting against a left-handed pitcher since the start of last season, Donovan Solano has been pulled from the game early 44% of the time.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ha-seong Kim in the 25th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
Ha-seong Kim is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Ha-seong Kim’s 4.7% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) is in the 17th percentile since the start of last season.
Ranked in the 8th percentile, Ha-seong Kim’s average exit velocity of 86.3 mph ranks among the lowest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season.
Josh Bell’s 8.6° launch angle (a reliable stat to assess a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the lowest in the league: 18th percentile.
Luis Campusano is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.
This year, there has been a decline in Luis Campusano’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 25.75 ft/sec last year to 25.07 ft/sec currently.
Tim Anderson is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today’s game.
Hitting from the same side that Matt Waldron throws from, Tim Anderson will have a tough challenge in today’s game.
Jake Cronenworth’s 89.3-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to study power) grades out in the 11th percentile since the start of last season.
Matt Waldron will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan De La Cruz today.
Batting from the same side that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Luis Arraez will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Luis Arraez’s 3.5% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) is in the 10th percentile since the start of last season.
Placing in the 1st percentile, the hardest ball Luis Arraez has connected with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 104 mph — an advanced indication of underlying power ability.
Sporting a .126 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Jackson Merrill grades out in the 13th percentile.
This season, there has been a decline in Josh Bell’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 25.92 ft/sec last year to 24.63 ft/sec currently.
When it comes to his home run ability, Donovan Solano ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jazz Chisholm Jr. has put up a .222 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nick Gordon in today’s matchup.
Out of all starting pitchers, Matt Waldron’s fastball velocity of 90.4 mph grades out in the 13th percentile this year.
Among all starting pitchers, Matt Waldron’s fastball spin rate of 2078 rpm grades out in the 12th percentile this year.
Matt Waldron has been very fortunate when it comes to his strikeouts this year, posting a 9.36 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.88 — a 1.48 K/9 deviation.
Ranking in the 22nd percentile, Matt Waldron posted an 8.7% Swinging Strike percentage this year.
By putting up a .283 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Jurickson Profar grades out in the 20th percentile for offensive skills.
Since the start of last season, Jurickson Profar’s 3.9% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 13th percentile among his peers.
Since the start of last season, Jurickson Profar’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to evaluate power) is in the 3rd percentile at 86.8 mph.
In his last game started, Jesus Luzardo was firing on all cylinders and gave up 0 ER.
When estimating his home run talent, Luis Arraez ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tim Anderson in the 4th percentile when assessing his home run ability.
Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bryan De La Cruz today.
Bryan De La Cruz hits a large number of his balls with a launch angle that is “too high” (above 38°), which tends to lead to lazy pop-up outs. His 13.8% “too-high” rate since the start of last season ranks in the 20th percentile.
Marlins vs Padres Match Player Stats Tuesday May 28th Miami Marlins at San Diego Padres Game Predictions, Players odds, Tuesday lines and Betting Trends
Marlins vs Padres match player stats Tuesday, May 28th pre matchup. Miami Marlins at San Diego Padres player predictions
