MLB Player match stats positives for Seattle at Houston Sunday Matchup

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Haniger in the 87th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Mitch Haniger is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.

Minute Maid Park has the shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums.

The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.

The Houston Astros infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among all the teams on the slate today.

Josh Rojas has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (70% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.

Josh Rojas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Brown in today’s matchup.

The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Josh Rojas stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Josh Rojas has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 87th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Jorge Polanco is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Extreme groundball bats like Jorge Polanco generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Brown.

Bashing 2 long-balls over the last 7 days, Jorge Polanco has been on fire lately.

Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Luke Raley will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Luke Raley has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Houston Astros only has 1 same-handed RP.

Luke Raley’s 13.2% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) grades out in the 89th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Yainer Diaz will hold that advantage today.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.300) may lead us to conclude that Yainer Diaz has been very fortunate this year with his .326 actual wOBA.

When it comes to his home run skill, Mitch Garver ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mitch Garver pulls many of his flyballs (42.1% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme flyball bats like Mitch Garver are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Brown.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Jeremy Pena has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 13th-best batter in baseball.

Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest in MLB.

Batting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Kyle Tucker will have an advantage in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats across the board, and Hunter Brown will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

With a 1.19 deviation between Hunter Brown’s 5.69 ERA and his 4.51 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in baseball since the start of last season and ought to see better results going forward.

Hunter Brown has been one of the unluckiest mound aces in MLB on balls in play this year with a .448 BABIP and should see that luck normalize going forward.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jose Altuve ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jose Altuve is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.

Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.9% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

Jose Altuve will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Yordan Alvarez projects as the best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have an edge today.

When it comes to his home run skill, Dylan Moore ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Dylan Moore pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball hitters like Dylan Moore tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Brown.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Joey Loperfido will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Joey Loperfido will hold that advantage in today’s game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Julio Rodriguez ranks as the 18th-best hitter in the game.

Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Julio Rodriguez’s true offensive skill to be a .353, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .071 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .282 wOBA.

With a .360 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Julio Rodriguez grades out in the 90th percentile for offensive skills.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

When it comes to his home runs, Ty France has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His 10.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been significantly deflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 17.1.

As it relates to his home run skill, Luke Raley ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

By putting up a 26.300 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Luke Raley finds himself in the 78th percentile for power.

Mitch Garver has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .247 figure is considerably lower than his .289 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Cal Raleigh is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Extreme groundball bats like Cal Raleigh generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Brown.

Cal Raleigh’s 12.6% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) grades out in the 85th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Alex Bregman is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Alex Bregman will hold that advantage in today’s game.

When estimating his BABIP ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Yainer Diaz ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Yainer Diaz’s 11.9% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) grades out in the 80th percentile since the start of last season.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jeremy Pena ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jeremy Pena will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as baseball’s 18th-best home run batter.

Cal Raleigh has performed at a clip of 33.4 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 94th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.266) provides evidence that Ty France has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .250 actual batting average.

Jon Singleton will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Miller in today’s game.

Jon Singleton will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Bashing 2 home runs in the past week’s worth of games, Jon Singleton has been on fire lately.

When it comes to plate discipline, Jon Singleton’s ability is quite good, posting a 1.85 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 84th percentile.

Dylan Moore has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 22.5 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a fair amount lower than his 39.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Alex Bregman has been unlucky this year, posting a .251 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .342 — a .091 gap.

Since the start of last season, Mitch Haniger’s 11.3% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 81st percentile among his peers.

Mitch Garver has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season’s 25.58 ft/sec to 26.12 ft/sec now (according to Statcast’s Sprint Speed metric).

In terms of his home runs, Mitch Haniger has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His 17.2 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a good deal lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 22.2.

The Houston Astros have been the 8th-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse the rest of the season, Projected catcher Cal Raleigh projects as an elite pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Bryce Miller performed well in his previous start and gave up 1 ER.

Bryce Miller’s four-seamer percentage has decreased by 13.9% from last year to this one (58.5% to 44.6%) .

Posting a .345 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Dylan Moore is ranked in the 85th percentile for offensive skills.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Yordan Alvarez will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the 10th-best park in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.

In his previous game started, Bryce Miller was firing on all cylinders and posted 10 strikeouts.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Hunter Brown in the 81st percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.

The Seattle Mariners have 5 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Luke Raley, Dylan Moore, Mitch Garver, Mitch Haniger, Cal Raleigh).

Current MLB player match stat slumps with Mariners vs Astros Matchup for Sunday

Minute Maid Park has the 3rd-highest fences in the league.

Hunter Brown will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Haniger today.

Mitch Haniger will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

This season, there has been a decline in Mitch Haniger’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.65 ft/sec last year to 25.69 ft/sec currently.

Grading out in the 9th percentile, Mitch Haniger sports a .278 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

When it comes to his home run ability, Josh Rojas ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

This year, Josh Rojas has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 19% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which generally leads to worse offense.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Josh Rojas today.

In today’s matchup, Jorge Polanco is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 40.1% rate (98th percentile).

Jorge Polanco will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Luke Raley is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.

Luke Raley hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 8th-deepest CF fences today.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luke Raley in today’s game.

When it comes to his batting average, Luke Raley has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His .246 rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .217.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Josh Rojas’s true offensive talent to be a .298, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .113 difference between that mark and his actual .411 wOBA.

Josh Rojas has notched a .284 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 12th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Yainer Diaz is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Hitting from the same side that Bryce Miller throws from, Yainer Diaz encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

Today, Yainer Diaz is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.7% rate (83rd percentile).

Mitch Garver is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.

Batting from the same side that Hunter Brown throws from, Mitch Garver will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Mitch Garver in today’s matchup.

Bryce Miller will have the handedness advantage over Jeremy Pena in today’s matchup.

Despite posting a .360 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jeremy Pena has experienced some positive variance given the .044 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .316.

Jeremy Pena has performed at a clip of 8.1 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 9th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jeremy Pena’s 4% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) ranks in the 14th percentile since the start of last season.

Hitting the ball to all fields is a core skill for batting average that Kyle Tucker has struggled with since the start of last season, as evidenced by his grading out in the 15th percentile on THE BAT X’s Spray Score.

Recording 11.5 outs per start this year on average, Hunter Brown falls in the 1st percentile.

The Seattle Mariners have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season, It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Junior Valentine) calling pitches in today’s game.

Yainer Diaz, the Astros’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Bryce Miller will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Altuve in today’s matchup.

Jose Altuve has been lucky this year, putting up a .421 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .347 — a .074 difference.

Jose Altuve’s 86-mph average exit velocity ranks among the worst in the league since the start of last season: 7th percentile.

Yordan Alvarez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

This year, there has been a decline in Yordan Alvarez’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 25.86 ft/sec last year to 24.63 ft/sec currently.

Dylan Moore is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Hunter Brown throws from, Dylan Moore will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Dylan Moore in today’s game.

Posting a 5.08 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Yainer Diaz has displayed weak plate discipline, grading out in the 6th percentile.

Joey Loperfido is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

Joey Loperfido hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Hunter Brown will hold the platoon advantage against Julio Rodriguez in today’s matchup.

Julio Rodriguez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 78th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Julio Rodriguez today.

Ty France is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.

Hunter Brown will have the handedness advantage against Ty France today.

Ty France will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Since the start of last season, Ty France’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to study power) ranks in the 19th percentile at 90.2 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 8th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.5% — 96th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 9th-deepest RF fences today.

Cal Raleigh will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Utilizing Statcast data, Cal Raleigh is in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .225.

Bryce Miller will have the handedness advantage against Alex Bregman in today’s matchup.

Alex Bregman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Alex Bregman’s 5.3% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) is in the 23rd percentile since the start of last season.

Julio Rodriguez grades out in the 7th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (11.7% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jon Singleton in the 23rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Jon Singleton is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.

25% of the time that Jon Singleton has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 14th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Mitch Haniger has displayed weak plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 17th percentile with a 4.02 K/BB rate.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Bryce Miller is projected to throw 84 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 6th-least of all pitchers today.

The 2nd-best projected offense of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill belongs to the Houston Astros.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jon Singleton in the 1st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

In today’s game, Jon Singleton is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.7% rate (85th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Moore in the 14th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Since the start of last season, Jeremy Pena’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to study power) is in the 24th percentile at 90.5 mph.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 5th-least strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Houston Astros with a 20% underlying K%.

Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bryce Miller in today’s game.

Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Alex Bregman has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 107.5 mph (a reliable metric to study power), ranking in the 7th percentile.

Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Hunter Brown (49.5% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 4 GB hitters in Seattle’s projected lineup.

Hunter Brown’s slider rate has dropped by 17.1% from last season to this one (25.1% to 8%) .

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Mariners vs Astros Match Player Stats Sunday May 5th Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros Game Predictions, Players odds, Sunday lines and Betting Trends
Mariners vs Astros match player stats Sunday, May 5th pre matchup. Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros player predictions