
CLE @ BOS






MLB Player match stats positives for Cleveland at Boston Monday Matchup
Rafael Devers projects as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
Fenway Park projects as the #2 stadium in the league for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.6-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.
Hitting from the opposite that Xzavion Curry throws from, Rafael Devers will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Will Brennan will have an advantage today.
Will Brennan hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.
In terms of his batting average, Will Brennan has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .262 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .297.
Hitting from the opposite that Xzavion Curry throws from, David Hamilton will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
David Hamilton is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians has just 1 same-handed RP.
David Hamilton has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
The #5 venue in the game for boosting home runs to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.
Ceddanne Rafaela has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.
Ceddanne Rafaela will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
Andres Gimenez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.
In the league, Fenway Park’s right field dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest.
Tyler Freeman’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Tyler Freeman is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for RHB batting average.
Tyler Freeman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Triston Casas is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.
Batting from the opposite that Xzavion Curry throws from, Triston Casas will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
Jarren Duran is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.
Hitting from the opposite that Xzavion Curry throws from, Jarren Duran will have the upper hand in today’s game.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Josh Naylor ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Josh Naylor is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 5th-best park in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs.
Enmanuel Valdez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Xzavion Curry today.
Enmanuel Valdez will probably have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians only has 1 same-handed RP.
Enmanuel Valdez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
The #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.
Among all stadiums, Fenway Park’s left field fences are the shallowest.
The Cleveland Guardians have 8 bats in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage over Kutter Crawford in this game.
Kutter Crawford has compiled a .260 BABIP since the start of last season, a sign that he has been one of the luckiest mound aces in baseball on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.
Brayan Rocchio pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for lefty batting average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kutter Crawford in the 84th percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.
Kutter Crawford will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats across the board.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O’Neill in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Tyler O’Neill is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
Bo Naylor will have the handedness advantage against Kutter Crawford today.
Bo Naylor’s 21.4° launch angle (an advanced metric to evaluate a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in Major League Baseball: 94th percentile.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Masataka Yoshida ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.
Batting from the opposite that Xzavion Curry throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have an advantage in today’s game.
Batting from the opposite that Xzavion Curry throws from, Reese McGuire will have an advantage in today’s game.
The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Reese McGuire can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Reese McGuire hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Jarren Duran will probably have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians only has 1 same-handed RP.
Among every team in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.
As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Jose Ramirez will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Kutter Crawford in today’s game.
When estimating his home run talent, Bo Naylor ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Steven Kwan is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.
Hitting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Steven Kwan will have an advantage today.
Steven Kwan has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
When estimating his home run ability, Tyler O’Neill ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Will Brennan has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .279 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .309.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.345) provides evidence that Tyler Freeman has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .276 actual wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
Current MLB player match stat slumps with Guardians vs Red Sox Matchup for Monday
In the league, the 2nd-highest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.
Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which generally leads to worse offense.
This game is projected to have the 5th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
The Cleveland Guardians infield defense projects as the strongest out of all the teams in action today.
Rafael Devers grades out in the 14th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (38.5% rate since the start of last season).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 3rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.
Will Brennan is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.
37% of the time that Will Brennan has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Hamilton in the 6th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
David Hamilton is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.
20% of the time that David Hamilton has started against a right-handed pitcher since the start of last season, he has been pinch hit for.
When estimating his home run skill, Ceddanne Rafaela ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ceddanne Rafaela is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Andres Gimenez in today’s matchup.
Andres Gimenez’s quickness has dropped off this season. His 29.24 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.43 ft/sec now.
Andres Gimenez’s 84.8-mph average exit velocity is one of the worst in Major League Baseball since the start of last season: 1st percentile.
Kutter Crawford will have the handedness advantage over Tyler Freeman in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Tyler Freeman in today’s game.
Since the start of last season, Tyler Freeman’s 3.1% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 22nd percentile among his peers.
Triston Casas’s footspeed has fallen off this year. His 24.86 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 23.76 ft/sec now.
Jarren Duran’s speed has declined this year. His 29.5 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.37 ft/sec now.
Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Josh Naylor in today’s matchup.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.331) suggests that Josh Naylor has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .365 actual wOBA.
Enmanuel Valdez’s BABIP skill is projected in the 14th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Enmanuel Valdez is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.
When starting against a righty hurler this year, Enmanuel Valdez has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 39% of the time.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Kutter Crawford in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall pitching abilities.
It may be sensible to expect weaker performance for the Cleveland Guardians offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 7th-luckiest offense in MLB this year.
Projected catcher Reese McGuire profiles as a good pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
When assessing his home run ability, Brayan Rocchio ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Brayan Rocchio is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Kutter Crawford is projected to throw 81 pitches in today’s matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 5th-least on the slate today.
Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the least strikeout-prone lineup today is the Cleveland Guardians with a 17.9% underlying K%.
Fenway Park profiles as the #28 park in the game for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Josh Naylor’s speed has dropped off this season. His 25.8 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 24.69 ft/sec now.
Josh Naylor has been lucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .311 rate is inflated compared to his .273 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Batting from the same side that Xzavion Curry throws from, Tyler O’Neill will have a disadvantage in today’s game.
This year, there has been a decline in Tyler O’Neill’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.51 ft/sec last year to 27.34 ft/sec currently.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Xzavion Curry in the 7th percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Xzavion Curry to be on a bit of a short leash in today’s game, projecting a maximum of 79 pitches.
Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Xzavion Curry in today’s matchup.
Xzavion Curry will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ceddanne Rafaela in today’s matchup.
Bo Naylor’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Bo Naylor is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.
Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bo Naylor in today’s game.
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Masataka Yoshida has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season. His .335 mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .312.
In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Masataka Yoshida ranks in just the 4th percentile with a 4° launch angle, which is among the most groundball-inducing angles in MLB.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Enmanuel Valdez in the 25th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Reese McGuire in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Reese McGuire is projected to hit 8th in the batting order today.
17% of the time that Reese McGuire has started against a righty hurler since the start of last season, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.321) may lead us to conclude that Jarren Duran has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his .351 actual wOBA.
Utilizing Statcast data, Jarren Duran is in the 18th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 12.200.
Ramon Laureano is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Batting from the same side that Kutter Crawford throws from, Ramon Laureano meets a tough challenge today.
Ramon Laureano will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jose Ramirez today.
Hitting the ball to all fields is an important ability for batting average that Jose Ramirez has struggled with since the start of last season, as evidenced by his checking in at the 4th percentile on THE BAT X’s Spray Score.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (21.2) provides evidence that Bo Naylor has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his 28.7 actual HR/600.
Masataka Yoshida is an extreme groundball hitter and squares off against the strong infield defense of Cleveland (#1-best on the slate today).
When assessing his home run talent, Steven Kwan ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Steven Kwan in today’s game.
Steven Kwan’s 1.1% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) ranks in the 2nd percentile since the start of last season.
Steven Kwan’s 85.3-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to measure power) is in the 0th percentile since the start of last season.
Will Brennan will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Grading out in the 22nd percentile, Jose Ramirez has hit 24.4% of his balls in the air since the start of last season with a velocity of 100 mph or greater.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 11th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
Triston Casas has had some very good luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .263 BA is inflated compared to his .244 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.352) may lead us to conclude that Triston Casas has been lucky since the start of last season with his .366 actual wOBA.
The switch-hitting Brayan Rocchio will bat from his bad side (0) today against Kutter Crawford, Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brayan Rocchio today.
Tyler O’Neill has been lucky in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 29.6 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is inflated compared to his 25.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Hamilton in the 8th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
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