MLB Player match stats positives for Cleveland at Houston Tuesday Matchup

Will Brennan is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense.

Will Brennan will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Brown today.

The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Will Brennan can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jose Abreu will hold that advantage today.

Jose Abreu has been unlucky this year, compiling a .131 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .314 — a .183 difference.

Grading out in the 76th percentile, the hardest ball Jose Abreu has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.3 mph — an advanced indication of underlying power skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chas McCormick in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Chas McCormick will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Chas McCormick has posted a .356 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 87th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

By putting up a .271 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Chas McCormick grades out in the 76th percentile.

Kyle Tucker projects as the 13th-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.

Long-balls are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the shallowest among all major league parks.

Kyle Tucker will have the handedness advantage over Carlos Carrasco today.

Steven Kwan is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Steven Kwan will have an advantage in today’s game.

Steven Kwan has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Houston Astros only has 1 same-handed RP.

Steven Kwan has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the best hitter in the league.

Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Carlos Carrasco throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have an advantage in today’s game.

Yordan Alvarez may have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Jose Altuve is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.8% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Jose Altuve will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Bo Naylor will have an edge in today’s game.

The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bo Naylor stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Extreme flyball batters like Bo Naylor tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Brown.

Will Brennan’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Chas McCormick’s 11.1% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) grades out in the 75th percentile since the start of last season.

Chas McCormick’s 94.7-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to measure power) grades out in the 82nd percentile since the start of last season.

Estevan Florial will have the handedness advantage over Hunter Brown today.

Estevan Florial may have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Houston Astros only has 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Josh Naylor is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Josh Naylor will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Brown in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Yainer Diaz will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Since the start of last season, Yainer Diaz’s 11.9% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 80th percentile among his peers.

Since the start of last season, Yainer Diaz’s flyball exit velocity (an advanced stat to evaluate power) ranks in the 80th percentile at 94.6 mph.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Jose Ramirez will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Hunter Brown today.

Extreme flyball bats like Jose Ramirez tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Brown.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Andres Gimenez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.

Andres Gimenez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Brown today.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Alex Bregman is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Alex Bregman will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alex Bregman’s true offensive skill to be a .344, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .091 gap between that figure and his actual .253 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Among all major league stadiums, Minute Maid Park’s LF fences are the 2nd-shallowest.

Tyler Freeman has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .233 mark is considerably lower than his .300 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.305) may lead us to conclude that Yainer Diaz has been very fortunate this year with his .335 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Jeremy Pena has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (86% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Jeremy Pena will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The Cleveland Guardians have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Gabriel Arias, Estevan Florial, Bo Naylor).

Minute Maid Park grades out as the #9 stadium in the game for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Due to his large reverse platoon split, Hunter Brown will be at an advantage going up against 7 bats in the projected lineup who hit from the other side in this outing.

Hunter Brown will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats across the board.

With 6 hitters who bat from the same side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Carlos Carrasco ought to benefit from holding the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Carlos Carrasco has utilized his non-fastballs 5.3% more often this year (63.1%) than he did last year (57.8%).

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Bo Naylor ranks in the 94th percentile with a 21.4° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in the majors.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Grading out in the 24th percentile, Hunter Brown has recorded a 2.13 K/BB rate since the start of last season.

Tyler Freeman has recorded a .345 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 85th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Andres Gimenez is apt to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Houston Astros has just 1 same-handed RP.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Carlos Carrasco’s overall pitching talent is in the 1st percentile among all starters in the majors currently.

The 3rd-best projected batting order of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the the Houston Astros.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Josh Naylor ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Current MLB player match stat slumps with Guardians vs Astros Matchup for Tuesday

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 4th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Will Brennan has been pinch hit for 33% of the time.

The league’s 3rd-tallest fence height (on average) can be found at Minute Maid Park.

Minute Maid Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.

In today’s game, Will Brennan is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.6% rate (96th percentile).

Jose Abreu is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Carlos Carrasco throws from, Jose Abreu will have a tough challenge today.

Jose Abreu hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The Cleveland Guardians outfield defense grades out as the 4th-best among every team playing today.

Chas McCormick is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Carlos Carrasco throws from, Chas McCormick will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Chas McCormick has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and will be challenged by the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Kyle Tucker has been very bad at hitting the ball to all fields (a key skill for batting average), grading out in the 15th percentile in THE BAT X’s Spray Score since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 1st percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Steven Kwan today.

As it relates to his home runs, Steven Kwan has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season. His 5.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 0.0.

Yordan Alvarez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Yordan Alvarez’s footspeed has dropped off this year. His 25.86 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 24.84 ft/sec now.

Carlos Carrasco will have the handedness advantage over Jose Altuve in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his batting average, Jose Altuve has been lucky since the start of last season. His .319 mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .248.

Jose Altuve’s 86-mph average exit velocity ranks among the worst in the league since the start of last season: 7th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Naylor in the 12th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Bo Naylor is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today.

Bo Naylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 79th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Will Brennan will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Since the start of last season, Will Brennan’s 2.4% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 4th percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Estevan Florial in the 23rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Estevan Florial is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.

Estevan Florial has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 16% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bo Naylor today.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Josh Naylor in today’s matchup.

This year, there has been a decline in Josh Naylor’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 25.8 ft/sec last year to 24.68 ft/sec currently.

When it comes to his batting average, Josh Naylor has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His .303 BA has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .273.

Despite posting a .429 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jose Altuve has been lucky given the .081 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .348.

Yainer Diaz is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Batting from the same side that Carlos Carrasco throws from, Yainer Diaz will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

Today, Yainer Diaz is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35% rate (84th percentile).

In today’s matchup, Jose Ramirez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 41.7% rate (99th percentile).

Jose Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Hitting the ball to all fields is a crucial skill for batting average that Jose Ramirez has struggled with since the start of last season, as evidenced by his checking in at the 4th percentile on THE BAT X’s Spray Score.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Andres Gimenez in today’s matchup.

This year, there has been a decline in Andres Gimenez’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 29.24 ft/sec last year to 28.53 ft/sec currently.

Andres Gimenez’s 84.8-mph average exit velocity is among the worst in the majors since the start of last season: 1st percentile.

Andres Gimenez has hit 12.6 home runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 25th percentile for power.

Hitting from the same side that Carlos Carrasco throws from, Alex Bregman will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Alex Bregman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Estevan Florial in the 10th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Tyler Freeman is penciled in 6th in the batting order today.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Tyler Freeman has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 10% of the time.

Hunter Brown will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Freeman in today’s game.

Tyler Freeman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Carlos Carrasco will hold the platoon advantage over Jeremy Pena in today’s game.

Jeremy Pena has been lucky this year, notching a .350 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .315 — a .035 discrepancy.

Jeremy Pena has averaged 8.1 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 9th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Considering that flyball batters have a sizeable advantage over groundball pitchers, Hunter Brown and his 50.2% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a hard spot in this game going up against 1 opposing GB hitters.

With a 1.2 deviation between Hunter Brown’s 10.12 K/9 and his 8.92 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball since the start of last season when it comes to strikeouts and should see negative regression the rest of the season.

Checking in at the 22nd percentile, Jose Ramirez has hit 24.4% of his balls in the air since the start of last season with a velocity of 100 mph or harder.

When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Carlos Carrasco in the 15th percentile among all SPs in the majors.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Carlos Carrasco is projected to throw 82 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 6th-least of all pitchers on the slate.

The Houston Astros (19.8 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 4th-least strikeout-prone team of hitters on the slate today.

Carlos Carrasco will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Since the start of last season, Jeremy Pena’s 4% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 14th percentile among his peers.

Steven Kwan has been lucky this year, putting up a .360 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .306 — a .054 discrepancy.

Steven Kwan’s 1.1% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) ranks in the 2nd percentile since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, Steven Kwan’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to study power) is in the 0th percentile at 85.3 mph.

In today’s matchup, Estevan Florial is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.4% rate (86th percentile).

This year, Hunter Brown has introduced a new pitch to his arsenal (a cutter), mixing it in on 19% of his pitches.

With a 1.12 difference between Hunter Brown’s 5.56 ERA and his 4.44 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the league since the start of last season and figures to positively regress going forward.

In terms of plate discipline, Andres Gimenez’s skill is quite bad, posting a 3.53 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 25th percentile.

As it relates to his home run ability, Tyler Freeman ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Since the start of last season, Alex Bregman’s 5.3% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 23rd percentile among his peers.

Carlos Carrasco has been unlucky since the start of last season, compiling a 6.35 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 5.39 — a 0.96 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Josh Naylor’s true offensive skill to be a .336, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .034 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .370 wOBA.

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Guardians vs Astros Match Player Stats Tuesday April 30th Cleveland Guardians at Houston Astros Game Predictions, Players odds, Tuesday lines and Betting Trends
Guardians vs Astros match player stats Tuesday, April 30th pre matchup. Cleveland Guardians at Houston Astros player predictions