MLB Player match stats positives for Arizona at Cincinnati Thursday Matchup

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for RHB home runs.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the best for hitting of all games on the slate today.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.7-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Batters such as Gabriel Moreno with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Hunter Greene who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Great American Ball Park has the 4th-shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball.

Jake Fraley is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the majors for LHB home runs.

Jake Fraley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Slade Cecconi in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best park in the league for left-handed batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best hitter in the game when estimating his BABIP ability.

Elly De La Cruz has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (63% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

In the majors, Great American Ball Park’s right field fences are the 2nd-shallowest.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average.

Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his home run talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jeimer Candelario pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Jeimer Candelario will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Joc Pederson ranks as the 19th-best batter in baseball.

Joc Pederson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

The 3rd-best projected batting order of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting ability belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks.

It is anticipated that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Edwin Moscoso) in charge of the strike zone today.

The #1 ballpark in the majors for boosting home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Spencer Steer is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

It may be sensible to expect positive regression for the Cincinnati Reds offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 3rd-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.

Projected catcher Gabriel Moreno projects as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

T.J. Friedl is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

T.J. Friedl will hold the platoon advantage against Slade Cecconi in today’s game.

The Cincinnati Reds have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Will Benson, Luke Maile, Elly De La Cruz).

With a 0.62 gap between Slade Cecconi’s 7.27 K/9 and his 7.89 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball since the start of last season when it comes to strikeouts and ought to perform better in the future.

When it comes to his strikeout ability, Hunter Greene projects as the 13th-best pitcher in the league right now, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hunter Greene has been given more leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 7.2 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average pitcher.

Tyler Stephenson has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Current MLB player match stat slumps with D-Backs vs Reds Matchup for Thursday

Gabriel Moreno is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.

Batting from the same side that Hunter Greene throws from, Gabriel Moreno will be at a disadvantage today.

Gabriel Moreno hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41% — 100th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gabriel Moreno today.

Posting a 8.900 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Gabriel Moreno has performed in the 11th percentile for power.

Jonathan India has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (83% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Slade Cecconi will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jonathan India in today’s game.

This year, there has been a decline in Jonathan India’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.8 ft/sec last year to 27.11 ft/sec currently.

Jake Fraley’s 84.4-mph average exit velocity is among the worst in the majors since the start of last season: 1st percentile.

Hitting the ball to all fields is a key skill for batting average that Jake Fraley has struggled with since the start of last season, as evidenced by his grading out in the 7th percentile on THE BAT X’s Spray Score.

Corbin Carroll will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Corbin Carroll’s quickness has decreased this season. His 30.05 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.93 ft/sec now.

The standard deviation of Corbin Carroll’s launch angle since the start of last season (29.8°) is in the 14th percentile. A high figure like this tends to lead to a lower batting average on balls in play.

Corbin Carroll has notched a .257 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 21st percentile.

Placing in the 21st percentile, Corbin Carroll has posted a .199 batting average this year.

Hunter Greene will have the handedness advantage against Christian Walker today.

Christian Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 75th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.

Christian Walker will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Elly De La Cruz’s quickness has fallen off this season. His 30.53 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 29.87 ft/sec now.

Elly De La Cruz has been lucky this year, compiling a .383 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .067 gap.

Using Statcast metrics, Elly De La Cruz is in the 18th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .294.

Elly De La Cruz grades out in the 1st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (9.4% rate since the start of last season).

Elly De La Cruz has displayed bad plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 22nd percentile with a 3.66 K/BB rate.

Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Hunter Greene throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Typically, bats like Eugenio Suarez who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Hunter Greene.

Eugenio Suarez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

When it comes to his home runs, Elly De La Cruz has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His 22.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 15.2.

Eugenio Suarez has notched a .302 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, grading out in the 25th percentile.

Christian Walker grades out in the 4th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (35.7% rate since the start of last season).

Jeimer Candelario is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Jeimer Candelario will bat from his worse side against Slade Cecconi in today’s matchup.

With a .271 wOBA over the last week, Jeimer Candelario has been struggling at the plate.

The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will bat from his bad side (0) today against Hunter Greene, Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

This season, there has been a decline in Ketel Marte’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.52 ft/sec last year to 26.8 ft/sec currently.

Ketel Marte has performed at a clip of 11.0 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 23rd percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ketel Marte ranks in the 10th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (12.1% rate since the start of last season).

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Joc Pederson in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his home run talent, Gabriel Moreno ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ketel Marte has been lucky this year, notching a .376 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .346 — a .030 discrepancy.

With a .266 wOBA over the past 7 days, Corbin Carroll has been struggling at the plate.

Placing in the 14th percentile, Corbin Carroll has notched a .101 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

Gabriel Moreno’s 4.7% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 17th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Hunter Greene in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall pitching skills.

Hunter Greene will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats in all categories.

In his last start, Hunter Greene was firing on all cylinders and gave up 0 ER.

Hunter Greene’s 97.3-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 100th percentile among all starting pitchers.

Hunter Greene’s 2391-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 76th percentile out of all starters.

Slade Cecconi will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Steer in today’s matchup.

Spencer Steer has been lucky in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 20.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a good deal higher than his 16.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Slade Cecconi will have the handedness advantage over Tyler Stephenson in today’s game.

Tyler Stephenson’s quickness has fallen off this year. His 26.91 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.4 ft/sec now.

Posting a .299 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Tyler Stephenson is ranked in the 25th percentile.

The Cincinnati Reds projected lineup profiles as the 5th-weakest of all teams today in terms of overall hitting skill.

Slade Cecconi has posted a 5.18 K/BB rate since the start of last season, checking in at the 94th percentile.

Hitting from the same side that Hunter Greene throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have a tough challenge today.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in today’s matchup.

Ranking in the 23rd percentile, the hardest ball Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 109.4 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power ability.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. hits a lot of balls with a launch angle that is “too high” (above 38°), which generally leads to easy pop fly outs. His 14.5% “too-high” rate since the start of last season ranks in the 24th percentile.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has notched a .264 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 12th percentile.

Tyler Stephenson has compiled a .368 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, grading out in the 25th percentile.

Jeimer Candelario has been very bad at hitting the ball to all fields (a key ability for batting average), placing in the 11th percentile in THE BAT X’s Spray Score since the start of last season.

When it comes to his batting average, Spencer Steer has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His .267 figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .246.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects T.J. Friedl in the 17th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (7.5) suggests that T.J. Friedl has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his 19.3 actual HR/600.

T.J. Friedl’s 3.5% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) ranks in the 10th percentile since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, T.J. Friedl’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable metric to measure power) is in the 2nd percentile at 86.7 mph.

T.J. Friedl has done a poor job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 5.8° mark is among the lowest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (7th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Slade Cecconi to throw 82 pitches in today’s outing (14th-most of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Great American Ball Park ranks as the #23 stadium in MLB for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the least strikeout-heavy lineup today is the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 21.1% underlying K%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Joc Pederson’s true offensive skill to be a .351, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .046 disparity between that mark and his actual .397 wOBA.

With a .267 wOBA in the past 7 days, Eugenio Suarez has been struggling at the plate.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, T.J. Friedl has been lucky since the start of last season. His .350 rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .282.

Tyler Stephenson’s 8.6° launch angle (a reliable stat to evaluate a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the lowest in MLB: 18th percentile.

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D-Backs vs Reds Match Player Stats Thursday May 9th Arizona Diamondbacks at Cincinnati Reds Game Predictions, Players odds, Thursday lines and Betting Trends
D-Backs vs Reds match player stats Thursday, May 9th pre matchup. Arizona Diamondbacks at Cincinnati Reds player predictions