
SEA @ MIN






MLB Player match stats positives for Seattle at Minnesota Monday Matchup
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Moore in the 87th percentile when estimating his home run talent.
Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate.
Dylan Moore has big-time power (87th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (29.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Simeon Woods Richard has a pitch-to-contact profile (15th percentile K%) — great news for Moore.
Among all the teams playing today, the 13th-worst infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.
When assessing his home run ability, Mitch Garver ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Mitch Garver has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season’s 25.58 ft/sec to 26.12 ft/sec now (according to Statcast’s Sprint Speed metric).
Josh Rojas is penciled in 1st in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
Hitting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Josh Rojas will have an advantage today.
The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 12th-weakest out of every team today.
Willi Castro will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Placing in the 89th percentile, Willi Castro has put up a .338 BABIP since the start of last season.
Mitch Haniger is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Mitch Haniger’s 11.3% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) grades out in the 81st percentile since the start of last season.
Ty France has had some very poor luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 10.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is significantly deflated relative to his 17.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 87th percentile when estimating his home run talent.
Trevor Larnach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo today.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 91st percentile when assessing his home run ability.
Hitting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Luke Raley will have an edge in today’s game.
Luke Raley has big-time HR ability (91st percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (30.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Simeon Woods Richard struggles to strike batters out (10th percentile K%) — great news for Raley.
Max Kepler is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.
Max Kepler will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Castillo in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
When assessing his BABIP talent, Edouard Julien is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Edouard Julien is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.
Hitting from the opposite that Luis Castillo throws from, Edouard Julien will have the upper hand today.
Dylan Moore has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 22.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a fair amount lower than his 39.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Very few of Willi Castro’s struck balls have a “too-high” (above 38°) launch angle, which helps him to avoid making lazy pop fly outs. His 20.9% “too-high” rate since the start of last season is in the 75th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
In terms of his batting average, Ty France has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .251 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .266.
Hitting 2 homers over the last 7 days, Jorge Polanco has been on fire of late.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (31.9) may lead us to conclude that Jorge Polanco has been unlucky since the start of last season with his 23.8 actual HR/600.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Austin Martin will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Kirilloff in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Alex Kirilloff is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.
Alex Kirilloff will have the handedness advantage against Luis Castillo today.
Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Carlos Santana will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Notching 4 homers in the past two weeks, Carlos Santana has been on fire recently.
When it comes to plate discipline, Carlos Santana’s skill is quite impressive, putting up a 1.76 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 83rd percentile.
In notching a .345 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Dylan Moore grades out in the 86th percentile for offensive skills.
Dylan Moore’s 98-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to assess power) ranks in the 96th percentile since the start of last season.
The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team today.
Austin Martin is very toolsy, ranking in the 77th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.01 ft/sec this year.
When it comes to his home run ability, Mitch Haniger ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (22.2) suggests that Mitch Haniger has been unlucky since the start of last season with his 17.0 actual HR/600.
Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.
Minnesota’s 3rd-worst outfield defense on the slate creates a favorable matchup for Cal Raleigh, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as MLB’s 17th-best home run hitter.
Cal Raleigh has a ton of pop (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (28% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Simeon Woods Richard is a pitch-to-contact type (22nd percentile K%) — great news for Raleigh.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Carlos Correa ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Carlos Correa is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.
Since the start of last season, Luke Raley’s 13.2% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 89th percentile among his peers.
When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Luis Castillo in the 91st percentile among all starting pitchers in MLB.
Luis Castillo has been given a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing 5.7 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average starting pitcher.
The Minnesota Twins have 4 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Willi Castro, Trevor Larnach, Ryan Jeffers, Edouard Julien).
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Cal Raleigh (the Mariners’s expected catcher today) is considered to be an elite pitch framer.
Target Field profiles as the #8 park in the majors for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Mitch Garver has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .259 mark is a good deal lower than his .284 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 3rd-best batter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP skill.
Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.
Posting a 33.400 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Cal Raleigh is ranked in the 94th percentile for power.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Carlos Correa will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The #7 park in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Christian Vazquez (the Twins’s expected catcher today) projects as a good pitch framer.
Home field advantage generally improves pitcher stats across the board, and Simeon Woods Richardson will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Mitch Garver’s 12.4% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) is in the 84th percentile since the start of last season.
Seattle Mariners bats as a group grade out 3rd- in MLB for power since the start of last season when judging by their 9.7% Barrel%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
When assessing his home run ability, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Trevor Larnach’s BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The Seattle Mariners have 5 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Mitch Garver, Luke Raley, Dylan Moore, Mitch Haniger, Cal Raleigh).
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Ryan Jeffers will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Julio Rodriguez projects as the 17th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Julio Rodriguez has been unlucky this year, compiling a .283 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .353 — a .070 difference.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Kirilloff in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Trevor Larnach will hold that advantage in today’s game.
In the past two weeks, Josh Rojas has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .411.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.339) may lead us to conclude that Carlos Correa has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .310 actual wOBA.
Current MLB player match stat slumps with Mariners vs Twins Matchup for Monday
Dylan Moore is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.
26% of the time that Dylan Moore has started against a northpaw since the start of last season, he has been pulled from the game early.
The #5 field in the majors for suppressing offensive stats to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.
Target Field has the 5th-highest average fence height among all major league stadiums.
The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 12.3-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.
Mitch Garver is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.
Simeon Woods Richard will have the handedness advantage against Mitch Garver in today’s game.
This year, Josh Rojas has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 19% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.
Josh Rojas has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Josh Rojas will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
Josh Rojas has been lucky this year, putting up a .411 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .298 — a .113 gap.
Willi Castro is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.
The #5 ballpark in MLB for suppressing offensive stats to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.
The 10th-deepest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Target Field.
Hitting from the same side that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Mitch Haniger will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Mitch Haniger today.
This year, there has been a decline in Mitch Haniger’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.65 ft/sec last year to 25.69 ft/sec currently.
Ty France is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.
The #9 park in the league for suppressing home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.
Jorge Polanco will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Trevor Larnach has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 38% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.
Luis Castillo will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Jeffers in today’s game.
In today’s game, Ryan Jeffers is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.6% rate (84th percentile).
Ryan Jeffers has been lucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .280 mark is a fair amount higher than his .240 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Luke Raley is projected to hit 8th in the lineup today.
This year, Luke Raley has been pinch hit for in 22% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.
Max Kepler’s BABIP talent is projected in the 13th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
This year, Edouard Julien has been pinch hit for in 22% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.
Edouard Julien has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 11th-deepest LF fences today.
The #9 park in the majors for suppressing home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.
Hitting from the same side that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Ty France meets a tough challenge today.
Ty France will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Martin in the 19th percentile when assessing his home run skill.
Austin Martin is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today.
Luis Castillo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Martin in today’s matchup.
This year, Alex Kirilloff has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 22% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.
Alex Kirilloff has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and will be challenged by the game’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Santana in the 0th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Carlos Santana is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.
Dylan Moore’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Simeon Woods Richard will have the handedness advantage against Dylan Moore in today’s game.
Cal Raleigh’s BABIP skill is projected in the 6th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Cal Raleigh in today’s game.
With a .225 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Cal Raleigh has performed in the 19th percentile.
Hitting from the same side that Luis Castillo throws from, Carlos Correa will be in a tough position today.
When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Carlos Correa and his 11.8% rank in the 8th percentile since the start of last season.
As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Carlos Santana will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Luis Castillo in today’s matchup.
Luke Raley hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Luke Raley will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
With 6 bats of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Luis Castillo meets a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.
Luis Castillo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Luis Castillo’s 94.6-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a big 1-mph drop off from last year’s 95.6-mph figure.
Mitch Garver’s BABIP ability is projected in the 15th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Today, Mitch Garver is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 42.1% rate (99th percentile).
Simeon Woods Richard will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Julio Rodriguez in today’s matchup.
Julio Rodriguez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 78th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Luis Castillo’s overall pitching ability grades out in the 93rd percentile out of all SPs in MLB right now.
It may be smart to expect worse numbers for the Minnesota Twins offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 4th-luckiest offense in the majors this year.
Simeon Woods Richardson is expected to throw 84 pitches in today’s game, which is the 15th-highest number of pitches for all pitchers on the slate today. This estimate is based on his inherent tendencies and the nature of the matchup.
It may be sensible to expect stronger performance for the Seattle Mariners offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 10th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.
When estimating his home run ability, Josh Rojas ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Trevor Larnach hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 78th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.221) may lead us to conclude that Trevor Larnach has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .244 actual batting average.
Max Kepler’s speed has dropped off this year. His 27.37 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.85 ft/sec now.
Julio Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Julio Rodriguez and his 11.7% rank in the 7th percentile since the start of last season.
When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Simeon Woods Richardson in the 23rd percentile among all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball.
In his last game started, Simeon Woods Richardson didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking batters out and only managed to tally 2 Ks.
Alex Kirilloff’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to measure power) has been 108.7 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 14th percentile.
As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Willi Castro will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Luis Castillo in today’s matchup.
Willi Castro’s footspeed has declined this year. His 28.59 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.87 ft/sec now.
Austin Martin pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 80th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Edouard Julien’s maximum exit velocity (an advanced metric to assess power) has been 108.9 mph since the start of last season, placing in the 17th percentile.
Mariners vs Twins Match Player Stats Monday May 6th Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins Game Predictions, Players odds, Monday lines and Betting Trends
Mariners vs Twins match player stats Monday, May 6th pre matchup. Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins player predictions
