
CHC @ TB





MLB Player match stats positives for Chicago at Tampa Bay Thursday Matchup
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Yandy Diaz ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.
The #6 stadium in the league for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.
Hitting from the opposite that Justin Steele throws from, Yandy Diaz will have an edge in today’s game.
Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.7%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the league’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
In Major League Baseball, Tropicana Field’s LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.
The switch-hitting Taylor Walls will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Justin Steele.
Taylor Walls will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Taylor Walls ranks in the 92nd percentile with a 18.9° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in baseball.
Isaac Paredes is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.
Isaac Paredes will hold the platoon advantage against Justin Steele in today’s matchup.
Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (45.3% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest LF fences today.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 99th percentile with a 22.1° launch angle, which is one of the most flyball-inducing angles in MLB.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 87th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
Jose Siri has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (98% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.
Jose Siri will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Steele today.
Jose Siri pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jose Siri will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Jose Siri has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .194 mark is a good deal higher than his .183 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Michael Busch has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (59% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.
The 5th-shallowest RF fences in the league are found in Tropicana Field.
Michael Busch will have the handedness advantage against Taj Bradley in today’s game.
In the last two weeks, Michael Busch has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .340.
Since the start of last season, Michael Busch’s flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to assess power) grades out in the 80th percentile at 94.5 mph.
Batting from the opposite that Justin Steele throws from, Jose Caballero will have an advantage today.
Jose Caballero pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Jose Caballero will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jose Caballero ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 20.9° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in baseball.
Sporting a .375 BABIP this year, Jose Caballero grades out in the 98th percentile.
When estimating his batting average talent, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 14th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Yandy Diaz will hold that advantage today.
Despite posting a .240 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Miguel Amaya has experienced some negative variance given the .052 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .292.
In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Miguel Amaya ranks in the 86th percentile with a 18.6° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in MLB.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Ian Happ ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Ian Happ is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.
The switch-hitting Ian Happ will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Taj Bradley.
Ian Happ has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
With a .346 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Ian Happ is positioned in the 79th percentile for offensive ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Christopher Morel is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.
Christopher Morel pulls many of his flyballs (37.9% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest LF fences today.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.280) provides evidence that Christopher Morel has suffered from bad luck this year with his .202 actual batting average.
Christopher Morel’s 16.2% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) grades out in the 96th percentile since the start of last season.
Amed Rosario is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Justin Steele throws from, Amed Rosario will have an advantage in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Amed Rosario will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.
Seiya Suzuki has been hot lately, notching 3 home runs over the last two weeks.
Posting a .365 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Seiya Suzuki grades out in the 92nd percentile for offensive ability.
Tropicana Field profiles as the #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
In terms of his home runs, Miguel Amaya has been unlucky since the start of last season. His 14.1 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been significantly deflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 22.7.
Hitting from the opposite that Justin Steele throws from, Jonny Deluca will have an advantage in today’s game.
Jonny Deluca pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest LF fences today.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jonny Deluca will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Justin Steele in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall pitching abilities.
Justin Steele has averaged 92.5 adjusted pitches per start this year, grading out in the 77th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the 3rd-worst venue in Major League Baseball for BABIP.
Nico Hoerner has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Sporting a 1 K/BB rate this year, Nico Hoerner has shown favorable plate discipline, checking in at the 99th percentile.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Randy Arozarena is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
Randy Arozarena will have the handedness advantage over Justin Steele in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario as the 16th-best hitter in the league when assessing his BABIP ability.
Posting a .284 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Amed Rosario finds himself in the 86th percentile.
Seiya Suzuki has notched a .293 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Seiya Suzuki has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.6 mph (a reliable stat to study power), grading out in the 89th percentile.
Bashing 4 dingers in the last 14 days, Ian Happ has been on fire lately.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Dansby Swanson’s true offensive ability to be a .329, suggesting that he has been unlucky this year given the .040 disparity between that mark and his actual .289 wOBA.
Since the start of last season, Dansby Swanson’s 11.1% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 75th percentile among his peers.
Dansby Swanson’s 95-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to study power) ranks in the 88th percentile since the start of last season.
Dansby Swanson and his 17.9° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 94th percentile, among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Cody Bellinger will have the upper hand today.
Cody Bellinger pulls many of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Cody Bellinger and his 16.7° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 90th percentile, among the highest in baseball since the start of last season.
With a .285 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Nico Hoerner finds himself in the 87th percentile.
The #8 stadium in baseball for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.
In his previous GS, Justin Steele turned in a great performance and notched 7 strikeouts.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
Randy Arozarena has been unlucky this year, notching a .274 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .339 — a .065 discrepancy.
Jonny Deluca ranks in the 96th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (23.5% rate since the start of last season).
As it relates to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Taj Bradley in the 88th percentile among all starting pitchers in MLB.
The Chicago Cubs have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Pete Crow-Armstrong, Christopher Morel, Michael Busch).
Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and Taj Bradley will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Taj Bradley in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall pitching skills.
Christopher Morel has been hot in recent games, cracking 3 dingers in the past two weeks.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Christopher Morel ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Current MLB player match stat slumps with Cubs vs Rays Matchup for Thursday
The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -8, ° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching.
Yandy Diaz and his 5° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 4th percentile, among the lowest in the majors since the start of last season.
Yandy Diaz has hit 7.5 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 15th percentile for power.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Walls in the 12th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
Taylor Walls is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.
The #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.
Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 3rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Isaac Paredes’s true offensive talent to be a .322, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .045 disparity between that mark and his actual .367 wOBA.
Jose Siri has displayed poor plate discipline this year, checking in at the 12th percentile with a 4.64 K/BB rate.
Jose Siri has notched a .196 batting average this year, checking in at the 10th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 18th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
The #2 park in MLB for suppressing BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.
Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Tampa Bay Rays.
Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Michael Busch in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Michael Busch’s true offensive ability to be a .299, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .041 difference between that figure and his actual .340 wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Caballero in the 23rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
Jose Caballero is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game.
Yandy Diaz’s speed has dropped off this year. His 26.61 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.18 ft/sec now.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Amaya in the 20th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Miguel Amaya is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.
This year, Miguel Amaya has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 16% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.
Ian Happ will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Taj Bradley will hold the platoon advantage against Christopher Morel in today’s matchup.
Christopher Morel will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario in the 11th percentile when assessing his home run ability.
Amed Rosario hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 99th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Amed Rosario has paced 8.5 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 10th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Amed Rosario’s 3.6% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) grades out in the 11th percentile since the start of last season.
Grading out in the 8th percentile, the hardest ball Isaac Paredes has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 107.7 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power ability.
Jose Caballero has been lucky this year, notching a .306 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .289 — a .017 difference.
Jose Caballero’s 3.5% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) is in the 25th percentile since the start of last season.
Jose Caballero’s 83.1-mph average exit velocity is one of the worst in baseball since the start of last season: 5th percentile.
Hitting from the same side that Taj Bradley throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have a tough matchup today.
Seiya Suzuki hits many of his flyballs to center field (41.1% — 100th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Seiya Suzuki in today’s matchup.
Seiya Suzuki has a high rate of hitting “too-high” (above 38° launch angle) balls, which lead to a lot of easy pop-outs; his 13.6% rate puts him in the 17th percentile among MLB hitters since the start of last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonny Deluca in the 23rd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Jonny Deluca is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Dan Iassogna profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be calling pitches today.
Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Justin Steele in today’s matchup.
Out of all starters, Justin Steele’s fastball velocity of 91.5 mph grades out in the 25th percentile this year.
It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Justin Steele has relied on his fastball a lot this year, though: 63.3% of the time, placing in the 100th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 3rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.
Nico Hoerner is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.
Hitting from the same side that Taj Bradley throws from, Nico Hoerner meets a tough challenge today.
Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nico Hoerner today.
Randy Arozarena hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
With a .274 wOBA over the last two weeks, Randy Arozarena has been struggling at the plate.
Checking in at the 20th percentile, Randy Arozarena has notched a .275 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.
In notching a .326 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Randy Arozarena grades out in the 18th percentile.
Out of all starting pitchers, Justin Steele’s fastball spin rate of 2424 rpm is in the 80th percentile this year.
Dansby Swanson is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.
Hitting from the same side that Taj Bradley throws from, Dansby Swanson will have a tough matchup in today’s game.
Today, Dansby Swanson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.6% rate (88th percentile).
Cody Bellinger is an extreme flyball batter and faces the strong outfield defense of Tampa Bay (#2-best of all teams on the slate today).
Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Cody Bellinger today.
Batting from the same side that Taj Bradley throws from, Miguel Amaya will have a disadvantage today.
Miguel Amaya will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Randy Arozarena is in the 11th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (38.2% rate since the start of last season).
Jonny Deluca has been cold recently, struggling to the tune of a .265 wOBA in the past 14 days.
Posting a .243 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jonny Deluca is ranked in the 12th percentile for hitting ability.
Jonny Deluca’s 83.7-mph average exit velocity is among the worst in the league since the start of last season: 6th percentile.
Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Dansby Swanson in today’s game.
Taj Bradley has had some very good luck with his strikeouts this year, posting an 11.20 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.50 — a 1.70 K/9 disparity.
The Chicago Cubs have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in future games, With a 5.08 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that deals with the variables most within a pitcher’s control), Taj Bradley ranks in the 25th percentile.
Collectively, Chicago Cubs hitters have shined when it comes to hitting balls in the launch angle band that tends to best-produce home runs (between 23° and 34°), rating 7th-best in the majors.
Cody Bellinger’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to measure power) has been 109.2 mph since the start of last season, ranking in the 21st percentile.
Michael Busch has put up a .235 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 8th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Walls in the 25th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
As it relates to his home runs, Taylor Walls has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His 13.5 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 7.6.
Taylor Walls’s 3.3% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) is in the 9th percentile since the start of last season.
Posting a .279 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jose Siri is positioned in the 22nd percentile.
Cubs vs Rays Match Player Stats Thursday June 13th Chicago Cubs at Tampa Bay Rays Game Predictions, Players odds, Thursday lines and Betting Trends
Cubs vs Rays match player stats Thursday, June 13th pre matchup. Chicago Cubs at Tampa Bay Rays player predictions
