
SEA @ CLE





MLB Player match stats positives for Seattle at Cleveland Thursday Matchup
The #6 stadium in the league for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.
Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°.
Batting from the opposite that Luis Castillo throws from, Will Brennan will have an advantage today.
The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Will Brennan can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
The 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Progressive Field.
Batting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Tyler Locklear will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Tyler Locklear has been hot of late, notching a a 13.3% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power) in the last 14 days.
In the past two weeks, Tyler Locklear has averaged an impressive 100-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced measure of home run potential.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
J.P. Crawford is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Dylan Moore ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 8th-best venue in the league for right-handed BABIP.
Hitting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Dylan Moore will have an advantage in today’s game.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Julio Rodriguez ranks as the 20th-best hitter in the game.
Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.
Hitting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Julio Rodriguez will have an edge today.
Daniel Schneemann will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today’s matchup.
Daniel Schneemann is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.
Out of all the teams in action today, the 13th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.
Progressive Field ranks as the #8 park in MLB for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as baseball’s 19th-best home run batter.
Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.
Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, David Fry ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
David Fry is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.
Bo Naylor will have the handedness advantage over Luis Castillo in today’s matchup.
The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bo Naylor stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Bo Naylor will hold that advantage in today’s game.
In the last 7 days, Bo Naylor’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.6% up to 12.5%.
When estimating his home run talent, Dylan Moore ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
When it comes to his BABIP talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Victor Robles will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Victor Robles pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.9% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
Josh Naylor is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.
Batting from the opposite that Luis Castillo throws from, Josh Naylor will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Dylan Moore pulls many of his flyballs (38.5% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Mitch Haniger is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.
Mitch Haniger will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Allen in today’s game.
J.P. Crawford has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.2-mph to 91.4-mph in the past 14 days.
Hitting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Ryan Bliss will have an edge in today’s game.
Progressive Field profiles as the #10 venue in the game for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
With 8 batters who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Logan Allen will be in a tough position while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.
Logan Allen’s 90.5-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 12th percentile out of all SPs.
The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Josh Naylor can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Haniger in the 81st percentile when assessing his home run talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Locklear in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (8.6) provides evidence that Victor Robles has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his 0.0 actual HR/600.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.
As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Jose Ramirez will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Luis Castillo in today’s game.
David Fry pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.
Andres Gimenez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Luis Castillo’s overall pitching skill is in the 87th percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball right now.
Luis Castillo has been given a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, recording 6.4 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average pitcher.
The Cleveland Guardians have been the luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse the rest of the season, Projected catcher Cal Raleigh projects as an elite pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Daniel Schneemann will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Over the last 14 days, Daniel Schneemann has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .481.
Andres Gimenez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo today.
The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Andres Gimenez has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Andres Gimenez will hold that advantage today.
Steven Kwan is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.
Steven Kwan will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
Will Brennan’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Steven Kwan has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
The Seattle Mariners have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Tyler Locklear, Dylan Moore, Cal Raleigh).
Logan Allen’s cutter utilization has risen by 7.6% from last year to this one (8.7% to 16.3%) .
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Luis Castillo in the 81st percentile when assessing his strikeout talent.
In his previous game started, Luis Castillo performed well and put up 7 strikeouts.
Will Brennan will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Current MLB player match stat slumps with Mariners vs Guardians Matchup for Thursday
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 9th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
Will Brennan is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
When starting against a northpaw this year, Will Brennan has been pulled from the game early 21% of the time.
Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest fence height (on average) in the league.
Today, Will Brennan is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.2% rate (95th percentile).
Tyler Locklear is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today’s game.
Progressive Field ranks as the #21 venue in the game for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Tyler Locklear will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Logan Allen will hold the platoon advantage against J.P. Crawford today.
J.P. Crawford hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-deepest CF fences today.
The Cleveland Guardians infield defense projects as the strongest out of all the teams on the slate today.
Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for J.P. Crawford today.
Dylan Moore is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
Dylan Moore will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Over the last 7 days, Dylan Moore’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.7% down to 0%.
Compared to his seasonal angle of 23.1°, Dylan Moore has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-10°) in the last 14 days.
Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Julio Rodriguez in today’s matchup.
Julio Rodriguez has notched a .139 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, checking in at the 14th percentile.
When it comes to plate discipline, Julio Rodriguez’s ability is quite bad, putting up a 4.08 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 16th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daniel Schneemann in the 18th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
Daniel Schneemann is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.
19% of the time that Daniel Schneemann has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.
The 7th-deepest centerfield fences in the league are found in Progressive Field.
In the past 14 days, Daniel Schneemann has been exhibiting poor exit velocity numbers, with an average of only 86.1-mph on his flyballs.
Cal Raleigh will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Cal Raleigh has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.2-mph dropping to 86.4-mph in the last week.
In the past two weeks, Cal Raleigh’s 6.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.1%.
Luis Castillo will have the handedness advantage over David Fry today.
Over the past 7 days, David Fry’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8% down to 0%.
Over the past week, David Fry’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal mark of 92.7 mph to 83.6 mph.
David Fry’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (1.5° over the last two weeks) is significantly worse than his 12.5° seasonal figure.
Bo Naylor is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Progressive Field profiles as the #21 stadium in the game for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Bo Naylor has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph dropping to 82.3-mph in the past week.
Julio Rodriguez’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased in recent games, decreasing from 41% on the season to 35.3% in the last 7 days.
Victor Robles is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today.
Victor Robles will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
Power-wise, Victor Robles grades out in the 0th percentile, having paced 0 HRs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.
Josh Naylor has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph dropping to 85.4-mph over the past week.
Josh Naylor’s launch angle lately (0.2° over the past two weeks) is considerably worse than his 11.2° seasonal angle.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (26.7) provides evidence that Josh Naylor has been very fortunate this year with his 36.4 actual HR/600.
Mitch Haniger hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 7th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Mitch Haniger will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
In the past week, Mitch Haniger’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 91.9 mph to 86.4 mph.
Mitch Haniger’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased recently, decreasing from 39% on the season to 29.6% in the last two weeks.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ryan Bliss ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Ryan Bliss is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.
Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ryan Bliss in today’s game.
John Tumpane profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be umping in today’s game.
Bo Naylor, the Guardians’s expected catcher in today’s game, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and Logan Allen will hold that advantage today.
Cal Raleigh is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Cleveland (#2-best on the slate).
Victor Robles ranks in the 23rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (12.8% rate since the start of last season).
Jose Ramirez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 8.7% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.
Over the past week, Jose Ramirez’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.5%.
Jose Ramirez’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 44.3% to 34.1%.
When it comes to his home runs, Jose Ramirez has experienced some positive variance this year. His 37.1 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 29.4.
Jose Ramirez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 90.3-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 87-mph in the last 14 days.
Andres Gimenez has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.5-mph dropping to 83.1-mph over the last two weeks.
Compared to his seasonal angle of 8.2°, Andres Gimenez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.7°) over the past two weeks.
Last season, Andres Gimenez had a launch angle of 10.5° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 6.4°.
Andres Gimenez has posted a .283 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 25th percentile.
The Cleveland Guardians have 7 bats in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage against Luis Castillo in today’s game.
Bo Naylor’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 23rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 0th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
Despite posting a .434 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Steven Kwan has experienced some positive variance given the .125 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .309.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates David Fry’s true offensive ability to be a .320, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .097 gap between that mark and his actual .417 wOBA.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.328) provides evidence that Jose Ramirez has experienced some positive variance this year with his .360 actual wOBA.
Will Brennan’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 87.4-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 85-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Placing in the 16th percentile, Will Brennan has put up a .249 BABIP this year.
Steven Kwan’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, going from 16.6% on the season to 4.5% in the past week.
Logan Allen’s 2115-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 11th percentile out of all starters.
With a .211 BABIP this year, Josh Naylor finds himself in the 3rd percentile.
J.P. Crawford has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 7.7% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last week.
Utilizing Statcast data, Bo Naylor ranks in the 0th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .233.
Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the least strikeout-prone lineup today is the Cleveland Guardians with a 17.6% underlying K%.
Luis Castillo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
Tallying 14.9 outs per start this year on average, Logan Allen falls in the 21st percentile.
With a .230 wOBA over the last 14 days, Ryan Bliss has been struggling at the plate.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 10th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
Mariners vs Guardians Match Player Stats Thursday June 20th Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Guardians Game Predictions, Players odds, Thursday lines and Betting Trends
Mariners vs Guardians match player stats Thursday, June 20th pre matchup. Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Guardians player predictions
