
ARI @ BAL






MLB Player match stats positives for Arizona at Baltimore Sunday Matchup
The 4th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Jorge Mateo will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.323) suggests that Jorge Mateo has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .274 actual wOBA.
Jorge Mateo has been great at making hard contact. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.2 mph) rank him among the game’s best: in the 75th percentile since the start of last season.
Jorge Mateo is notably toolsy, placing in the 98th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.69 ft/sec this year.
Hitting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Jake McCarthy will have an advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.
In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has had bad variance on his side this year. His .288 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .394.
As it relates to his home run talent, Anthony Santander ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Anthony Santander is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.
Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.6% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Anthony Santander will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Anthony Santander has been hot in recent games, hitting 2 homers in the past 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Joc Pederson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
Joc Pederson will have the handedness advantage against Dean Kremer in today’s matchup.
Joc Pederson pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Joc Pederson has been hot recently, putting up a .408 wOBA over the past two weeks.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ketel Marte ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
Ketel Marte pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
As it relates to his batting average, Ketel Marte has had some very good luck this year. His .301 BA has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .285.
Ketel Marte’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to measure power) has been 117.1 mph since the start of last season, ranking in the 97th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser as the 14th-best hitter in the game as it relates to his BABIP ability.
Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Colton Cowser will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
In the past two weeks, Colton Cowser has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .372.
Sporting a .291 Isolated Power (ISO) since the start of last season, Colton Cowser is ranked in the 78th percentile.
When assessing his home run ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game.
Christian Walker has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .375 rate is quite a bit lower than his .377 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Christian Walker’s 11.5% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) grades out in the 78th percentile since the start of last season.
Bill Miller profiles as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be behind the plate today.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Adley Rutschman (the Orioles’s expected catcher today) projects as a good pitch framer.
Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Dean Kremer will hold that advantage today.
Dean Kremer’s cutter rate has risen by 6.6% from last season to this one (23.9% to 30.5%) .
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
Adley Rutschman will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Adley Rutschman has been hot in recent games, whalloping 3 long-balls in the past 14 days.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.
Hitting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have the upper hand today.
Gunnar Henderson will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
In notching a 28.900 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Anthony Santander is ranked in the 86th percentile for power.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.
Ryan Mountcastle is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Ryan Mountcastle has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Ryan Mountcastle will hold that advantage today.
In terms of his batting average, Ryan Mountcastle has had some very good luck this year. His .276 mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .252.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.294) implies that Adley Rutschman has experienced some positive variance this year with his .348 actual wOBA.
Blaze Alexander has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league’s shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Blaze Alexander has been hot of late, batting his way to a .350 wOBA in the last 14 days.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.
Batting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an edge in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Corbin Carroll’s true offensive skill to be a .339, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .082 difference between that figure and his actual .257 wOBA.
Using Statcast data, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 88th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .356.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Jordan Westburg will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
In the last 14 days, Jordan Westburg has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .354.
Posting a .345 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jordan Westburg is positioned in the 86th percentile for offensive ability.
Since the start of last season, Jordan Westburg has an average exit velocity of 90.2 mph, which ranks among the elite in the league at the 77th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
Ryan O’Hearn is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.
Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Ryan O’Hearn will have an edge in today’s game.
Ryan O’Hearn hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 4th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Ryan O’Hearn will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Alexander in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
Blaze Alexander is notably fast, placing in the 85th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.51 ft/sec this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
In notching a .286 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jordan Westburg is ranked in the 91st percentile.
Jordan Westburg ranks in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (50.3% rate since the start of last season).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Eugenio Suarez has been very fortunate this year. His .283 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .282.
Eugenio Suarez’s 12.5% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) ranks in the 84th percentile since the start of last season.
Eugenio Suarez has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 20.4° mark is among the highest in the league since the start of last season (98th percentile).
The standard deviation of Eugenio Suarez’s launch angle since the start of last season (25.6°) is in the 89th percentile. A low figure like this tends to lead to a higher rate of base hits.
The Arizona Diamondbacks projected lineup projects as the 5th-best of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting ability.
Dean Kremer has had some very good luck with his ERA this year; his 3.57 mark is deflated compared to his 4.76 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).
Dean Kremer has notched a 4.76 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that deals with the things most within a pitcher’s control) this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile.
Dean Kremer has been one of the luckiest hurlers in Major League Baseball on balls in play this year with a .192 BABIP and should see that luck normalize going forward.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Zac Gallen’s overall pitching talent grades out in the 93rd percentile out of all SPs in the league currently.
Compared to the average pitcher, Zac Gallen has been given more leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying an additional 5.0 adjusted pitches each game.
The Baltimore Orioles have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in the future, The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Jake McCarthy has put up a .316 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 76th percentile.
When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Zac Gallen in the 88th percentile among all starting pitchers in the game.
Zac Gallen has used his slider 7.2% more often this year (10.6%) than he did last year (3.4%).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Ryan Mountcastle has been hot lately, hitting 4 homers in the past 14 days.
Since the start of last season, Anthony Santander has an average exit velocity of 90.6 mph, which is among the best in the league at the 76th percentile.
In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Anthony Santander ranks in the 95th percentile with a 20.1° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in MLB.
Dean Kremer has tallied 17.3 outs per GS this year, checking in at the 78th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Notching 3 dingers over the past 7 days, Ketel Marte has been on fire lately.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.317) implies that Ketel Marte has had positive variance on his side this year with his .371 actual wOBA.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Current MLB player match stat slumps with D-Backs vs Orioles Matchup for Sunday
Jorge Mateo is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game.
The #8 ballpark in MLB for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
The league’s 9th-tallest fence height (on average) can be found at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
This contest is expected to have the 5th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Hitting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Jorge Mateo will not have the upper hand in today’s game.
When assessing his home run talent, Jake McCarthy ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jake McCarthy is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.
Dean Kremer will hold the platoon advantage over Lourdes Gurriel Jr. today.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will bat from his bad side (0) today against Zac Gallen, Joc Pederson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Dean Kremer in today’s matchup.
Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Colton Cowser is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.
When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Colton Cowser has been pulled from the game early 12% of the time.
Batting from the same side that Dean Kremer throws from, Christian Walker encounters a tough challenge today.
Christian Walker will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Dean Kremer’s 93-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a sizeable 1.1-mph decrease from last year’s 94.1-mph mark.
As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Adley Rutschman will bat from his weak side against Zac Gallen in today’s game.
Adley Rutschman’s quickness has declined this year. His 27 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.51 ft/sec now.
Gunnar Henderson has been lucky this year, notching a .382 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .349 — a .033 gap.
Jake McCarthy has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Anthony Santander’s BABIP skill is projected in the 4th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Batting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Ryan Mountcastle will be at a disadvantage today.
Blaze Alexander is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game.
Hitting from the same side that Dean Kremer throws from, Blaze Alexander meets a tough challenge in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Blaze Alexander in today’s game.
Corbin Carroll has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Corbin Carroll will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
Jordan Westburg is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.
Zac Gallen will hold the platoon advantage over Jordan Westburg today.
Jordan Westburg pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 77th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s deepest LF fences in today’s game.
When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Ryan O’Hearn has been pulled from the game early 27% of the time.
Ryan O’Hearn’s footspeed has declined this year. His 27.75 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.27 ft/sec now.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ryan O’Hearn’s true offensive skill to be a .334, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .060 disparity between that mark and his actual .394 wOBA.
When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Ryan O’Hearn and his 13.8% rank in the 25th percentile since the start of last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jordan Westburg’s true offensive ability to be a .318, indicating that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .036 disparity between that mark and his actual .354 wOBA.
Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.
Dean Kremer will hold the platoon advantage over Eugenio Suarez today.
Joc Pederson has been lucky this year, putting up a .408 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .350 — a .058 deviation.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 2nd-worst field in baseball for walks.
Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the deepest LF dimensions in the league.
In today’s matchup, Colton Cowser is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.2% rate (80th percentile).
With a .257 wOBA over the last 14 days, Corbin Carroll has been struggling at the plate.
Projected catcher Gabriel Moreno profiles as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Zac Gallen today.
Zac Gallen’s 92-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a significant 1-mph fall off from last season’s 93-mph mark.
Baltimore’s 89.4-mph average exit velocity since the start of last season ranks among the best in the game: #5 overall.
Corbin Carroll’s footspeed has decreased this year. His 30.05 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.86 ft/sec now.
A high launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a lower batting average on balls in play, and Corbin Carroll’s 29.8° mark (14th percentile) since the start of last season indicates a weak hitting profile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Blaze Alexander’s true offensive skill to be a .294, providing some evidence that he has had some very good luck this year given the .056 disparity between that mark and his actual .350 wOBA.
Christian Walker is in the 4th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (35.7% rate since the start of last season).
Jake McCarthy will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
This season, there has been a decline in Jake McCarthy’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 29.96 ft/sec last year to 28.93 ft/sec currently.
A high launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a lower rate of base hits, and Anthony Santander’s 29.6° mark (17th percentile) since the start of last season indicates a weak hitting profile.
Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 109.4 mph (an advanced stat to evaluate power), ranking in the 23rd percentile.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. hits many of his balls with a launch angle that is “too high” (above 38°), which tends to lead to easy pop-ups. His 14.5% “too-high” rate since the start of last season grades out in the 24th percentile.
Ketel Marte’s speed has fallen off this year. His 27.52 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.88 ft/sec now.
Ketel Marte grades out in the 10th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (12.1% rate since the start of last season).
Jorge Mateo has done a weak job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 7.8° figure is among the lowest in the game since the start of last season (20th percentile).
Sporting a .279 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Jorge Mateo is ranked in the 11th percentile.
In today’s matchup, Eugenio Suarez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.8% rate (91st percentile).
Eugenio Suarez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Colton Cowser’s true offensive ability to be a .308, implying that he has had some very good luck this year given the .064 disparity between that mark and his actual .372 wOBA.
Using Statcast data, Ketel Marte grades out in the 24th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 11.300.
D-Backs vs Orioles Match Player Stats Sunday May 12th Arizona Diamondbacks at Baltimore Orioles Game Predictions, Players odds, Sunday lines and Betting Trends
D-Backs vs Orioles match player stats Sunday, May 12th pre matchup. Arizona Diamondbacks at Baltimore Orioles player predictions
